The Weather Thread 2022

[Alvoram]

Quote

Long range forecast

Sunday 5 Jun - Tuesday 14 Jun

Generally a fine and dry start to the period for most, especially across northern areas. More cloud is likely to be seen across the south, with potential for some heavier showers in the far south and southeast. Unsettled conditions may return more widely into the start of next week, with rain and strong winds arriving from the west on Monday, before clearing to scattered showers later. Temperatures are likely to trend near normal by the start of the period, perhaps feeling warm in sunny locations. Further into June, more settled conditions are expected to return, though some showers are still possible locally. Southern and southeastern regions look the most likely to remain generally dry. Near normal to rather warm temperatures can be expected towards the end of the period.

Wednesday 15 Jun - Wednesday 29 Jun

It is likely that conditions will stay relatively similar throughout the second half of June. Drier weather is most likely across western areas, while rainfall is more probable in the east. We can expect above normal temperatures for most throughout the period.

Met office....
It's going to be a warm one 🙂 

[rebus]

1 hour ago, gooner1990 said:

Benicassim 2007 they sent small planes over the top of the campsites to drop water on us so we could cool down!

They tested that out at Glastonbury 2005 at 4 a.m on the Friday.  Worked a treat.

[steviewevie]

18 minutes ago, fightoffyour said:

Max 18 C 😂 Fucking 3 layers all day, bring your big coats everyone

 

Yes, bring your big coats, leave your bikinis and flip flops at home, this is not a holiday ffs.

 

[Barneym]

1 minute ago, steviewevie said:

 

Yes, bring your big coats, leave your bikinis and flip flops at home, this is not a holiday ffs.

 

How is 18 coat weather that’s shorts and a tshirt in the day maybe a jumper when it gets dark 

[JoBalls]

The dream is a dry festival with cloudy mornings and sunny afternoons and evenings. Mid twenties temps. 

[joeltg]

2 minutes ago, JoBalls said:

The dream is a dry festival with cloudy mornings and sunny afternoons and evenings. Mid twenties temps. 

This! 

I love being out in a t-shirt and shorts at night.

[sedra]

If it’s a hot one then finding shade is at a premium and you can find desperate huddles of people sat against any fence or tent with a tiny bit of shade ( conveniently forgetting that people tend to pee against fences etc! ) 

in 2019 The Woods were so packed at midday on Friday/Sat that it even the shade was hot! 
A nice sunny day with fluffy clouds and a light breeze at 23c  max would be perfect. And a nice balmy 15c at night as it can get really cold sometimes once sun does go down😀

[steviewevie]

8 minutes ago, JoBalls said:

The dream is a dry festival with cloudy mornings and sunny afternoons and evenings. Mid twenties temps. 

mid twenties?

Are you mad?!

[squirrelarmy]

Just now, steviewevie said:

mid twenties?

Are you mad?!

Mid 20s is great weather. Slightly cooler on the Wednesday and Monday when you’re carrying gear would be preferable. 

[JoBalls]

8 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

mid twenties?

Are you mad?!

Mid twenties is very pleasant. Anything less than 20 is cold. 

[a6l6e6x]

I'm only packing speedos this year, that's how confident I am

Will also mean I'm equipped for a complete wash out

[Alvoram]

Anything above 15c is shorts and T-shirt weather!!!

14c and sunny here now, and it's lovely.  

[steviewevie]

5 minutes ago, JoBalls said:

Mid twenties is very pleasant. Anything less than 20 is cold. 

sorry, you are so wrong.

20C is hot.

18C is perfect.

[steviewevie]

If I see anyone wearing shorts I will have a tantrum.

[squirrelarmy]

1 minute ago, steviewevie said:

If I see anyone wearing shorts I will have a tantrum.

I’m only taking shorts

[Alvoram]

Just now, steviewevie said:

If I see anyone wearing shorts I will have a tantrum.

I'm just getting ready now...

[fightoffyour]

31 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

 

Yes, bring your big coats, leave your bikinis and flip flops at home, this is not a holiday ffs.

 

Of course it's a holiday.

I'm only taking shorts, no tshirts.

[Calvin Klein]

No rain. 25-28C. That would be perfect for me. 17C At night. 

I know it won't happen though. 
😄

Edited June 1, 2022 by Calvin Klein

[steviewevie]

I don't understand most of stuff on this page, but the bit below is the important bit

https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/uk/long-range/seasonal

June

May closes unseasonably cool and showery, conditions which look to spill over into the first day or two of June. Showers remaining a threat through the Jubilee Bank Holiday and following weekend, particularly in the south, but it will turn warmer, while high pressure looks to build in across the north – bringing drier and sunnier weather.

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is currently in phase 6 in the Western Pacific and is then expected to progress through phases 7 and 8 through to June 10th or thereabouts before collapsing into the Circle of Death (COD). A propagation through phases 6-7-8 will likely keep weather and temperatures in an up and down transient pattern, preventing long stretches of above or below average temperatures and rainfall for the first half of the month, and most likely not too far removed from either side of normal.

After a fairly dry and settled first weekend in the north, still a showery threat for the south, the second week of June looks to turn more unsettled off the Atlantic across all parts. This tying in with the MJO moving through 7 to 8 – which promotes lower heights / low pressure to the northwest. However, with winds from the south or southwest, temperatures look to be average in the north to slightly above in the south. Most rain falling in the north and west, drier toward the southeast.

As the MJO wave collapses back into the COD on or around June 10th for the remainder of June, so we may see a less changeable pattern develop with more of a longer stretch of the same weather pattern entrenched for the second half of June. High pressure looks like becoming a more dominant and persistent feature over mainland Europe with lower pressure to the northwest over the Atlantic during the second half of the month, most rainfall towards the northwest, drier towards the southeast. The flow generally from the south or a long way to southwest. This is a warmish pattern - with temperatures likely to rise to be slightly above average overall, with potential for brief spells of hot weather in the south taking temperatures more above average - as winds back southerly for a time.

Temperatures overall for the month around or just above average, perhaps as much as 1C above the 1981-2010 long-term average overall, though more above in the south with hotter spells later in the month, perhaps by 2C, than in the north. Rainfall will likely be below average towards the southeast, average towards the northwest closer to low pressure to the northwest, occasional fronts may make progress all parts.

[wilko8]

I do NOT like the sound of a circle of death ☠️ 
 

After reading, and re-reading, those paragraphs several times. It seems like a mega long winded way to say…

 

June - there will be weather, probably similar to weather in previous Junes. 

Edited June 1, 2022 by wilko8

[Ayrshire Chris]

Anything above 12 degrees and it’s taps aff, bunnet on for us up here.  

Edited June 1, 2022 by Ayrshire Chris

[steviewevie]

9 minutes ago, wilko8 said:

I do NOT like the sound of a circle of death ☠️ 
 

After reading, and re-reading, those paragraphs several times. It seems like a mega long winded way to say…

 

June - there will be weather, probably similar to weather in previous Junes. 

looks like they expect drier in SE, wetter in NW...where that leaves SW I don't know. Also looks like could be hotter than average in S, by maybe 2C!! I think average temps for UK in June is 19C...

[sedra]

@deebeedoobee what’s the ram jam jar and sticky stick looking like now we are in June? 

[deebeedoobee]

52 minutes ago, sedra said:

@deebeedoobee what’s the ram jam jar and sticky stick looking like now we are in June? 

Here you go….

 

[NickM45]

Take an umbrella, I did in 2019 - instant shade, and if it rains, it doubles up....