The Weather Thread 2024

[Trunks1993]

Just now, charlierc said:

Wouldn't surprise me. August 2022 had that day of 42 degree C heat where it felt like the air was burning.

yeah LV is same weekend as Boomtown I think. Just further north

[Sheffield Steve]

The 0z ECM has the feature that ICON has been showing moving across not too far to our north on Saturday.  We need that to stay where it is and not come south…

 

 

It also hints at the possibility of showers on Sunday….

 

 

and the GEM still wants to give us rain for Sunday…but that has to be considered an outlier obviously…

 

 

So we’re not completely out of the woods for the weekend but holding firm at the moment….

[km9]

2 hours ago, Suprefan said:

Yeah, wind would hit and froze people for sure. Got really chilly at macca if you were just standing there a

funnily enough, I saw her standing there 

[gherkin8r]

Well I've now left the house for the ferry. As usual I have a knackered pair of trainers on my feet and no other footwear with me. 

 

Solid work as always weather thread junkies. Big shout out to briddj, alvoram, Sheffield steve, AdrianH and the others doing the Lord's work.

 

Until next year (hopefully)

[rubick]

24 minutes ago, gherkin8r said:

Well I've now left the house for the ferry. As usual I have a knackered pair of trainers on my feet and no other footwear with me. 

 

Solid work as always weather thread junkies. Big shout out to briddj, alvoram, Sheffield steve, AdrianH and the others doing the Lord's work.

 

Until next year (hopefully)

 

Safe journey mate, have a good one! 

[Gnomicide]

[CaledonianGonzo]

The trial data looks even better...!

[briddj]

1 hour ago, Trunks1993 said:

 

It would have to be a Michael Fish level blunder to be anything other than trainers right now. The ground is a desert and rain forecasted won't have any effect on the site

 

I did the Ride London six years ago and on the Monday for the Sunday it was forecast to be high twenties and completely dry. 

 

What actually happened was the forecast changed on the Wednesday and it was torrential rain for 4 hours. Did not enjoy.

[Fearless_Fish]

Lovely stuff. Could do with the temps up a few deggers though. Can anyone recommend a sun hat for my balding bonce?

[CantWaitForGlasto22]

I missed this yesterday so sorry if it’s been shared but worth sharing again today anyway. Site is looking glorious ☀️ 

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cl444715dl7o.amp

[Little Thief]

So is latest consensus to leave wellies

and all waterproofs at home?!

[Spindles]

Just now, Little Thief said:

So is latest consensus to leave wellies

and all waterproofs at home?!

Pack a lightweight mac or poncho just in case, but for footwear trainers should be fine.

[4AssedMonkey]

1 hour ago, Trunks1993 said:

 

Yeah it's a mad streak. There's actually been soo many heatwave festivals in that list too - 2018 Bestival, 2019 Glasto, Lost Village 2022 and Glasto 2023 were all absolute scorchers.

 

And I thought I'd been lucky with festival weather!  Including the smaller, local 1 day festivals I sometimes attend I think I've been to around 25 or so and only been to 3 that were wet/muddy.

[CantWaitForGlasto22]

Or, if you’re cautious like me, leave the wellies in the car 

[Ayrshire Chris]

3 hours ago, gooner1990 said:

enjoy 🙂

 

pics from the Tor later?

Up there now. Hazy sun. Lovely temp

[Trunks1993]

7 minutes ago, 4AssedMonkey said:

 

And I thought I'd been lucky with festival weather!  Including the smaller, local 1 day festivals I sometimes attend I think I've been to around 25 or so and only been to 3 that were wet/muddy.

my luck is even crazier with day festivals…..been to one wash out ever - Field Day 2016. Ground was fine but was was torrential rain the whole day.

 

I’m getting married June next year - it’s going to be Noah’s ark isn’t it…..ha

[JayBoogie]

We’re going trainers only, my friends

[CaledonianGonzo]

Huge downpour just as Coldplay bring their muppets onstage 

[Toilet Duck]

Can’t do it. I’m wearing the boots. Don’t want to get cocky! I tried, but couldn’t do it. I even put the umbrella, a poncho and two rain jackets in to be sure to be sure!

[Gnomicide]

4 minutes ago, Toilet Duck said:

Can’t do it. I’m wearing the boots. Don’t want to get cocky! I tried, but couldn’t do it. I even put the umbrella, a poncho and two rain jackets in to be sure to be sure!

 

Yep, wearing walking boots to get in, pack trainers to swap into when I get there. Rain coat and waterproof over-trousers also packed.

[briddj]

It's your PENULTIMATE full GFS review of 2024!

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Scorchio at 21-22.

 

 

Some light afternoon rain possible. Highs of 25.

 

Temperatures overnight into Thursday of 15.

 

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Completely dry. Highs of 19.

 

Temperatures overnight into Friday of 12-13.

 

 

Very similar, with that lower pressure pushing down and affecting temperatures. Latest on the right.

 

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry. Highs of 18-19.

 

Temperatures overnight into Saturday of 10-11.

 

 

Very similar, latest on the right.

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Dry. Highs of 19-20.

 

Temperatures overnight into Sunday of 12.

 

 

Pressure picture almost identical. Latest on the right.

 

 

SUNDAY

 

DOWNGRADE KLAXON! The GFS agrees with other models and now shows light rain through Thursday. Highs of just 14!!!!!

 

Temperatures overnight into Monday of 12.

 

 

And here you see why, the latest on the right has a low spin round and down across the UK.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A great run apart from Sunday, which appears to be in a degree of doubt at the moment.

 

We appear to have won the war, but is there a battle still to be fought?

 

 

 

 

[Johnnyseven]

2 hours ago, Crazyfool01 said:

doesnt take much to turn the ground sloppy ... id at least wear walking boots shoes in / then change to trainers .... boots do give better support with wood chip though and might help with not turning an ankle 

 

Especially if you're going to be carrying a heavy rucksack.

 

I'm going on the coach and gave my trainers to my mate whose going down today in a CV, so I have to wear my boots. Will also be taking my Birkenstocks, they were fine on the Sunday last year and easier on my feet - although they'll get really dirty.

 

1 hour ago, briddj said:

 

I did the Ride London six years ago and on the Monday for the Sunday it was forecast to be high twenties and completely dry. 

 

What actually happened was the forecast changed on the Wednesday and it was torrential rain for 4 hours. Did not enjoy.

 

I think I did it that year. I'd done it the 2 years previous and the weather had been great so didn't think to check the forecast, it was really grim - didn't stop raining until i'd done 80 miles.

Edited June 25, 2024 by Johnnyseven

[briddj]

Met Office has now downgraded to 17 on Friday.

 

It looks like the GFS was right about the general trend, especially lower temperatures, all along.

[uscore]

it's all going wrong.

[Physical_graffiti]

16 minutes ago, uscore said:

it's all going wrong.

if a dry, not boiling festival is wrong I don't want to be right