The Weather Thread 2024

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

2 minutes ago, LeFreak said:

To save myself checking back in here every 15 minutes today, what times are the different runs at throughout the day? 

Breakfast, lunch and dinner lol

[richy24]

Save your mental health and check the thread once a day at 6m.

 

*he says after checking for the 18th time this morning.

[gherkin8r]

29 minutes ago, Euphoricape said:

One of the netweather regulars is on our side

You're telling me there's somewhere else with actual weather nerds I can be checking as well?

[gazzared]

9 minutes ago, LeFreak said:

7 minutes ago, Bike_Like_A_Mum said:

Breakfast, lunch and dinner lol

 

 

And to save you checking back this will be the forecast runs everyday  :-

Breakfast - Rain 

lunch - Hot

Dinner - Mixed 

 

Edited June 20, 2024 by gazzared

[briddj]

Pressure pushin' down on me, pressin' down on you, no man ask for... Let's find out on the 00Z!

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

Now effectively no rain overnight Friday into Saturday and it's going to be dry through to gates open.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Light rain when gates open, scorching temps of 22-23 at 9am, but with some nasty rain missing the site to the west.

 

 

Rain around for most of the day, but very warm at 25-26 degrees.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 15-16.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Rain throughout the day again, with the threat of heavy stuff, highs of 22-23.

 

Overnight temps of 14.

 

 

This is not going to be good. On top of the rain, a pocket of a low is opening over to the south west.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Rain through Friday, highs of just 15. Even only 15 in London.

 

Overnight temps of 12-13.

 

 

The low pressure pocket plonks itself over the UK.

 

SATURDAY

 

Rain through the day, highs of 17-18.

 

Overnight temps of 14-15.

 

 

Pressure never builds over the UK.

 

SUNDAY

 

A dry day, would you believe! Highs of 21-22!

 

Overnight into Monday, 12-13.

 

 

 

It's not until Sunday afternoon that high pressure starts to win.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

The worst run yet.

 

Rain at the start of the festival, with the high never fighting back until the Sunday afternoon.

 

However, I'm heartened that the predicted temps of 15 for London on the Friday 28th, while also present on the last run, appear to be a clear outlier.

 

But this is going to be a bumpy ride of high vs. low pressure!

 

[kemosabe]

Have we considered the possibility that these awful morning runs might be a ploy by big weather, to keep us glued in throughout the day to their other reports?!

Edited June 20, 2024 by kemosabe

[AdrianH]

ECM isn't great either up to 168hz (Thursday) but has a completely different track for low - it goes north which would probably keep the worst rain away initially if it doesn't linger. Much cooler air though.

[Jacko45]

6 minutes ago, briddj said:

Pressure pushin' down on me, pressin' down on you, no man ask for... Let's find out on the 00Z!

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

Now effectively no rain overnight Friday into Saturday and it's going to be dry through to gates open.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Light rain when gates open, scorching temps of 22-23 at 9am, but with some nasty rain missing the site to the west.

 

 

Rain around for most of the day, but very warm at 25-26 degrees.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 15-16.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Rain throughout the day again, with the threat of heavy stuff, highs of 22-23.

 

Overnight temps of 14.

 

 

This is not going to be good. On top of the rain, a pocket of a low is opening over to the south west.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Rain through Friday, highs of just 15. Even only 15 in London.

 

Overnight temps of 12-13.

 

 

The low pressure pocket plonks itself over the UK.

 

SATURDAY

 

Rain through the day, highs of 17-18.

 

Overnight temps of 14-15.

 

 

Pressure never builds over the UK.

 

SUNDAY

 

A dry day, would you believe! Highs of 21-22!

 

Overnight into Monday, 12-13.

 

 

 

It's not until Sunday afternoon that high pressure starts to win.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

The worst run yet.

 

Rain at the start of the festival, with the high never fighting back until the Sunday afternoon.

 

However, I'm heartened that the predicted temps of 15 for London on the Friday 28th, while also present on the last run, appear to be a clear outlier.

 

But this is going to be a bumpy ride of high vs. low pressure!

 

 

That is a f**king stinker LOL 

 

That'd be mud city.

[pigital]

3 minutes ago, kemosabe said:

Have we considered the possibility that these awful morning runs might be a ploy by big weather, to keep us glued in throughout the day to their other reports?!

Imagine the ad revenue @briddj could get by adding some into his posts

[rlandy95]

19 minutes ago, LeFreak said:

To save myself checking back in here every 15 minutes today, what times are the different runs at throughout the day? 

 

GFS 
0z: 10:30pm
6z: 4:30am
12z: 10:30am
18z: 4:30pm

ECMWF
0z: 1:30am
12z: 1:30pm

[Sheffield Steve]

The ECM is a bit of a mess so clearly hasn’t made its mind up..

Very different from the GFS, doesn’t bring any rain in on Wednesday..

 

 

but develops a cheeky little low to the SW which would bring heavy showers for Thursday..
 

 

in complete contrast to 12 hours ago, it brings in a nasty looking area of low pressure to the W of Scotland, and then for the rest of the weekend we’re stuck in a cooler, showery airstream, which might not be too bad..

 

 

This is such a messy picture, we can’t place faith in any of the models at this stage. There is no consistency between any of the models or even from run to run.  Will be Monday before we get any idea..

[AdrianH]

The mean ensembles have picked up the low pressure now too so it's starting to look likely it is going to be there in some regard. It's not game over though, the track it takes is going to be critical.

 

Hopefully we'll get some better runs for the rest of the day. It seems to be 2 good runs and 2 sh*t runs each day at the moment!

 

[Crazyfool01]

3 minutes ago, rlandy95 said:

 

GFS 
0z: 10:30pm
6z: 4:30am
12z: 10:30am
18z: 4:30pm

ECMWF
0z: 1:30am
12z: 1:30pm

That’s the cake recipe sorted … how about the weather updates ? 

[gherkin8r]

Big Weather and the MSM in cahoots is hardly a surprise. Gonna do my own research here I think! Back to the spreadsheet I built.

[Jacko45]

Did everyone enjoy the nice 6 days in May/June? 

[gherkin8r]

Rishi Sunak = Raini Shuks

 

Coincidence? You decide. Hiding in plain sight.

[Aragorn]

All depends if we get that cut off low.

[gherkin8r]

4 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

Did everyone enjoy the nice 6 days in May/June? 

Project USA 2025 is go

[Danny T]

It jus feels like every morning your guarenteed for the sh*t news, then evening it to be a contrast...seems odd haha!

[Supernintendo Chalmers]

Just ordered my "#TheNalWasRight" t-shirt 

[Crazyfool01]

Just now, Supernintendo Chalmers said:

Just ordered my "#TheNalWasRight" t-shirt 

Best weather sacrifice so far 

[sonicforest?]

I need to stop checking this thread in the morning ffs. What were the runs saying at this stage this time last year? 

[LinvoyPrimus]

This run is why I’ll never understand the “it’s too hot” crowd. ANYTHING is preferable to persistent rain across all bar one of the days.

[Jacko45]

2 minutes ago, sonicforest? said:

I need to stop checking this thread in the morning ffs. What were the runs saying at this stage this time last year? 

 

They were getting it about spot on now worryingly :( 

[LinvoyPrimus]

4 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

They were getting it about spot on now worryingly 😞

Was it not a far less volatile picture though? About 12 hours ago everything was looking grand.

 

2022 and (particularly) 2019 were still quite changeable right up until the day before.

Edited June 20, 2024 by LinvoyPrimus