Weather 2016

[Swine_Glasto2014]

7 hours ago, FloorFiller said:

fuck this thread. it's got me all worried it's gonna be a mudbath now. not returning until Tuesday (maybe)

Apparently shangri la has a river rinning through it!

Im sticking with BBC for Pilton, wall to wall sunshine

[fat_man_joe]

1 minute ago, scaryclaireyfairy said:

Pull binbag over welly, pull welly off through clean side of bag, put already-off welly in the bag too to contain the brown stuff. (Leave bag open to allow them to air out)

 

2 minutes ago, JanieM28 said:

Somebody else had two good suggestions? Either bring a pair of rubber gloves to use or, alternatively, put your feet inside a black bin liner and take them off using the outside of it. With the latter, at least you're keeping your muddy wellies out of the way and can just leave them in there overnight.

 

I need to write these down.

[Larraht]

16 minutes ago, scaryclaireyfairy said:

I added up some of those wet mm's.  Um, 30mm in just over a day?  What in the...

I'm fine.  It's fine. *rocks gently*

La La La...I can't hear you...

*sticks fingers in ears and goes to my happy place (bbc weather).

[devonhammer]

Let's calm down and wait until the morning. The GFS runs in the morning have a higher precision than the other three runs, so we could all be in a happy place when we wake up. 

[Splatt]

20 minutes ago, Jugtanion said:

30mm in one day is bad, bad news.

We're doomed. 

[fur_q]

We haven't had an update on the current weather conditions in the Greater Manchester area in this thread for a few hours, not sure I'll be able to sleep until I get one. 

[beatboy1]

Has the major doom come about just because of one person's video update about the weather? It was only a few hours ago when everything looked positively rosy and most weather websites still seem to show that. I reckon we will all be smiling again tomorrow (for a bit until it changes) 

[BambooShanks]

2 minutes ago, fur_q said:

We haven't had an update on the current weather conditions in the Greater Manchester area in this thread for a few hours, not sure I'll be able to sleep until I get one. 

I can only update for Liverpool and it's grim as fuck.

 

 

It's also raining too

[stuartbert two hats]

11 minutes ago, fur_q said:

We haven't had an update on the current weather conditions in the Greater Manchester area in this thread for a few hours, not sure I'll be able to sleep until I get one. 

We had floods earlier. Stopped now.

8 minutes ago, beatboy1 said:

Has the major doom come about just because of one person's video update about the weather? It was only a few hours ago when everything looked positively rosy and most weather websites still seem to show that. I reckon we will all be smiling again tomorrow (for a bit until it changes) 

Not just Gav, but the Norwegian forecast is looking pretty awful too.

[Sawdusty surfer]

This afternoon.

[stopwn1981]

Yr.no has gone full on biblical. Plus with all the pissing down this week looks like 5 days without sitting down.

[Sawdusty surfer]

1 minute ago, stopwn1981 said:

Yr.no has gone full on biblical. Plus with all the pissing down this week looks like 5 days without sitting down.

Nah.

[scaryclaireyfairy]

yr.no should add another column for the number of locusts expected in with that lot.

[Pbird81]

BBC for BA4 now showing showers during festival..... Rollercoaster's going down again...

[fur_q]

 

 

From the Netweather model output discussion 

 

Quote

Looking at the ecm and NOAA tonight it's not that easy to agree with the gfs or ecmops. It would appear that the weather should improve as the trough to the NW declines particularly in the southern half of the UK with temps just a little above normal. This still isn't done deal by any means but something along these lines would appear to be the percentage play at the moment.

Edited June 16, 2016 by fur_q

[fur_q]

And the above poster quite often errs on the side of pessimism/realism in that thread

[Mezhyp1]

Yep the beeb has turned

Id say we're guaranteed some rain now, not that it'll dampen my spirits 

[zico martin]

To try and get some perspective on this, we've only been once before so how does 2014 rate on the scale of best/worst weather ever?  Whilst 2014 was a little challenging, for the most part it was fine but any worse would be a problem!

[fur_q]

18 minutes ago, zico martin said:

To try and get some perspective on this, we've only been once before so how does 2014 rate on the scale of best/worst weather ever?  Whilst 2014 was a little challenging, for the most part it was fine but any worse would be a problem!

To rank recent years from worst to best  I'd say 

07,05,11,04,14,15,13,08,09,03,02,10

 

many others would probably disagree though. 

 

But it I would say 14 was realativlty OK if you'd experienced the horror of 07. 

Edited June 16, 2016 by fur_q

[strummer77]

8 minutes ago, fur_q said:

To rank recent years from best to worst I'd say 

07,05,11,04,14,15,13,08,09,03,02,10

 

Worst to best surely? 

[fur_q]

Just now, strummer77 said:

Worst to best surely? 

Yes you're right, but don't call me Shirley 

[mazola]

2 hours ago, pedmills said:

Here's the average and maximum rain forecasts for all the websites today. The x axis is time and the far right of the graphs is the Tuesday before the festival. As you can see the predicted rainfall is very similar to the last three years at the same point. And we are very close to the point when the 2013 and 2015 forecasts started getting good and the 2014 forecasts starting getting bad.

We all need to calm down and look at pedmills wonderful chart, as it's the only information worth taking note of at the moment.

The current total rain forecast is roughly the same as at this stage of the game for the last 3 festivals, including 14's mudfest and 13 & 15's perfectly acceptable showers. 

The maximum rain forecast at this stage is less than all of the last 3 festivals.

But look how different the actual rain that fell was to what was predicted. It proves that absolutely anything can happen between now and next week.

And that muddy picture from today isn't that bad, looks like a bit of surface water that will disappear in no time.

[Guy Incognito]

Love the positivity mazola!!!

[FuzzyDunlop]

It'll be reet. Showers, nothing persistant will be fine.

 

Dont worry be happy 

[SwedgeAntilles]

1 hour ago, fur_q said:

Yes you're right, but don't call me Shirley 

The fog's getting thicker