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When will this shit end?


Chrisp1986

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6 hours ago, zahidf said:

Preprint paper only but looks like there is covid herd immunity in the Brazilian Amazon

@toiletduck for his expert analysis:-)

 

 

Interesting if true. Also suggests that in this part of the world we are nowhere near "herd immunity" (London would be the closest in the UK and would need at least another couple of waves of similar size to wave 1 to get there, assuming longer lasting T-cell immunity prevails (from this study, half life of antibody-based immunity to SARS-CoV-2 looks to be about 3 months). Does bode reasonably well for a vaccine with 50% efficacy though, suggesting that on its own it would nudge us up towards an immune population that would stop exponential growth. Even just slightly better efficacy, coupled with some natural immunity would so us. The suggested IFR is around where most figured it would land (CFR of around 5% is most common and we've always figured we were missing about 90% of infections, so IFR should be 0.5% or less)....

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3 hours ago, ace56blaa said:

guarding parliament and downing street  makes me think they are expecting riots possibly because they have no intentions of saving peoples jobs

No. 

It's the same operation they put into place in May 2017 after the Manchester Bombing when the terror alert level moved to critical and they needed more police in the streets. 

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