Havors Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, FrancisH said: Accuweather wasn't even giving the correct forecast AS IT WAS HAPPENING in Manchester the other day. Yeah I've found they update their report to what ever the met office did a couple of days earlier. So whatever the met office is saying now... in 2 days accuweather will say the same. But the met will have changed theirs by then haha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gigpusher Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 11 minutes ago, stuartbert two hats said: I've got a couple. Underrated post 😄 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alvoram Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 ECM 00z run is showing some lovely high pressure for the festival weekend But it is showing a biblical amount of rain in the few days before gates open... Into the reds now... Will it dry? Almost all of it falls before midday Monday on this chart, so there's a good chance. (Remember, this is total rainfall between now and Saturday, all of it falls Sunday / Monday, with it remaining mostly dry after that.) The ECM is known globally as the most reliable model, and this run is pretty consistent with other recent ECM runs, beginning to form a pattern. I think I'd take this, so I hope that reputation holds true. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Glastonlocal Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Good old 00z. Keep em coming in Weatherbods. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justcalledtosay Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 i'm here for @Alvoram's positivity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trunks1993 Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 all eyes on the state of the ground thread come Tuesday then…. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fightoffyour Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 10 minutes ago, Alvoram said: ECM 00z run is showing some lovely high pressure for the festival weekend But it is showing a biblical amount of rain in the few days before gates open... Into the reds now... Will it dry? Almost all of it falls before midday Monday on this chart, so there's a good chance. (Remember, this is total rainfall between now and Saturday, all of it falls Sunday / Monday, with it remaining mostly dry after that.) The ECM is known globally as the most reliable model, and this run is pretty consistent with other recent ECM runs, beginning to form a pattern. I think I'd take this, so I hope that reputation holds true. 25mm total before Tuesday is fine from this position. High pressure building nicely! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErnestWorthing Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Presumably if there's a biblical amount of rain in a short period of time on very hard ground, most of it will just run off? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuartbert two hats Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 1 minute ago, ErnestWorthing said: Presumably if there's a biblical amount of rain in a short period of time on very hard ground, most of it will just run off? Bingo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suprefan Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, fightoffyour said: 25mm total before Tuesday is fine from this position. High pressure building nicely! Workers in the fields during the rain 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doogie Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Not sure if anyone's posted this yet, but the boffins at Netweather have done the first of their Glastonbury specific forecasts. They're going for a 70% sunfest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crumbleflaps Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 I'll tell you what the festival weather is going to be Saturday week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gigpusher Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 My experience at the moment is even when we have had some heavy bouts of rain (and round Manchester that's been happening more often) that it disappears pretty quickly so even with the weekend rain I am confident that the ground will hold up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Nal Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 9 minutes ago, ErnestWorthing said: Presumably if there's a biblical amount of rain in a short period of time on very hard ground, most of it will just run off? Or sit on top and get mashed into mud by 250000 people. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alvoram Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, ErnestWorthing said: Presumably if there's a biblical amount of rain in a short period of time on very hard ground, most of it will just run off? I don't 'know' the site like most of you guys, but I hope so... Just enough softening to help you get your tent pegs in. 🙂 If the rain does stop by Monday lunchtime, for the most part it won't still be sat there by Wednesday morning for the arrival of the masses. I'd expect large puddles in places though. In the fields near us, it tends to puddle in the grooves cut by tractors for a few days, and as people walk through them it turns to a mushy mess. Best avoid these areas. Still early days though, EVERYTHING can change, but it's not looking bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjfiddy Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 12 minutes ago, Crumbleflaps said: I'll tell you what the festival weather is going to be Saturday week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K2SO Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Can anyone explain the latest update in plain English? I've been trying to understand the colourful charts but all it's doing is making me crave Skittles. From what I understand it's a bit of rain this weekend, mostly mild temperatures over the week but fairly dry? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, K2SO said: Can anyone explain the latest update in plain English? I've been trying to understand the colourful charts but all it's doing is making me crave Skittles. From what I understand it's a bit of rain this weekend, mostly mild temperatures over the week but fairly dry? SCORCHIO on the ECM charts in here. Not so confident on the GFS, but the next GFS will start in a few minutes. Edited June 15, 2022 by briddj Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soundofeverything Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 The Met Office 10 day trend video comes out later this morning. I reckon they'll reference Glastonbury in there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 1 hour ago, squirrelarmy said: It’s going to be warmer there than Pilton. maybe they should move it there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiZuff Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 (edited) 30 minutes ago, K2SO said: Can anyone explain the latest update in plain English? I've been trying to understand the colourful charts but all it's doing is making me crave Skittles. From what I understand it's a bit of rain this weekend, mostly mild temperatures over the week but fairly dry? basically we got a possibility of a huge downpour over the weekend pre-fest but looking like plain sailing after that. hoping for warmer temps to dry off the rain before 150k ppl turn up on the wednesday! Edited June 15, 2022 by TiZuff Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 We're about to find out what the 06z gives us for this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 (edited) THIS WEEKEND There is rain around on Sunday evening, but nothing too bad at all. And the good news is that the high pressure appears to be winning the battle. So far. Edited June 15, 2022 by briddj Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Other Steve Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, briddj said: THIS WEEKEND The Pilton forcefield is in play in this update, with the rain pushed out eastwards. There will be some rain on the site, but nothing of any concern. And the good news is that the high pressure appears to be winning the battle. So far. Very nice 😎 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed90 Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 This is where it gets dangerous - I'm starting to believe 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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