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The Weather Thread 2023

tazbang

By tazbang
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Sheffield Steve Rising Star

Sheffield Steve

Posted
Posted

The situation might look dire now but big improvements are on the way.  This is the moisture level of the top layer of soil as of today. The dark blue indicates 100% saturation where any further significant rainfall will result in flooding:
1EA7DA69-49BA-4C2F-B37F-431C66494822.thumb.jpeg.d092bf0d01e91806b5801fddc2397c7b.jpeg

However, the situation in 10 days time is much better with all the dark blues having disappeared:

A3498039-8AED-4584-8BC6-D1BC7DCAECE4.thumb.jpeg.6ca9dc9920802df35bda8481ee816e8f.jpeg

Beyond that, the models are predicting a warmer and drier than average spring and summer. This is the next 6 weeks temperature predictions when compared to average:

31CE02C2-5B12-4171-9C38-9728625D599B.thumb.gif.c23c3c39581f6938647b6c2ecc333c32.gif

 

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Dylan9696
Dylan9696

If you’re gonna be negative like this please just don’t come! Loser!

The Nal
The Nal

Haha thank you. Well done everyone! Another completely pointless 225 pages!! Best place on earth to be this week. Signing off, have a great festival!  

briddj
briddj

We move on to the 12Z. Can we recover from the shock of the last run? GATES OPENING Still quite a lot of rain on Sunday, which is definitely becoming a theme as the timeframe gets more relia

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nikkic Grand Master

nikkic

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Neil said:

The wettest march for forty years.yetit doesn't feel that soggy.

Quite a lot of the fields near me are flooded, first time I’ve seen that in 5 years of living here. 

Certainly feels wetter where I am, thankfully I’m hundreds of miles from the festival!

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Crazyfool01 Grand Master

Crazyfool01

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, nikkic said:

Quite a lot of the fields near me are flooded, first time I’ve seen that in 5 years of living here. 

Certainly feels wetter where I am, thankfully I’m hundreds of miles from the festival!

not the driest but because we had such a dry year last year its all hopefully just topping up the reservoirs which is much needed ... I look at the post above and take the positives from that . will dry out fairly quickly this week and the sun is out now like forecast 

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philipsteak Grand Master

philipsteak

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, Neil said:

The wettest march for forty years.yetit doesn't feel that soggy.

Does round here. The lake has been pretty consistently high (although I've seen it higher before now, including the 2015 floods) and there are paths and fields which normally dry out between soakings which just don't seem to have this year.

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Sheffield Steve Rising Star

Sheffield Steve

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Posted

So the April run of the ECMWF seasonal forecast model has been released.  If anything, it has become warmer than the March run. The whole of Europe is predicted to have a much warmer than average May/June/July, with June now looking particularly warm in France and Spain.  If we get a southerly at the end of June, we could be in for a scorcher…

May:

3E6C2BBC-D848-476A-9652-058010A63F8F.thumb.jpeg.4b81453c5d8e7e2ccc77ccc4a7719025.jpeg

June:

19E86FA5-6B6D-47FF-A99B-B0DD4DA17FA3.thumb.jpeg.d955dd3795ceb8863bb1fcf12e3b0e88.jpeg

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Crazyfool01 Grand Master

Crazyfool01

Posted
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Just now, Sheffield Steve said:

So the April run of the ECMWF seasonal forecast model has been released.  If anything, it has become warmer than the March run. The whole of Europe is predicted to have a much warmer than average May/June/July, with June now looking particularly warm in France and Spain.  If we get a southerly at the end of June, we could be in for a scorcher…

May:

3E6C2BBC-D848-476A-9652-058010A63F8F.thumb.jpeg.4b81453c5d8e7e2ccc77ccc4a7719025.jpeg

June:

19E86FA5-6B6D-47FF-A99B-B0DD4DA17FA3.thumb.jpeg.d955dd3795ceb8863bb1fcf12e3b0e88.jpeg

sat here in my hoodie watching the drizzle on the webcam and very firmly crossing fingers 

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Leyrulion Veteran

Leyrulion

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Sheffield Steve said:

So the April run of the ECMWF seasonal forecast model has been released.  If anything, it has become warmer than the March run. The whole of Europe is predicted to have a much warmer than average May/June/July, with June now looking particularly warm in France and Spain.  If we get a southerly at the end of June, we could be in for a scorcher…

May:

3E6C2BBC-D848-476A-9652-058010A63F8F.thumb.jpeg.4b81453c5d8e7e2ccc77ccc4a7719025.jpeg

June:

19E86FA5-6B6D-47FF-A99B-B0DD4DA17FA3.thumb.jpeg.d955dd3795ceb8863bb1fcf12e3b0e88.jpeg

Confirmed then, Glastonbury called off because of dangerous 40° heat. 🤣

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dotdash79 Grand Master

dotdash79

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Bike_Like_A_Mum said:

Bumping up the weather thread again! Come on...some more insights anyone?

Getting anxious now after a freezing wet bank holiday weekend camping. Let there be sun!!!

Loads of time for it to dry out. 
 

site has loads of drainage now so it does shift quite quickly 

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Sheffield Steve Rising Star

Sheffield Steve

Posted
Posted

Things are looking up. After a wet start this week, this is the next 6 weeks rainfall anomaly forecast.  This takes us up to exactly a month before the festival, 22nd May.  Rainfall is either at or below the long term average, so the site should be drying out nicely soon…

Untitled.thumb.gif.20e13f3005dbc135e0df2fc7c950b5f1.gif

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doogie Community Regular

doogie

Posted
Posted (edited)
26 minutes ago, Bike_Like_A_Mum said:

Anyone got inside info on rain? ...put a few people off trying for tickets maybe?

Well the next few weeks don't look that great.

If the Monthly Outlook still looks like this in a month's time, I'll start to worry.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Edited by doogie
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