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The Weather Thread 2023


tazbang

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1 hour ago, Crazyfool01 said:

ive invited this guy on here for his thoughts but for budding climate change scientists it might be worth a look at the festival 

 

Richard's a good guy, we had a brief meet up at Bearded.

I think it's really interesting that they have put the Science Futures bit in the middle of the healing fields, where you are perhaps more likely to find people challenging the science. Apparently it makes for some interesting conversations. Not so much climate change deniers but doom mongers and folks with interesting thoughts on 5G, covid and the like.

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11 minutes ago, Gnomicide said:

Richard's a good guy, we had a brief meet up at Bearded.

I think it's really interesting that they have put the Science Futures bit in the middle of the healing fields, where you are perhaps more likely to find people challenging the science. Apparently it makes for some interesting conversations. Not so much climate change deniers but doom mongers and folks with interesting thoughts on 5G, covid and the like.

I’d consider going on one of these.

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8 minutes ago, HyperTechnoHorse said:

just looked at this again. Met Office predicting somewhere on the order of 30-50(!)mm of rain between 6am and 10am Tuesday.

The average rainfall for June is about 55mm.

This is 2016 all over again. 

Latest GFS 12Z (still outputting now) is saying much less... 

Accumulated rainfall between now and gates open... Just 5mm

image.png.4fc69c65bdaf277429a07ee3395d0817.png

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12 minutes ago, briddj said:

For those wondering, the runs will continue to Wednesday morning before I set off!

Anyway, onto the 12Z. Now with added overnight temperatures!

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

Well, who'd have thought it? The site has effectively had NO RAIN today after all the talk of rivers running through the paths.

It's all tracked much further east than any of the forecasts had said even yesterday.

Monday is completely dry, and Tuesday has a small amount of rain. You can see the Pilton forcefield in full effect here:

image.thumb.png.4324d144a9d1dec0390a041e752763ee.png

When gates open at 9am on Wednesday, it's completely dry and temps of 19.

image.thumb.png.7199f905e67084a3a9f3bb08eee65579.png

Through the day on Wednesday, it's effectively dry all day with highs of 21-22.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Thursday: 12-13.

image.thumb.png.ec6b15facba20ee88ddc4416ca0e76e9.png

THURSDAY

Completely dry, highs of 22-23.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Friday: 12-13.

image.thumb.png.28d394ae38abb292d0acfaec5c4002f3.png

FRIDAY

Completely dry, highs of 23.

The heavy rain of previous runs is pushed ever FURTHER north.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Saturday: 13-14.

image.thumb.png.f7a93eaa425aed26066e9d80cec29a42.png

SATURDAY

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

The high is more in command on this run, so Sunday is going to be HOT.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Sunday: 16-17.

image.thumb.png.d2b5816fef3dff3b72c464c654d0d018.png

SUNDAY

Completely dry, highs of 26-27.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Monday: 16-17.

This run says it's still 25-26 degrees when Elton is finishing 😆

image.thumb.png.a9cd9e7b502f83ebceb65ccaab94acf2.png

SUMMARY

What more is there to say? The runs just keep getting better and better - no doubt for some people too good.

The high keeps on winning against the low as we get closer to a more reliable timeframe.

 

 

 

 

thanks for these mate 

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16 minutes ago, briddj said:

For those wondering, the runs will continue to Wednesday morning before I set off!

Anyway, onto the 12Z. Now with added overnight temperatures!

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

Well, who'd have thought it? The site has effectively had NO RAIN today after all the talk of rivers running through the paths.

It's all tracked much further east than any of the forecasts had said even yesterday.

Monday is completely dry, and Tuesday has a small amount of rain. You can see the Pilton forcefield in full effect here:

image.thumb.png.4324d144a9d1dec0390a041e752763ee.png

When gates open at 9am on Wednesday, it's completely dry and temps of 19.

image.thumb.png.7199f905e67084a3a9f3bb08eee65579.png

Through the day on Wednesday, it's effectively dry all day with highs of 21-22.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Thursday: 12-13.

image.thumb.png.ec6b15facba20ee88ddc4416ca0e76e9.png

THURSDAY

Completely dry, highs of 22-23.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Friday: 12-13.

image.thumb.png.28d394ae38abb292d0acfaec5c4002f3.png

FRIDAY

Completely dry, highs of 23.

The heavy rain of previous runs is pushed ever FURTHER north.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Saturday: 13-14.

image.thumb.png.f7a93eaa425aed26066e9d80cec29a42.png

SATURDAY

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

The high is more in command on this run, so Sunday is going to be HOT.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Sunday: 16-17.

image.thumb.png.d2b5816fef3dff3b72c464c654d0d018.png

SUNDAY

Completely dry, highs of 26-27.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Monday: 16-17.

This run says it's still 25-26 degrees when Elton is finishing 😆

image.thumb.png.a9cd9e7b502f83ebceb65ccaab94acf2.png

SUMMARY

What more is there to say? The runs just keep getting better and better - no doubt for some people too good.

The high keeps on winning against the low as we get closer to a more reliable timeframe.

 

 

 

 

Yes please to this forecast remaining unchanged 

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19 minutes ago, briddj said:

For those wondering, the runs will continue to Wednesday morning before I set off!

Anyway, onto the 12Z. Now with added overnight temperatures!

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

Well, who'd have thought it? The site has effectively had NO RAIN today after all the talk of rivers running through the paths.

It's all tracked much further east than any of the forecasts had said even yesterday.

Monday is completely dry, and Tuesday has a small amount of rain. You can see the Pilton forcefield in full effect here:

image.thumb.png.4324d144a9d1dec0390a041e752763ee.png

When gates open at 9am on Wednesday, it's completely dry and temps of 19.

image.thumb.png.7199f905e67084a3a9f3bb08eee65579.png

Through the day on Wednesday, it's effectively dry all day with highs of 21-22.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Thursday: 12-13.

image.thumb.png.ec6b15facba20ee88ddc4416ca0e76e9.png

THURSDAY

Completely dry, highs of 22-23.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Friday: 12-13.

image.thumb.png.28d394ae38abb292d0acfaec5c4002f3.png

FRIDAY

Completely dry, highs of 23.

The heavy rain of previous runs is pushed ever FURTHER north.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Saturday: 13-14.

image.thumb.png.f7a93eaa425aed26066e9d80cec29a42.png

SATURDAY

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

The high is more in command on this run, so Sunday is going to be HOT.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Sunday: 16-17.

image.thumb.png.d2b5816fef3dff3b72c464c654d0d018.png

SUNDAY

Completely dry, highs of 26-27.

TEMPERATURE AT 3AM Monday: 16-17.

This run says it's still 25-26 degrees when Elton is finishing 😆

image.thumb.png.a9cd9e7b502f83ebceb65ccaab94acf2.png

SUMMARY

What more is there to say? The runs just keep getting better and better - no doubt for some people too good.

The high keeps on winning against the low as we get closer to a more reliable timeframe.

 

 

 

 

If Sat/Sun were five degrees cooler, that would be the PERFECT festival run, but who’s going to argue it at this point?

Will the pre-festival rain impact the early morning queue crew before gates open? 

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