Weather

[Guest]

There was an interesting plot line in yesterday's Archers.

One of the characters, looking at a long range weather forecast for a 'festival'. Promptly she was reminded that Long range forecasts are not to be trusted.

Couldn't help but be reminded of this thread!

@ 03:19 if you wanna listen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b045z7s4

Tom's not selling his sausages again is he?

[Woffy]

There's no ill feeling, just a reason there are two threads - the silly massively interrupts all other discussion if every post about the weather models is followed by a page of silly. That's all - look at the size of this current tangent alone

I am unable to choose a daily newspaper to read for this very same reason.

[Bubblecup]

By far the most reliable source of weather http://www.thefuckingweather.com/?where=glastonbury+uk

[The Pumpkin King]

Get it up ya!

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/britain-could-be-in-for-the-warmest-summer-everbut-dont-break-out-the-suncream-just-yet-9520082.html

The Met Office's 30-day forecast predicts that after today, the weather is expected to settle down with many areas having some warm sunshine, although there are still likely to be showers in the north west.

Edited June 10, 2014 by The Pumpkin King

[Bradders]

For the Independent, that's shite journalism. Well, not shite journalim. Shite English.

There is a 100% chance it may be the warmest summer ever.

There is a 100% chance it could be the coldest summer ever.

What they say ("there is a 25% chance it may", "there is a 10% chance it could") means nothing at all.

[Glastonlocal]

I spoke to the NFR lot last night, a thoroughly nice bunch they are too. (Even after I started a mud thread) They are enjoying themselves in their quest to have a lack of rain. More power to them.

I like reading the graphs too. I cant quite grasp such the ill feeling towards them. Both groups want a lack of rain..

I enjoy them, just don't understand 'em.

they're fine really.

[Woffy]

"Sounds like the Met Office is hedging it's bets again...."It may be warm but it may also be wet. We don't know" is what they're basically saying"

[jeffie]

I enjoy them, just don't understand 'em.

they're fine really.

Ditto

We love everyone

Edited June 10, 2014 by jeffie

[fur_q]

"Sounds like the Met Office is hedging it's bets again...."It may be warm but it may also be wet. We don't know" is what they're basically saying"

That's not at all what they're saying, although that Indie article is terrible.

The actual report from the met office is saying that they predict above average temperatures and below average rainfall (averaged out over the 3 month period) as with any scientific prediction they include a 'margin of error' within their reporting, I think what the Indie are, very badly, trying to point out is that for the temperature predictions the lowest point in the margin of error is lower than the historical average.

[math125]

Reading the long range forecast directly from the met office website it's completey different to what The Independent has reported.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_alltext.html

UK Outlook for Wednesday 25 Jun 2014 to Wednesday 9 Jul 2014:

Through the latter part of June and into early July, there are indications that conditions may turn a little more unsettled, particularly across northwestern parts of the UK, with the best of the drier and brighter conditions towards the south and east. Temperatures are likely to be around average for eastern areas, and given the time of year, feeling warm in the sunshine, however temperatures may be a little below average in more unsettled northwestern areas.

Updated: 1234 on Tue 10 Jun 2014

[TaBoosh]

Glasto isn't in the Northwest though

[Aragorn]

Overnight GFS is a corker for Wednesday to Friday

High pressure dominates

[Aragorn]

It's too early!

of course - it is highly unlikely to verify. But I'd bank it right now. Until we get within 92 hours on the models its just a trend

[howlin_pete]

I posted on here two weeka ago that some of the charts were predicting a heatwave for this weekend. They wernt a million miles away!

[JoeyT]

Aragorn that high pressure looks incredible!

[Midnight Man]

Overnight GFS is a corker for Wednesday to Friday

High pressure dominates

Things are taking a turn for the good!

[Spliffman]

I've stayed away from this topic until yesterday. and now I'm back again.

Oh my, Glastonbury must be getting close! ;-)>

[JayBalls]

[stuartbert two hats]

So just waiting on the blog tonight. Things are getting exciting!

[Woffy]

Cheeky!

[Stu H]

Glastonburyios interior. Scorchio.

Glastonburyios exterior. Scorchio.

Glastonburyios coasto. Scorchio.

[Gnomicide]

Glastonburyios interior. Scorchio.

Glastonburyios exterior. Scorchio.

Glastonburyios coasto. Scorchio.

Eth eth eth, eth etheth ethetheth.

[Gnomicide]

No likey...

http://www.worldweatheronline.com/Pilton-weather/Rutland/GB.aspx?day=20

Only goes to 26th but far too much rain in the build up.

[Abster]

No likey...

http://www.worldweatheronline.com/Pilton-weather/Rutland/GB.aspx?day=20

Only goes to 26th but far too much rain in the build up.

Next....

Not liking this report, it's raining on my birthday!

[siblin]

No likey...

http://www.worldweatheronline.com/Pilton-weather/Rutland/GB.aspx?day=20

Only goes to 26th but far too much rain in the build up.

which is at odds with the weather outlooks current 16 day forecast which has an effective heatwave right before the festival which ends on the Thursday