Weather

[frostypaw]

BBC use MetOffice I think who do it themselves, Metcheck and most others use GFS operational run only. Accuweather have limited human input alongside GFS ensembles and ECMWF if I remember correctly....

2007 it looked awful from over a month out - locked in low jetstream, low after low just praying it'd miss us and it did for wednesday at least

2008/9 both had lower jet streams but slower progress of the systems so nice gaps between and some more northerly and we were lucky but looked in with a chance from this point

2010 was either going to be great or awful and resolved in the last few weeks as the horrible weather moved north

2011 looked probably good from weeks out, 2013 great from weeks out...

This year I'd say looks good to great, hopeful at least. It'd be a shocker of a turnaround from here to end up with awful

Come to us, enter the light.......

NFR NFC

That was the right timing!

[verrymerry]

To anyone swaying from the good cause... We don't want another 2007!

[tigger123]

http://forum.netweather.tv/blog/189/entry-4763-glastonbury-festival-2014-25-to-29-june-forecast-no-6-issued-11-june/

Getting steadily worse ah well still 2 weeks. a lot can change in that time, this week was supposed to be raining and has been glorious NFR NFC

[majormajormajor]

Beginning to look like we'll have our wellies on for a good chunk of the week...

Edited June 11, 2014 by majormajormajor

[Bubblecup]

still 0.5 points less mudbath than 3 days ago!

[Ted Dansons Wig]

http://forum.netweather.tv/blog/189/entry-4763-glastonbury-festival-2014-25-to-29-june-forecast-no-6-issued-11-june/

Getting steadily worse ah well still 2 weeks. a lot can change in that time, this week was supposed to be raining and has been glorious NFR NFC

There's time yet. Sounds somewhere about the 2008/9 level at the mo. bit of rain - some welly wearing. Grudgingly I'd settle for that - though I do note it's still better than this time before 2010 and look how that ended up

[Ted Dansons Wig]

To anyone swaying from the good cause... We don't want another 2007!

Yr last photo is the killer. The difference between a bit of rain and a mud bath is where the mud loses its contours and stickiness and becomes sludge. Less sticky - much more slippy.

[justperfect]

I'd take the 5.5 rating

[majormajormajor]

i reckon monday night we can start to get a slighty clearer picture though

and by monday, i mean monday 23/06 nothing to worry about yet!

Edited June 11, 2014 by majormajormajor

[frostypaw]

http://forum.netweather.tv/blog/189/entry-4763-glastonbury-festival-2014-25-to-29-june-forecast-no-6-issued-11-june/

Getting steadily worse ah well still 2 weeks. a lot can change in that time, this week was supposed to be raining and has been glorious NFR NFC

Beginning to look like we'll have our wellies on for a good chunk of the week...

You lot can be such a load of depressing sops!

It's gone from "neutral" so say 5 out of 10

To "slightly negative" so say 4.5 out of 10 - and you're already crying into your dinner and talking about wellies all week?

Seriously. The options aren't blazing uber-sun or mudbath - there is a scale here

[Yesiamaduck]

EH the way I see it the weather is too slow to change from what we have now to anything resembling rain in the space of 2 and a half weeks.

-> Duck, Weather Science God, 2014 E-Festivals Forum

Edited June 11, 2014 by Yesiamaduck

[scorp]

All balmy over at the met office: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Monday 16 Jun 2014 to Wednesday 25 Jun 2014 [and beyond]:

Remaining largely dry for the bulk of the country as high pressure dominates bringing sunny spells, but also variable amounts of cloud at times. The best of the sunshine will be in sheltered southern and southwestern parts. However, thicker cloud and sporadic rain may affect northern and northwestern parts at times, and occasionally make erratic progress southwards; but any rain will tend to become very light and patchy as it crosses the UK with many areas seeing no rain. Daytime temperatures will be largely rather warm, especially in sheltered southern parts. However, it will feel cooler at times in the cloudier north and northwest and also where exposed to onshore breezes. The settled theme is likely to persist into the following week.

[majormajormajor]

You lot can be such a load of depressing sops!

It's gone from "neutral" so say 5 out of 10

To "slightly negative" so say 4.5 out of 10 - and you're already crying into your dinner and talking about wellies all week?

Seriously. The options aren't blazing uber-sun or mudbath - there is a scale here

it was a wind up. we can't seriously know much until after june 21...

[Gnomicide]

All balmy over at the met office: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Monday 16 Jun 2014 to Wednesday 25 Jun 2014 [and beyond]:

Remaining largely dry for the bulk of the country as high pressure dominates bringing sunny spells, but also variable amounts of cloud at times. The best of the sunshine will be in sheltered southern and southwestern parts. However, thicker cloud and sporadic rain may affect northern and northwestern parts at times, and occasionally make erratic progress southwards; but any rain will tend to become very light and patchy as it crosses the UK with many areas seeing no rain. Daytime temperatures will be largely rather warm, especially in sheltered southern parts. However, it will feel cooler at times in the cloudier north and northwest and also where exposed to onshore breezes. The settled theme is likely to persist into the following week.

Now this I like.

[tigger123]

This is pretty promising and pretty cool to see met office specific forecast map for glasto. Obviously not that reliable this far out so large pinch of salt needed

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/events/glastonbury-festival#?tab=map&map=SignificantWeather&zoom=8&lon=-2.72&lat=51.15&fcTime=1402498800

Edited June 11, 2014 by tigger123

[Bubblecup]

This is pretty promising and pretty cool to see met office specific forecast map for glasto. Obviously not that reliable this far out so large pinch of salt needed

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/events/glastonbury-festival#?tab=map&map=SignificantWeather&zoom=8&lon=-2.72&lat=51.15&fcTime=1402498800

Is this not last years forecast?

[JayBalls]

Though I do note it's still better than this time before 2010 and look how that ended up

That's the spirit

[scaryclaireyfairy]

Is this not last years forecast?

yep, and even with the benefit of hindsight they missed the rain on the thursday.

edit: actually maybe it's not. who can tell.

Edited June 11, 2014 by scaryclaireyfairy

[fur_q]

yep, and even with the benefit of hindsight they missed the rain on the thursday.

It's the forecast for the next 5 days in Pilton, not the original forecast from last year.

[julesangel]

http://forum.netweather.tv/blog/189/entry-4763-glastonbury-festival-2014-25-to-29-june-forecast-no-6-issued-11-june/

Tonight's Jack1's blog is out

[kalifire]

That might as well be in Japanese for me! From what I can tell, it's not hugely positive...

[frostypaw]

5.5 out of 10 where 10 is mudbath still

Tis nothing - just neutral really, don't panic. If you look at what he says about the various GFS runs they slowly improve this time - it will wiggle around up and down so neutral is just fine

[guypjfreak]

tis gonna be nice folks

[jeffie]

tis gonna be nice folks

Guy. Leave the kids alone.

[simonizer]

The way I see it , we are not going to see any cataclysmic weather anomalies . It will most likely see a shower or two with pleasant , not incredibly warm but generally acceptable spells of bright weather. I will be mostly happy with a mixed bag .