The Weather Thread 2019

[Duggyfresh44]

It's enough. Especially on top of the Mon/Tues rain. It's going to get churned up. Might not be too bad, but it will get churned up.

[Gedh]

1 minute ago, Duggyfresh44 said:

It's enough. Especially on top of the Mon/Tues rain. It's going to get churned up. Might not be too bad, but it will get churned up.

Of course it will but so what? Small amounts of mud really are normal and everyone and everything will be fine.

[Homer]

3 minutes ago, Gedh said:

Of course it will but so what? Small amounts of mud really are normal and everyone and everything will be fine.

What he said. It’s unrealistic to think it won’t shower at times - it usually does. I don’t see any forecast that is going to create a mudbath currently. 

[sprocketrocket]

7 minutes ago, Gedh said:

Of course it will but so what? Small amounts of mud really are normal and everyone and everything will be fine.

This man gets it. Everything is going to be alright.

[JoeyT]

Love waking up to this sort of chat of a morning...

Quote

ECM T168 is a MAJOR stall of the Atlantic trough and this is where heatwave dreams are made

 

[Sasperella]

1 hour ago, Duggyfresh44 said:

Showers = rain. Believe me I want to remain as positive as anyone but as time goes by, more and more rain is being forecast for the start and middle of next week. Not being funny, but I'm no novice - this will be my 16th Glastonbury. And I know that the kind of rainfall being predicted now is going to damage the ground. How much is what concerns me now.

Aye, but as has been discussed here a lot, not all mud is equal! I think the memory of 2016 followed by 2017 is making us all think in extremes....and we've forgotten that a lot of the (muddy) middle ground is fine, and (let's be honest) to be expected at UK festivals

[Sasperella]

8 hours ago, Kinkyinuit said:

I'm sure theres plenty of efesters who will sleep better tonight, thanks for taking the time to do the report!

You'd think that....but the constant weather thread checks and 200ml horror stories gave me the absolute worst nightmare of a massive 100-year event storm on the Wednesday! Had to desperately check the weather forecast as soon as I woke up to check it definitely was a dream!

[briddj]

Here's the GFS 00Z.

High pressure: Pressure building to a high on Wednesday, but not as high as before. And now the low pressure fights back much earlier than on the previous run to get into the site on Thursday and doesn't really give in.

Precipitation: Little bit showing for this Thursday, then dry Friday. Few showers on Saturday. The Sunday rain appears from 3pm through to 6am Monday. Now dry all day Monday before some more heavy rain on Tuesday afteroon. Fairly dry on Wednesday, but then the heavy rain appears again Wednesday into Thursday. Dry on Thursday, Friday and Saturay ...  and a small amount of rain on Sunday.

Temperatures: Rising to 19-20 over this weekend, great for drying. Monday 22-23, Tuesday 19-20, Wednesday 22-23, Thursday 26-27, Friday 19-20, Saturday 18-20, Sunday 17-18

So, this definitely is not a great update with that low we've been worried about muscling in. BUT do remember that this is a ROLLERCOASTER.

What is also important is, in this run, those huge temperatures on Thursday would dry the ground in no time. Do not underestimate the speed at which the ground would dry up in that heat. The Wednesday heat would do a fair bit of the donkey work too, though it might not be pleasant for getting in...

Don't get too downtrodden, we've had a great couple of days of updates. This is only one.

Can't do the 06Z. Actually have to do something called work!

[FuzzyDunlop]

5 minutes ago, briddj said:

Here's the GFS 00Z.

High pressure: Pressure building to a high on Wednesday, but not as high as before. And now the low pressure fights back much earlier than on the previous run to get into the site on Thursday and doesn't really give in.

Precipitation: Little bit showing for this Thursday, then dry Friday. Few showers on Saturday. The Sunday rain appears from 3pm through to 6am Monday. Now dry all day Monday before some more heavy rain on Tuesday afteroon. Fairly dry on Wednesday, but then the heavy rain appears again Wednesday into Thursday. Dry on Thursday, Friday and Saturay ...  and a small amount of rain on Sunday.

Temperatures: Rising to 19-20 over this weekend, great for drying. Monday 22-23, Tuesday 19-20, Wednesday 22-23, Thursday 26-27, Friday 19-20, Saturday 18-20, Sunday 17-18

So, this definitely is not a great update with that low we've been worried about muscling in. BUT do remember that this is a ROLLERCOASTER.

What is also important is, in this run, those huge temperatures on Thursday would dry the ground in no time. Do not underestimate the speed at which the ground would dry up in that heat. The Wednesday heat would do a fair bit of the donkey work too, though it might not be pleasant for getting in...

Don't get too downtrodden, we've had a great couple of days of updates. This is only one.

Can't do the 06Z. Actually have to do something called work!

Fuck 27. Honestly. Id rather it rain all day for 5 days

[JoeyT]

1 minute ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

Fuck 27. Honestly. Id rather it rain all day for 5 days

[gherkin8r]

Just want this all to be over now. 

I can read you like a book. And not a very good book. And certainly not bravo two zero by Andy McNabb which actually improves with every read. 

[Anarion]

3 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

Fuck 27. Honestly. Id rather it rain all day for 5 days

Ever heard of sunscreen/suntan lotion? I honestly can't fathom how 27 degrees is tough to handle.

[FuzzyDunlop]

Just now, Anarion said:

Ever heard of sunscreen/suntan lotion? I honestly can't fathom how 27 degrees is tough to handle.

No I haven't, just googled it. Amazing stuff.

[richy24]

11 minutes ago, briddj said:

Here's the GFS 00Z.

High pressure: Pressure building to a high on Wednesday, but not as high as before. And now the low pressure fights back much earlier than on the previous run to get into the site on Thursday and doesn't really give in.

Precipitation: Little bit showing for this Thursday, then dry Friday. Few showers on Saturday. The Sunday rain appears from 3pm through to 6am Monday. Now dry all day Monday before some more heavy rain on Tuesday afteroon. Fairly dry on Wednesday, but then the heavy rain appears again Wednesday into Thursday. Dry on Thursday, Friday and Saturay ...  and a small amount of rain on Sunday.

Temperatures: Rising to 19-20 over this weekend, great for drying. Monday 22-23, Tuesday 19-20, Wednesday 22-23, Thursday 26-27, Friday 19-20, Saturday 18-20, Sunday 17-18

So, this definitely is not a great update with that low we've been worried about muscling in. BUT do remember that this is a ROLLERCOASTER.

What is also important is, in this run, those huge temperatures on Thursday would dry the ground in no time. Do not underestimate the speed at which the ground would dry up in that heat. The Wednesday heat would do a fair bit of the donkey work too, though it might not be pleasant for getting in...

Don't get too downtrodden, we've had a great couple of days of updates. This is only one.

Can't do the 06Z. Actually have to do something called work!

Doesn’t sound that bad! Depends on how the site copes and how much rain we get before, but still relatively dry over the festival!

[Anarion]

1 minute ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

No I haven't, just googled it. Amazing stuff.

Water is also something you should look into. Can help quite a bit when it's warm out.

[mcmenace]

3 minutes ago, Anarion said:

Ever heard of sunscreen/suntan lotion? I honestly can't fathom how 27 degrees is tough to handle.

To be fair, I think it's pretty intense when there's very little shade around the site and you've got to sleep in a sweatbox tent.

[Jay Pee]

34 minutes ago, Duggyfresh44 said:

It's enough. Especially on top of the Mon/Tues rain. It's going to get churned up. Might not be too bad, but it will get churned up.

your  glass is so half empty its incredible

[barkley87]

That low pressure needs to kindly do one. 

[FuzzyDunlop]

1 minute ago, Anarion said:

Water is also something you should look into. Can help quite a bit when it's warm out.

On a serious point, I cant understand how 27 isnt too hot to handle. No shade. 2010 was the year saw the least amount of acts & we left straight after Stevie as couldnt handle the morning in that heat.

Everyone is built differently. Im built for attending the coldest football ground in the world at minus 3, with no hat on cos I'd get too hot. You obviously are not.

 

[Aragorn]

29 minutes ago, JoeyT said:

Love waking up to this sort of chat of a morning...

 

 

[Doug85]

Amusing how some are losing their shit over a small amount of rain over a few days claiming the ground will be churned up. People seem to forget we still had some rain in 2017 all be it early mornings and then it dried up. 

Whatever happens at this stage it would take some biblical rain for 2016 style conditions now, I think we are heading for a mix of weather with some rain but warm enough to dry it during the day. I'll take that in comparison to what it could have been. 

[BambooShanks]

26 minutes ago, Sasperella said:

You'd think that....but the constant weather thread checks and 200ml horror stories gave me the absolute worst nightmare of a massive 100-year event storm on the Wednesday! Had to desperately check the weather forecast as soon as I woke up to check it definitely was a dream!

To be fair  I dreamt that there was a chicken coop in my tent at glasto last night. I don't know if there was any symbolism there other than Glastonbury will be eggscellent 

[gherkin8r]

3 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

On a serious point, I cant understand how 27 isnt too hot to handle. No shade. 2010 was the year saw the least amount of acts & we left straight after Stevie as couldnt handle the morning in that heat.

Everyone is built differently. Im built for attending the coldest football ground in the world at minus 3, with no hat on cos I'd get too hot. You obviously are not.

 

Im similar to this. When the fascist lizard women of the office are sitting with the air con set to anything other than Blizzard I will be sweating like fuck while they sit in their coats and scarves 

[cb4747]

 

[stopwn1981]

All I want next week is to sit on some grass, without waterproofs on, with cider in my hand.  Is this too much to fucking ask?