Weather

[JayBalls]

This weeks weather would be perfect I was thinking this morning

It's just making sure the ground is thoroughly dry before the heatwave

[Midnight Man]

I have a good feeling about this year...

[The Nal]

The flash flooding in 2005 wasn't forecast. Go prepared for the apocalypse and you'll be dancing with joy in light showers.

It was but only the day before. Or maybe that day.

Anyone regularly checking weather updates this early will drive themselves round the fucking bend.

[nickharley]

It was but only the day before. Or maybe that day.

Anyone regularly checking weather updates this early will drive themselves round the fucking bend.

Yes... Need. To. Stop.

[JoeyT]

Come on Nal it's all part of the fun in the run up to the fest

[The Nal]

Come on Nal it's all part of the fun in the run up to the fest

Fair enough.

Heres a picture of the German girl so.

[shoptildrop]

weather predictions change daily yesterday the below site said sun all through now it's saying rain - they basically haven't a fookin clue!!

http://www.festiweather.com/forecast.asp?EventID=667&Event=Glastonbury%20Festival%202014

[Woffy]

I think Windy_Miller summed up the Weather Thread perfectly, thus:

"It might be dry or it might rain. Basically we don't have a clue."

[Woffy]

Or as recently as shoptildrop:

"weather predictions change daily yesterday the below site said sun all through now it's saying rain - they basically haven't a fookin clue!!"

[fur_q]

Weather presitcions change 4 times a day as that's when the models are run. If your talking about predicting exactly what the weather will be doing in a small location and at a particular point in time then yes any thing further that 36 hours will not be very accurate. But if you start to read the models properly then you can start to get a good idea of what the general weather conditions would be like in a much wider area providing you take into consideration the confidence in such forcasts. As I said yesterday looking t the models I think there's a high probability that over the next week or so Somerset will be mostly fine and summery with a chane of the odd small, isolated shower. After about Tuesday/Wednesday confidence in any forcasts drops off somewhat so predictions from that point onwards shouldn't be taken too seriously at this point.

[Glastonlocal]

I think Windy_Miller summed up the Weather Thread perfectly, thus:

"It might be dry or it might rain. Basically we don't have a clue."

and summing up your thread

"It might be dry or it might rain. Basically we're going to pretend it'll be dry."

[frostypaw]

weather predictions change daily yesterday the below site said sun all through now it's saying rain - they basically haven't a fookin clue!!

http://www.festiweather.com/forecast.asp?EventID=667&Event=Glastonbury%20Festival%202014

No. They have plenty of clues, but not the precise unchanging prediction you desire, because you haven't a clue.

Sorry to be a tad rude, but the constant parade of people who don't understand that the future isn't fixed and easily predicable year in year out every festival is just ridiculous

Must feel god awful being a weather person with the constant stream of abuse they get despite the prediction accuracy going up all the time I feel well sorry for them

[Filthy]

This thread plays the percentages which I prefer, the other goes with blind faith. Either both or neither may end up being right, that's the nature of probability. I've got nothing against the NFR NFC people, I just don't want to have to read it. The joke wore thin a few years back imo

[rischbrit]

http://uknw.co.uk/hotter-than-africa-british-weather-temperatures-to-rise-to-30c/

For up to three months.....allegedly

[A Guy Called Matt]

This thread plays the percentages which I prefer, the other goes with blind faith. Either both or neither may end up being right, that's the nature of probability. I've got nothing against the NFR NFC people, I just don't want to have to read it. The joke wore thin a few years back imo

If you like Rik Mayall I would read it today.

[DeanoL]

Must feel god awful being a weather person with the constant stream of abuse they get despite the prediction accuracy going up all the time I feel well sorry for them

They bring it on themselves the way it's reported. You sure can't predict a week out in any less than very general terms, but the forecasters insist on giving a temperature to a tenth of a degree and the precise number of millimeters of rain.

[Trebor]

This thread plays the percentages which I prefer, the other goes with blind faith. Either both or neither may end up being right, that's the nature of probability. I've got nothing against the NFR NFC people, I just don't want to have to read it. The joke wore thin a few years back imo

Last I checked it was either pics of hippos or people just saying what the weather was doing where they lived, months before the festival. I think the joke was funny for about two minutes.

[JoeyT]

As this is the place for real weather chat and we've all recognised forecasts this far out can't be taken with more than a pinch of salt let's get back to the fun that each set of charts brings.

Be that smiley happy people when it's positive and unhappy people when they suggest rain / low pressure.

[rebus]

I can't decide at this point if its more worrying to have good or bad weather outside the window.

[CaledonianGonzo]

This is the only weather forecast I trust:

http://www.taps-aff.co.uk/

We need one for Worthy Farm.

[autoinflate]

http://www.taps-aff.co.uk/pilton

[CaledonianGonzo]

TAPS AFF!

[matt_berr]

for the proper weather geeks - this forum is good:

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/80477-model-output-discussion-310514-onwards/page-23

some particularly good updates for the long terms 2 week + forecast today

the ensembles are also starting to suppor this

[autoinflate]

and stay aff

[kh24]

There was a lot of love for the yr.no Norwegian weather site on here one year (Norwegian Met Office I think). Can anyone remind me why? Is it in any way more reliable/thorough than many other website offerings?

Here is long-range Pilton link anyway: http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Pilton~2640282/long.html

Obviously netweather pretty much have it covered, but just curious to know how it is rated by those in the know