tigger123 Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 50 minutes ago, HyperTechnoHorse said: This is an absolute car crash of a run. You’re really not funny, don’t waste your breath, pound shop Nal is all you are 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alvoram Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, The Nal said: Yes. So no one knows yet. 5 days in advance for temp. 3 days for rain. But the chat of Sunday week is Walter Mitty stuff You're right, generally, but not always... Have a look back in this thread and see how long ago this weekend coming's heat followed by heavy rain was showing up regularly as a pattern Nothing standout for next week / weekend though. If anything the pattern that's showing the strongest is mundane weather, 18-20 with a few light showers possibly in the area, possibly not. But I refuse to accept that!!! 🙈😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
March Hare Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 27 minutes ago, mazola said: Sees @The Nal getting upvotes for doom mongering, and thinks 'I can do that!' Fails miserably at trying to do that There are upvotes for doom mongering. I’ve been playing this game wrong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stopwn1981 Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 I think we can all agree the trend is deteriorating at this point Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 18 minutes ago, The Nal said: Yes. So no one knows yet. 5 days in advance for temp. 3 days for rain. But the chat of Sunday week is Walter Mitty stuff See you in 5 hours. 😆 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 20 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said: People saying twist on this, what have we become 😳 20 degrees or no deal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PolygonWindow Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said: I think we can all agree the trend is deteriorating at this point Na not at all. Other models are looking ok I believe. Still ample time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said: I think we can all agree the trend is deteriorating at this point Not sure where you're seeing that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexOvd Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 (edited) 6 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said: I think we can all agree the trend is deteriorating at this point Super relative. The big big worry it was the torrential rain over Sunday/Monday and now it's almost nothing and it totally rules out 2016 conditions (considering the extra fact that it must be one of the driest and hottest June ever). That's a possitive sign. What happens after that is still all to play for. Edited June 15, 2022 by AlexOvd Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PolygonWindow Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 It’s time to worry when they ALL go to shit. Not just 1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry bear Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 58 minutes ago, HyperTechnoHorse said: This is an absolute car crash of a run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gazzared Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 26 minutes ago, kalifire said: Anyone complaining about 18 degree temperatures during a dry Glastonbury needs to ‘ave a word with themselves. yeah its feffin perfect, easier to put a jumper/light jacket on in the eveing than be destroyed by 30 degree heat in the day 👍 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexOvd Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said: It’s time to worry when they ALL go to shit. Not just 1. Or when BBC weather will predict rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BambooShanks Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said: I think we can all agree the trend is deteriorating at this point The last GFS run wasn't that bad. A bit cold but the important thing is the rainfall was a lot lower than expected. Remember, we had over 20mm of rain forecast for a few days before the festival and that's massively reduced now. The current ECMWF run is looking quite good so there's some cause for optimism there. Still a week to go before the gates open. A lot can and will change in the meantime so stay strapped in to the rollercoaster, folks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PolygonWindow Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, gazzared said: yeah its feffin perfect, easier to put a jumper/light jacket on in the eveing than be destroyed by 30 degree heat in the day 👍 That is unreal. What site is that ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuartbert two hats Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, gazzared said: yeah its feffin perfect, easier to put a jumper/light jacket on in the eveing than be destroyed by 30 degree heat in the day 👍 I wouldn't say no to an extra degree or two, but I would happily take this over rain or 27+ temps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aragorn Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Need to look at the ensembles rather than 1 run. The operational could easily be an outlier Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexOvd Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said: That is unreal. What site is that ? https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/d0112f4e8ff8ffe2fa3c8985422d394043848c2354cc7060627a8bae12548489 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
topmarksbri Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Anyone who's twisting on a (mostly) dry festival is hubristic in the extreme, and if greek tragedy taught us anything it's the gods don't look kindly on hubris 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Aragorn said: Need to look at the ensembles rather than 1 run. The operational could easily be an outlier I can safely predict we will all keep looking at individual runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alvoram Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Just now, stuartbert two hats said: I wouldn't say no to an extra degree or two, but I would happily take this over rain or 27+ temps. Apart from rain on arrival day, it's fairly similar to to the latest gfs 3 minutes ago, Aragorn said: Need to look at the ensembles rather than 1 run. The operational could easily be an outlier True... But when you're religiously checking and recording every single run without fail it's the same thing is it not? Also, I wish netweather allowed you to zoom in for more detail on the ensembles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andymk Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Alvoram said: Apart from rain on arrival day, it's fairly similar to to the latest gfs True... But when you're religiously checking and recording every single run without fail it's the same thing is it not? Also, I wish netweather allowed you to zoom in for more detail on the ensembles. Try Wetterzentrale https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/show_diagrams.php?model=gfs&var=2&lid=ENS&h=0 You can zoom in on the different runs and highlight the differences across the timeline. here's the latest GFS ensembles for precipitation and temperature (where the low temps in the operational run are on the lower side of most of the others) 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alvoram Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 1 minute ago, andymk said: Try Wetterzentrale https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/show_diagrams.php?model=gfs&var=2&lid=ENS&h=0 You can zoom in on the different runs and highlight the differences across the timeline. here's the latest GFS ensembles for precipitation and temperature (where the low temps in the operational run are on the lower side of most of the others) Thank you!!! That is bloody brilliant! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 15 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said: That is unreal. What site is that ? bit windy though...when will people listen to my wind worries? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 (edited) Forecasts are so uncertain because of the high vs low thing...just a little bit of movement either way makes such a big difference. Edited June 15, 2022 by steviewevie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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