The Weather Thread 2024

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

1 minute ago, briddj said:

Oooooh FIGHTBACK

🌞🥊🥊🥊

[briddj]

Oh. Forget that fightback. Didn't last long. sh*t.

Edited June 20, 2024 by briddj

[Justcalledtosay]

Stop playing with our emotions @briddj 😭

[Guest]

2 minutes ago, cb4747 said:

Does anyone actually wear these at the festival? Surely it's shorts or nothing. 

I've got some for work and will do if it's pissing down. Otherwise the rain just runs off my jacket onto my thighs and soaks whatever I'm wearing. If it's just light rain I wouldn't bother.

[CaledonianGonzo]

4 minutes ago, cb4747 said:

Does anyone actually wear these at the festival? Surely it's shorts or nothing. 

Anyone who has a desire to be chafed all weekend.

[Aragorn]

A f***** dartboard low in the middle of June is ridiculous

[a.shep]

I've bought an extra waterproof item daily since Tues: Poncho, Nikwax TX direct and just bought a waterproof bucket hat.

 

Therefore, it's going to be:

 

[rlandy95]

[cb4747]

5 minutes ago, Chip Batch said:

I've got some for work and will do if it's pissing down. Otherwise the rain just runs off my jacket onto my thighs and soaks whatever I'm wearing. If it's just light rain I wouldn't bother.

I do wear them for walking the dog in pouring rain, but never thought of them as a festival necessity. 

[cb4747]

1 minute ago, a.shep said:

I've bought an extra waterproof item daily since Tues: Poncho, Nikwax TX direct and just bought a waterproof bucket hat.

 

Therefore, it's going to be:

 

I didn't think of a waterproof hat. I'll be bringing this

[CaledonianGonzo]

Just now, cb4747 said:

I didn't think of a waterproof hat. I'll be bringing this

Needs a laser on it

[dotdash79]

8 minutes ago, Justcalledtosay said:

Stop playing with our emotions @briddj 😭

This is going to ruin the tour …

[philipsteak]

6 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

Anyone who has a desire to be chafed all weekend.

Certainly had that problem in the past with cheaper ones, but the ones I've got now are much better. Haven't yet had to wear them at a festival but I've worn then on some pretty full on hikes in the fells and had no problems with them.

Saying that unless it's really cold as well as raining I'd generally be in shorts

[a.shep]

4 minutes ago, cb4747 said:

I didn't think of a waterproof hat. I'll be bringing this

Acts as a sun shade too!

[Ayrshire Chris]

16 minutes ago, cb4747 said:

Does anyone actually wear these at the festival? Surely it's shorts or nothing. 

[devonhammer]

It's looking like cloudy with showers. Not great, but not terrible with a dry run up to the festival.

 

However, all the doom is based on an small low pressure system that spins off the Greenland low on Monday. It's very, very possible that this doesn't happen at this stage. This is a very small low pressure system that is currently predicted to hit us, but if it hits Scotland rather than southern Ireland, then we're in the clear.

[gherkin8r]

These teaser posts during the runs aren't enhancing my weather thread experience. 

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

This can get in the bin. My life 😂

[Jacko45]

The rainy and cold weekend is a new one hahaha.

[Ayrshire Chris]

Just now, devonhammer said:

It's looking like cloudy with showers. Not great, but not terrible with a dry run up to the festival.

 

However, all the doom is based on a small low pressure system that spins off the Greenland low on Monday. It's very, very possible that this doesn't happen at this stage. This is a very small low pressure system that is currently predicted to hit us, but if it hits Scotland rather than southern Ireland, then we're in the clear.

Send it north, Gladly take one for the team up here. 

[behindthebunhouse]

I remember in 2022 at about this time, a couple days before gates, the weather thread was raging on with daytime temperatures of 12C predicted on the GFS. The Nal was doing his very irritating thing and some poor sod was getting very upset and clearly having a bit of a moment. A few days later we were sitting in blazing sunshine outside the Brothers Bar. Every year the same thing.

 

It's a fun little ritual but all these models, no matter how sophisticated and snazzy, are little more than pseudoscience at this stage. You might as well be throwing spaghetti at a wall. 

[CaledonianGonzo]

Still time for

 

 to rally

[Guest]

2 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

This can get in the bin. My life 😂

look at it! That is purposely trolling us now. 

[briddj]

Are we going to need a bigger boat? It's time for the 06Z....

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

Small amount of rain overnight into Saturday now looks locked, but it's not much at all. Then very warm the next few days through to Tuesday.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

We're looking at another downgrade here. Rain and highs of only 16.

 

 

Why is it another downgrade?

 

Because in this run an area of low pressure is forcing its way down to the UK, bringing cooler temperatures with the rain.

 

It's what happens next here that decides out fate. It either gets cutoff, or it wins. Latest run on the right.

 

Wet Wednesday, highs of only 18.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 13-14.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

A dry day, with highs of 19-20, so improving.

 

Overnight temps into Friday of 10-11.

 

 

Good news! The high pressure is building in this time (on the right), rather than the yellow low developing. This is much more promising.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Dry, highs on 19-20.

 

Overnight temps into Saturday of 15.

 

 

 

But hang on  .... what's this .... ?

 

There is nasty little green pocket of low pressure making its way to UK (latest on the right). It spells disaster for Saturday. You can see the rain hitting Northern Ireland on the above chart.

 

 

SATURDAY

 

It's not as bad as the low pressure bubble was perhaps suggesting, with the north getting the worst of it.

 

Showers, but with a big affect on temperatures, back down to 17-18.

 

Overnight temps into Sunday dropping to 10-11.

 

 

 

The splodge of low pressure it sitting just to the west of the UK, and not pushing into the south west. But it's in an exceptionally dangerous position. Latest on the right.

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Another showery day, highs of 18-19.

 

Overnight temps into Monday of 11.

 

 

 

The low pressure bubble dissipates to this through Sunday, but remains off the west of the UK and badly affecting temperatures and conditions.

 

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A slightly strange run, because with that pocket of low pressure it really could have been a lot worse in terms of conditios.

 

However, with the rain around those temperatures of 17-18 will feel very chilly.

 

The runs remain all over the place.

 

See you in 6 hours.

 

 

 

[Ricci's Special Kebabs]

Next one is going to be better