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The Weather Thread 2024


airwaves

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9 minutes ago, LeFreak said:
7 minutes ago, Bike_Like_A_Mum said:

Breakfast, lunch and dinner lol

 

 

And to save you checking back this will be the forecast runs everyday  :-

Breakfast - Rain 

lunch - Hot

Dinner - Mixed 

 

Edited by gazzared
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Pressure pushin' down on me, pressin' down on you, no man ask for... Let's find out on the 00Z!

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

Now effectively no rain overnight Friday into Saturday and it's going to be dry through to gates open.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Light rain when gates open, scorching temps of 22-23 at 9am, but with some nasty rain missing the site to the west.

 

image.thumb.png.4a4f40f2ba3ff36cea864bb20edf62b6.png

 

Rain around for most of the day, but very warm at 25-26 degrees.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 15-16.

 

image.thumb.png.856ff896cffb108d13e5c9bf513ed6f5.png

 

THURSDAY

 

Rain throughout the day again, with the threat of heavy stuff, highs of 22-23.

 

Overnight temps of 14.

 

image.thumb.png.31a86529423ab274c4110ac9f6857cf0.png

 

This is not going to be good. On top of the rain, a pocket of a low is opening over to the south west.

 

image.png.26170bf2771a34b9a1e5dae713d1ea1b.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Rain through Friday, highs of just 15. Even only 15 in London.

 

Overnight temps of 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.aa7387aa95a60778437c2ad810d70eb3.png

 

The low pressure pocket plonks itself over the UK.

 

image.png.4bfbdd0c73f8cff4db65b2f8a5f1126e.png

SATURDAY

 

Rain through the day, highs of 17-18.

 

Overnight temps of 14-15.

 

image.thumb.png.f2004f8dbb8f91b4c600e9157ca50d77.png

 

Pressure never builds over the UK.

 

image.png.1762760df0e10b8d9f497003358601ea.png

SUNDAY

 

A dry day, would you believe! Highs of 21-22!

 

Overnight into Monday, 12-13.

 

 

image.thumb.png.f57a931d8e6c137ab7d917298654b73e.png

 

It's not until Sunday afternoon that high pressure starts to win.

 

image.png.505a02c587931a97b71a1d69300ff006.png

 

SUMMARY

 

The worst run yet.

 

Rain at the start of the festival, with the high never fighting back until the Sunday afternoon.

 

However, I'm heartened that the predicted temps of 15 for London on the Friday 28th, while also present on the last run, appear to be a clear outlier.

 

But this is going to be a bumpy ride of high vs. low pressure!

 

image.png.4b5a2b962f0ab3bda423fed4018fdfdc.png

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6 minutes ago, briddj said:

Pressure pushin' down on me, pressin' down on you, no man ask for... Let's find out on the 00Z!

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

Now effectively no rain overnight Friday into Saturday and it's going to be dry through to gates open.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Light rain when gates open, scorching temps of 22-23 at 9am, but with some nasty rain missing the site to the west.

 

image.thumb.png.4a4f40f2ba3ff36cea864bb20edf62b6.png

 

Rain around for most of the day, but very warm at 25-26 degrees.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 15-16.

 

image.thumb.png.856ff896cffb108d13e5c9bf513ed6f5.png

 

THURSDAY

 

Rain throughout the day again, with the threat of heavy stuff, highs of 22-23.

 

Overnight temps of 14.

 

image.thumb.png.31a86529423ab274c4110ac9f6857cf0.png

 

This is not going to be good. On top of the rain, a pocket of a low is opening over to the south west.

 

image.png.26170bf2771a34b9a1e5dae713d1ea1b.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Rain through Friday, highs of just 15. Even only 15 in London.

 

Overnight temps of 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.aa7387aa95a60778437c2ad810d70eb3.png

 

The low pressure pocket plonks itself over the UK.

 

image.png.4bfbdd0c73f8cff4db65b2f8a5f1126e.png

SATURDAY

 

Rain through the day, highs of 17-18.

 

Overnight temps of 14-15.

 

image.thumb.png.f2004f8dbb8f91b4c600e9157ca50d77.png

 

Pressure never builds over the UK.

 

image.png.1762760df0e10b8d9f497003358601ea.png

SUNDAY

 

A dry day, would you believe! Highs of 21-22!

 

Overnight into Monday, 12-13.

 

 

image.thumb.png.f57a931d8e6c137ab7d917298654b73e.png

 

It's not until Sunday afternoon that high pressure starts to win.

 

image.png.505a02c587931a97b71a1d69300ff006.png

 

SUMMARY

 

The worst run yet.

 

Rain at the start of the festival, with the high never fighting back until the Sunday afternoon.

 

However, I'm heartened that the predicted temps of 15 for London on the Friday 28th, while also present on the last run, appear to be a clear outlier.

 

But this is going to be a bumpy ride of high vs. low pressure!

 

image.png.4b5a2b962f0ab3bda423fed4018fdfdc.png

 

That is a f**king stinker LOL 

 

That'd be mud city.

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19 minutes ago, LeFreak said:

To save myself checking back in here every 15 minutes today, what times are the different runs at throughout the day? 

 

GFS 
0z: 10:30pm
6z: 4:30am
12z: 10:30am
18z: 4:30pm

ECMWF
0z: 1:30am
12z: 1:30pm

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The ECM is a bit of a mess so clearly hasn’t made its mind up..


Very different from the GFS, doesn’t bring any rain in on Wednesday..

 

IMG_4411.thumb.png.dfb01374aa24dad4d656997299eb9c4f.png

 

but develops a cheeky little low to the SW which would bring heavy showers for Thursday..
 

IMG_4412.thumb.png.8764f82f3aa9f4618d5b68e565664b88.png

 

in complete contrast to 12 hours ago, it brings in a nasty looking area of low pressure to the W of Scotland, and then for the rest of the weekend we’re stuck in a cooler, showery airstream, which might not be too bad..

 

IMG_4413.thumb.png.24d8be17988fd7b2ca53daec05758555.png
 

This is such a messy picture, we can’t place faith in any of the models at this stage. There is no consistency between any of the models or even from run to run.  Will be Monday before we get any idea..

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The mean ensembles have picked up the low pressure now too so it's starting to look likely it is going to be there in some regard. It's not game over though, the track it takes is going to be critical.

 

Hopefully we'll get some better runs for the rest of the day. It seems to be 2 good runs and 2 sh*t runs each day at the moment!

 

spacer.png

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4 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

They were getting it about spot on now worryingly 😞


Was it not a far less volatile picture though? About 12 hours ago everything was looking grand.

 

2022 and (particularly) 2019 were still quite changeable right up until the day before.

Edited by LinvoyPrimus
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