When will this shit end?

[Leyrulion]

53 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

Only a 15% growth since last Wednesday 

Matches with the ZOE app that shows cases per day at 19,000

[RobertProsineckisLighter]

13 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

Some poor civil service fast stream grad is having to chuck together all these graphs in excel and getting zero credit for it 

The hexmap visualisation was good and a clever way of showing the data at a local authority level - London was highly concentrated early on and looks a little like the north west and north east are like London in Covid 1.0

The other maps were quite interesting too. 

[Ayrshire Chris]

7 minutes ago, RobertProsineckisLighter said:

The hexmap visualisation was good and a clever way of showing the data at a local authority level - London was highly concentrated early on and looks a little like the north west and north east are like London in Covid 1.0

The other maps were quite interesting too. 

Geek v nerd graph for graph fanatics!

just joking!😁😉

[Ozanne]

7,108 cases for today, another high day. Definitely grounds for caution to be aired, as cases rise from last week and the 7 day average slowly increases up. Hospitalisations and deaths is a worrying sign too. 

[Toilet Duck]

1 hour ago, Chef said:

This is all really interesting, thanks for the explanations/ updates.

Have you any summary idea where some of the more advance trials are currently in terms of optimism from early data? Never quite know how to interpret things in the MSM on this subject, such as the pauses in Oxford vaccine trials - whether there is any real cause for concern or just par for the scientific course. 

No worries! All of them are still on course, nothing untoward to report, all pretty standard at the moment!

[RobertProsineckisLighter]

13 minutes ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

Geek v nerd graph for graph fanatics!

just joking!😁😉

Maps and geospatial visualisation scratches my itch... And pays my bills! 

[Ryan1984]

I think the health editor on the news after the briefing was correct to focus on Whitty and Vallance repeatedly saying things are heading in the wrong direction and the key message was surely ‘there’s a long winter ahead’.

Boris seemed more upbeat than last week but even said what the main issue is: ‘We’re relying on people’s common sense’.

[zahidf]

 

 

 

 

 

ha!

Edited September 30, 2020 by zahidf

[steviewevie]

UK doing more than most to help poor get Covid vaccine, study finds

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/30/uk-doing-more-than-most-to-help-poor-get-covid-vaccine-study-finds

[Fuzzy Afro]

North West going full Wuhan

 

Edited September 30, 2020 by Fuzzy Afro

[Crazyfool01]

 

[Ayrshire Chris]

3 minutes ago, crazyfool1 said:

 

In comparison, Here’s a picture of a nice cock

 

[zahidf]

8 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

North West going full Wuhan

 

London seems to be going down. Now a lot of WFH is paused, i wonder if that had an effect

[Zoo Music Girl]

2 hours ago, FestivalJamie said:

Hey. Sorry I haven’t been in touch/online for so long!

Ive had a pretty bleak few days mentally. My levels of stress and anxiety have gone through the roof and to be honest I’ve been bordering on feeling like I have some sort of depression I don’t know what’s going on.

Going to uni right now for me would be like going from one extreme to the other. I’ve barely been going out and exposing myself to the virus so to go to uni and be in the most “risky” scenario possible would push my anxiety through the roof. But I live at home with my parents and my relationship with my dad isn’t good and he’s not happy that I’ve deferred for another year. So I found myself a job which starts next Saturday and hopefully I can do that and start living up to my fears against this virus but build into it gradually rather than dive into the deep end. I’m considering moving into a relatives for a bit as well just to improve my mental health because the dynamic at home isn’t good and it constantly leaves me feeling down or lonely or depressed.

Long story short, I’ve decided to defer my place to next year. I don’t lose any money if I do it now and don’t have to reapply for next year, just guaranteed a spot on the same course in the same uni for next September, when hopefully life can be more normal again, and I can make the most of uni and actually want to socialise and make friends.

Glad you came to a decision. For what it's worth, it sounds like you did the right thing for you. Uni isn't going anywhere and the experience is likely to be a lot better/more normal next year. Hang in there dude.

Today I've been off work so have watched PMQs, the briefing and am nearly done with the Trump/Biden debate, which is a total car crash. I must hate myself.

[Fuzzy Afro]

2 minutes ago, zahidf said:

London seems to be going down. Now a lot of WFH is paused, i wonder if that had an effect

I would imagine WFH is more common in London than any other region. Also, WFH inherently reduces social activity in London because a lot of social activity here is going for pints or dinner with your colleagues or with friends who work in the city near where you work. 
 

I think WFH advice will have a big benefit on London. Only thing though is that most people never stopped WFH even when the guidance said they should go to the office, so from that standpoint it may not make a huge difference. 

[Crazyfool01]

[parsonjack]

1 hour ago, parsonjack said:

Correct....it was 198,402 yesterday so something has changed with testing numbers.

What's more they have also changed for every day since 5th May, with an increase on every day since then, and by as much as 20k+ over recent weeks.  If anyone wants to see the figures since April as reported up to yesterday I can share them.

The net effect of this is that with more tests and same number of cases the Positivity % goes down.  Sounds good....but why have the figures been revised in this way?  

🤔

Think I might know why testing figures have increased since yesterday......they've now added in PCR swab tests for Pillar 4, rather than just 1 and 2 as previously.  That would be fine but the number of positive cases only covers Pillars 1 and 2, so until they add in the positive cases for Pillar 4 the Positivity % will be skewed favourably.  Handy that.

[Fuzzy Afro]

I think the new series of A place in the sun is unlikely to be a ratings winner 

 

 

[Fuzzy Afro]

51 minutes ago, Zoo Music Girl said:

Glad you came to a decision. For what it's worth, it sounds like you did the right thing for you. Uni isn't going anywhere and the experience is likely to be a lot better/more normal next year. Hang in there dude.

Today I've been off work so have watched PMQs, the briefing and am nearly done with the Trump/Biden debate, which is a total car crash. I must hate myself.

Was the debate as bad as twitter is making it out to be? Apparently Trump was particularly atrocious 

[Radiochicken]

Interesting - anything we can manage differently if this is true? 
 

(Sorry if already shared!)

[Crazyfool01]

1 hour ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

In comparison, Here’s a picture of a nice cock

 

im glad i scrolled down fast on that comment   

[Fuzzy Afro]

2 minutes ago, Radiochicken said:

Interesting - anything we can manage differently if this is true? 
 

(Sorry if already shared!)

I guess we need to identify what characteristics cause people to become superspreaders and then do mass testing on people deemed to be high risk of super spreading. 

[RobertProsineckisLighter]

Just received a message from the app... Says something about exposed to someone who has tested positive... Then pull down to read the notification and it goes... 

Appears it doesn't actually mean anything... https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/what-possible-covid-19-exposure-19015430

Although the message doesn't read like a message that means nothing...

[Waterdeep]

4 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

I guess we need to identify what characteristics cause people to become superspreaders and then do mass testing on people deemed to be high risk of super spreading. 

Could it just be innate/biological rather than behavioural though? I thought I read somewhere that some people just shed loads more virus than others.

[rascalpete]

Don’t think this has been shared yet but looks like a rolling review for the Oxford vaccine could be announced this week.

Reading the article, it could take longer than I thought to review and analyse the data but fits in line with vaccinations potentially starting early next year

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-30/oxford-astra-covid-vaccine-review-said-to-start-in-europe