The Weather Thread 2023

[fightoffyour]

Additional moderate to light showers Friday afternoon, temps low 20s throughout.

[gazzared]

1 hour ago, Blisterpack said:

Just noticed you are in Ellesmere Port; got mates there - always seems like half the town goes to Glastonbury!

Haha yeah and shell island 

[DYRTFT]

I’m sure briddj will do a proper update but:

Wed: light rain in afternoon but mostly dry - 22

Thu: completely dry - 23

Fri: light rain in afternoon but mostly dry - 23

Sat: completely dry - 24/25

Sun: completely dry - 24

 

Pretty good.

[briddj]

Shall we crack on with the 18Z?

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

As per, there's the heavy-ish rain through Sunday. We know that well

It's then effectively completely dry to gates opening, with temps of 21 both days to aid excellent drying.

At 9am on Wednesday, it's dry and 18.

On Wednesday, there is still the some afternoon rain, but it is much reduced compared to the 12Z. Highs of 22.

THURSDAY

Completely dry, highs of 22.

FRIDAY

Oooooh. A downturn here as some daytime rain has reappeared, a more than we've seen for a while. But it is just the afternoon and not that much. Highs of 23, so any moisture would dry up very quickly.

This is because the high doesn't build in quite so convincingly at this stage. Latest chart is the one on the right.

SATURDAY

Completely dry, highs of 24

 

SUNDAY

Completely dry, highs of 23.

SUMMARY

As you can see from the chart below, latest on the right, the high isn't quite as commanding by Sunday - and that's why we don't hit the really high temperatures at the weekend.

This does mean we get the rain on Friday afternoon, but it wouldn't add up to much and the heat around would mean the ground isn't affected.

So the payoff for the reduced temperatures is a bit of rain on Friday -- which shows we are far from having anything set in stone from Friday onwards.

But the path through to Thursday is starting to look very consistent. Will we end up getting a finger?

 

 

 

 

 

 

[tazbang]

20 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

Did we get our evening run?

Some rain about on Wednesday and Friday afternoons. Nothing particularly heavy, probably hit and miss showers. Rest is dry.

Temps until Friday are low 20s, creeping up toward mid 20s on Saturday and Sunday.

 

[stuartbert two hats]

1 minute ago, DYRTFT said:

I’m sure briddj will do a proper update but:

Wed: light rain in afternoon but mostly dry - 22

Thu: completely dry - 23

Fri: light rain in afternoon but mostly dry - 23

Sat: completely dry - 24/25

Sun: completely dry - 24

 

Pretty good.

That's kind of perfect, especially if the rain is light. Warm enough to enjoy, but not hard work hot.

Every run has been looking pretty decent for ages now!

[Jacko45]

So a little bit of rain creeping back but nothing against the backdrop of lovely sunshine.

[HyperTechnoHorse]

11 minutes ago, DYRTFT said:

I’m sure briddj will do a proper update but:

Wed: light rain in afternoon but mostly dry - 22

Thu: completely dry - 23

Fri: light rain in afternoon but mostly dry - 23

Sat: completely dry - 24/25

Sun: completely dry - 24

 

Pretty good.

Pretty good? It's trending worse. Cold and wet. 

[Cooter]

I really appreciate briddj forecasting skills and I love how he/she always starts every post with a weather related question.

[Radicles]

@briddj appreciate the updates! Would you be able to do one covering this Saturday to Tuesday for those of us heading down this weekend 🙌🏻🙌🏻

[DYRTFT]

7 minutes ago, HyperTechnoHorse said:

Pretty good? It's trending worse. Cold and wet. 

😂 how many Nal’s are there?!

[briddj]

9 minutes ago, Radicles said:

@briddj appreciate the updates! Would you be able to do one covering this Saturday to Tuesday for those of us heading down this weekend 🙌🏻🙌🏻

It's basically there. Rain all daytime Sunday then dry Monday and Tuesday. If there was any more rain in the forecast I'd mention.

[briddj]

3 minutes ago, DYRTFT said:

😂 how many Nal’s are there?!

Poundshop Nal.

[gazzared]

16 minutes ago, briddj said:

Poundshop Nal.

When you order a @The Nalfrom wish 

[Alvoram]

1 hour ago, gazzared said:

When you order a @The Nalfrom wish 

When the venue forgets to put 'Tribute Act' under the headliner's name. 

[CaledonianGonzo]

The Nil

[MEGATRONICMEATWAGON]

Low to mid 20s sounds absolutely perfect.

Thank you for your service @briddj

[bamber]

Love @The Nal

10 years+ strong.

Obtuse f**kwittery for the generations.

[fightoffyour]

00z is pretty much more of the same. Friday rain is reduced but still there. Low pressure is getting dangerously close to bringing a bet of wet stuff through the weekend but still otherwise dry for now.

Edited June 16, 2023 by fightoffyour

[Jose Pose]

6 hours ago, HyperTechnoHorse said:

Pretty good? It's trending worse. Cold and wet. 

Yea 23 degrees, notoriously coat weather that.

Edited June 16, 2023 by Jose Pose

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

It's not Trending worse yet, one run making it a teeny bit cooler... we'll see what's on the cards this morning 😊

[Aragorn]

The UKMO paints a better picture, probably more reliable than GFS at this range

[Euphoricape]

This mornings run is better, still light rain on Wednesday but Fridays rain has gone for now. Temps up to 26 by Sunday.

[Trunks1993]

Apple teasing me with an ‘all-timer’ forecast. Too early 🥹

[Duggyfresh44]

1 minute ago, Trunks1993 said:

Apple teasing me with an ‘all-timer’ forecast. Too early 🥹

Now THATS perfect.