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The Weather Thread 2022

sedra

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steviewevie Grand Master

steviewevie

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Latest GFS not complete...but still looking like hot the end of next week, and then weekend of 18th/19th onwards looks pretty unsettled and wet...before and during festival. So, bit shit really. But maybe these GFS precipitation pics on that netweather site are a bit misleading...because BBC is having none of it and has sun/cloud with small chance of rain up until the 23rd. Infact BBC looks so perfect I might just look at that one from now on.

https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/gfs

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2640282

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The Nal
The Nal

Met Office updated, saying just a few showers, light rain now https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcn5n88mb#?nearestTo=Pilton (Somerset)&date=2022-06-26   Exhale...... Wel

deebeedoobee
deebeedoobee

To celebrate May day madness here is the first and true weather report from the ground in Pilton at 12.58 today. it was 15.5 degrees with 87% humidity . The RAM jam jar has insufficient moisture to me

Skier68
Skier68

Can I just say on behalf of the hundreds of us amateur viewers/obsessive who have lived the last 2 weeks+ on this thread, A massive Thank you to @briddj for turning greens/reds and squiggly lines into

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steviewevie Grand Master

steviewevie

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5 minutes ago, Suprefan said:

It needs to rain for 12 hours straight and steady, during the daytime for that to be a thing nowadays. As stated before it needs to be really wet beforehand to get to mudpocalypse now.

how come? (sorry if been discussed before). It is because has been a dry spring? Or have they somehow changed something so less likely to be a mudfest?!

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steviewevie Grand Master

steviewevie

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Posted (edited)
15 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

Latest GFS not complete...but still looking like hot the end of next week, and then weekend of 18th/19th onwards looks pretty unsettled and wet...before and during festival. So, bit shit really. But maybe these GFS precipitation pics on that netweather site are a bit misleading...because BBC is having none of it and has sun/cloud with small chance of rain up until the 23rd. Infact BBC looks so perfect I might just look at that one from now on.

https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/gfs

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2640282

BBC one doesn't have it getting that hot end of next week either. Is BBC one any good?

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JoeyT Veteran

JoeyT

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1 minute ago, steviewevie said:

how come? (sorry if been discussed before). It is because has been a dry spring? Or have they somehow changed something so less likely to be a mudfest?!

Everything you see on the webcam is artificial grass now. Just made more sense…

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AlexOvd Proficient

AlexOvd

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Posted (edited)
39 minutes ago, JoeyT said:

So Download and Isle of Wight look set to have decent weather and Glastonbury could be a wet one?

The weather gods have no taste.

Not all festivals are living a good weekend. Novarock, a festival in Austria I used to attend in the past, had an absolute carnage yesterday on arrival (Glasto 16 style) and the weather the first two days is basically a shitshow. Even they needed to open a stage later and cancel some acts because of the rain. And they usually have very good weather. Their Instagram is basically a sea of people complaining. You never know!

Anyway, I AM SCARED.

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Havors Proficient

Havors

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Well the accuweathet changed last night from dry up to the 23rd to now showers here and there from 20th to 24th. That's as far as it goes for now on the app.

If it can change instantly over night it can change again.  We need to High pressure to go balls out and hang around longer than expected.  

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AlexOvd Proficient

AlexOvd

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12 minutes ago, Havors said:

Well the accuweathet changed last night from dry up to the 23rd to now showers here and there from 20th to 24th. That's as far as it goes for now on the app.

If it can change instantly over night it can change again.  We need to High pressure to go balls out and hang around longer than expected.  

There is very good weather straight after and before, we just need that to be moved a bit to match with the festival. If it needs to rain, on Sunday please!

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4AssedMonkey Veteran

4AssedMonkey

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I think the site is likely to be more resilient this year purely because it's been so dry recently.  The fields round here have been rock solid ground with cracks in for most of the spring.  We had a few major downpours recently and it's soaked in and made virtually no difference - other than give the plants and crops a growth spurt.  Walking the dog yesterday and the ground is still rock hard.

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chazwwe Veteran

chazwwe

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1 hour ago, steviewevie said:

how come? (sorry if been discussed before). It is because has been a dry spring? Or have they somehow changed something so less likely to be a mudfest?!

The 2016 mud fest was due to weeks worth of rain on the 2 weeks leading up to the festival. Pretty much non stop. To the point that the site was already ruined before people had stepped on. The amount of rain that the site got in the lead up was also a very unusual amount. 

If it rains during the festival, yes there will be mud, but if its only 1.5mm over a day or two (or even the whole weekend) it won't be awful. 

For it to be bad, it needs to really chuck it down either from now(with no dry spells, sun in-between) or during the festival. Which most predictions aren't showing.

Getting worried over 1.5mm of rain over 5 days is silly. 

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bennyboi Enthusiast

bennyboi

Posted
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22 minutes ago, 4AssedMonkey said:

I think the site is likely to be more resilient this year purely because it's been so dry recently.  The fields round here have been rock solid ground with cracks in for most of the spring.  We had a few major downpours recently and it's soaked in and made virtually no difference - other than give the plants and crops a growth spurt.  Walking the dog yesterday and the ground is still rock hard.

Went for a spin a long street hill last night, in the rain. Considering the rain we have had the last week it was not half as bad as I thought it would be. 
Looks lovely today & most of this week. Ground could take a good raining neh bother. 

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LinvoyPrimus Collaborator

LinvoyPrimus

Posted
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6 minutes ago, chazwwe said:

The 2016 mud fest was due to weeks worth of rain on the 2 weeks leading up to the festival. Pretty much non stop. To the point that the site was already ruined before people had stepped on. The amount of rain that the site got in the lead up was also a very unusual amount. 

If it rains during the festival, yes there will be mud, but if its only 1.5mm over a day or two (or even the whole weekend) it won't be awful. 

For it to be bad, it needs to really chuck it down either from now(with no dry spells, sun in-between) or during the festival. Which most predictions aren't showing.

Getting worried over 1.5mm of rain over 5 days is silly. 

Yep. I think people underestimate how difficult it is to completely saturate 900 acres of land. 

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