Weather 2016

[Jugtanion]

40 minutes ago, blackred said:

18mm wed-sun (rain every day) and 10mm tomorrow alone on the mobile site for Pilton, Somerset. That's a mudbath....

No it's not. It's half the amount of 2014 (including tomorrow when no one will be walking on the main areas) and even taking the ground conditions into consideration, not enough to make it any worse than that year.

[Jugtanion]

31 minutes ago, simonizer said:

See? Exactly why I'm done with this shite. It seems some folk on here are almost praying for it to be bad. And if we're talking rain 14 millimetres is fuck all over 3 days.

Can only assume these guys are getting millimetres mixed up with their centimetres. 140mm, now that would be trouble.

[Redwinevino]

13 minutes ago, Jugtanion said:

No it's not. It's half the amount of 2014 (including tomorrow when no one will be walking on the main areas) and even taking the ground conditions into consideration, not enough to make it any worse than that year.

That makess me feel alot better

[Jugtanion]

3 minutes ago, Redwinevino said:

That makess me feel alot better

Damn straight. Too much hysteria and scare mongering round these 'ere parts.

[Redwinevino]

1 minute ago, Jugtanion said:

Damn straight. Too much hysteria and scare mongering round these 'ere parts.

This is saying 30.5 Tuesday - Sunday which still isn't too bad!

http://www.meteovista.co.uk/Africa/Mauritius/Piton/2204565

[Bubblecup]

2 minutes ago, Redwinevino said:

This is saying 30.5 Tuesday - Sunday which still isn't too bad!

http://www.meteovista.co.uk/Africa/Mauritius/Piton/2204565

No, not bad but highly irrelevant!

[Chawk]

44 minutes ago, Ommadawn said:

A mudbath is out of the question. It's not raining!!  Both my cats are outside FFS.

In my experience cats are more trustworthy and reliable than Norwegians so please update regularly on their status

[blackred]

22 minutes ago, Jugtanion said:

No it's not. It's half the amount of 2014 (including tomorrow when no one will be walking on the main areas) and even taking the ground conditions into consideration, not enough to make it any worse than that year.

Of course it is, there are no dry sunny days in that forecast and the site is already waterlogged, 2014 isn't comparable.

I'm not pro mudbath or anything, reckon tonights yr.no forecast will turn out to be an outlier, but the possibility is there - as it always is!

[waterfalls212434]

1 minute ago, blackred said:

Of course it is, there are no dry sunny days in that forecast and the site is already waterlogged, 2014 isn't comparable.

I'm not pro mudbath or anything, reckon tonights yr.no forecast will turn out to be an outlier, but the possibility is there - as it always is!

and the site still has 2 days before the majority turn up to dry out..........you really are a `worse case scenario` kind of guy arent you?

[blackred]

4 minutes ago, waterfalls212434 said:

and the site still has 2 days before the majority turn up to dry out..........you really are a `worse case scenario` kind of guy arent you?

Not at all. As I said that forecast is hopefully an outlier, it also has 10mm of rain tomorrow - if it's that bad it ain't gonna do much drying is it?

[kalifire]

I'm watching this thread avidly, and I'm not even going this year!

At first I was horrified with all the videos showing parts of the site essentially turning into a big lake, but the 'after' shots made me feel a lot better for you guys. A few things we should all remind ourselves about:

1. Comparisons to any year earlier than the last time the drainage systems were significantly improved (2013) are pointless. The farm had an inferior system to get rid of water in 05/07. Even in 2014, the year of the brief thunderstorm, the problem wasn't water, it was mud. And that was manageable (with either boots and wellies).

2. Rain ahead of the festival is better than rain during the festival. It means the site can be prepared and managed ahead of time, to the extent possible. There's only so much organisers can do when they have to meander around 200,000 people, but it's struck even before most of the catering arrives, so there's amply opportunity to put plans into action, and they'll definitely have contingency plans for this.

3. 'Showers' could mean anything. In 2014, I remember looking at some satellite imagery after the event and realising we actually got incredibly lucky. Within a mile or two of the site there were torrential downpours that just missed us even though they were forecast to hit. They'll forecast showers even with a 20% chance of it raining, which means it's 80% likely it won't.

4. Even though I'm quietly confident that it'll be dry for the majority of the festival with just a bit of mud in parts to contend with, let's not forget that what makes it all so fucking brilliant isn't the weather.

Edited June 19, 2016 by kalifire

[Redwinevino]

19 minutes ago, Bubblecup said:

No, not bad but highly irrelevant!

ha is that the wrong place?

It's been a  very long day

[FuzzyDunlop]

Spent the day with wet feet watching the roses... i deserve at least one day off that this week.

 

[bsolxiv]

3 hours ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

Spent the day with wet feet watching the roses... i deserve at least one day off that this week.

 

I feel your pain, I mean I can handle wet feet, but watching the roses? You deserve a month off.

[jonnyisRFC]

BBC are still saying it's going to be dry with plenty of sun and a small chance of showers from Tuesday midday right through to Monday. It might be a little bit muddy on the Wednesday morning but apart from that it's gonna be fine! 

[Keva]

Went to sleep and it was raining. Woke up and it was raining.

 

There will be mud... and I can't wait

[stopwn1981]

Early morning webcam viewing is not much of a wake up call  hurry up and pass over evil band of rain! 

[Ommadawn]

Raining quite heavily at the moment I'm afraid. Not sure what time it started.

Cats hiding indoors.

[CaledonianGonzo]

This is all as forecast / expected.  It's what happens next that's gonna make or break things.

[Mezhyp1]

They'd best break out the wood chip

[kalifire]

2 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

This is all as forecast / expected.  It's what happens next that's gonna make or break things.

 

Agreed. It's all about tomorrow, really.

[CaledonianGonzo]

I've seen photos where they already have.

[bekimo]

I'm lying in a caravan a couple of miles away. It's been raining steadily all night. It is still raining now.  

[CaledonianGonzo]

Aye - but regular rain that you'd put your hood up for - or a repeat of the calamitous thundering downpour that happened on Friday?

[Spindles]

Webcam looks pretty grim at the moment, satellite shows that the way the cloud has formed there is a streak that looks like it might carry on over that way for a while.  As ever, things could change and the 7am images should give a better idea of how today might go.  Less confident this morning than I was last night.