Weather

[Mr.Tease]

which is at odds with the weather outlooks current 16 day forecast which has an effective heatwave right before the festival which ends on the Thursday

It's almost as if long range forecasts are all just guess work!

[siblin]

It's almost as if long range forecasts are all just guess work!

hehe though now we're in the two week window that become "Mid-range", though still largely nonsense..

[Mr.Tease]

hehe though now we're in the two week window that become "Mid-range", though still largely nonsense..

This is the last week I think we can dismiss it as pure made up nonsense- this time next week, when the forecasts start to become more reliable, this weather thread becomes tense stuff!

[PaulieV]

Here's a forecast in the run-up to 2010. There's still everything to play for.

http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2010/06/glastonbury-festival-weather-forecast-forecast-2010/

[Mr.Tease]

Here is the weather thread for 2010, just so you can judge the accuracy of the weather forecasts at about this time frame:

http://www.efestivals.co.uk/forums/topic/133023-weather-thread-2010/page-52

[Homer]

Eth eth eth, eth etheth ethetheth.

... Chris Waddle.

And while we're on the subject, Accuweather's looking v good!

http://www.accuweather.com/en/gb/bristol/bs1-6/june-weather/327328

[JoeyT]

Just had a look and the weather thread was on 33 pages as of this time last year then jumped to 132 pages by the Tuesday of the festival week.

So many more ups and downs to be had!!

[adeadenemy]

... Chris Waddle.

And while we're on the subject, Accuweather's looking v good!

http://www.accuweather.com/en/gb/bristol/bs1-6/june-weather/327328

It's not looking as good as it was this time yesterday.

This thread has turned me into a nervous wreck, think I'll just stick to praying to the god's of the sun.

Edited June 11, 2014 by adeadenemy

[jeffie]

It's not looking as good as it was this time yesterday.

This thread has turned me into a nervous wreck, think I'll just stick to praying to the god's of the sun.

Come to us, enter the light.......

NFR NFC

[Mr.Tease]

Just to give you an idea of what rainfall amounts actually are in practical terms:

-last year the rain that fell on the Thursday/Friday, was estimated to be a total of 10mm.

-I think in the infamous storm of 2005, it was over 100mm of rain in 4 hours!

[Mr.Tease]

In this time frame in 2011, the weather forecasts were looking very dire:

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/69427-glastonbury-2011/page-5

with J10's forecast on the 13th June (one week before gates opened):

The Jet Stream is also showing slight signs of edging/pushing north from around Wednesday Thursday next week. As for a washout dry akin to yesterday, the most likely time for that will be this weekend, and even then I don't think it will be as wet as yesterday. Going on current trends especially the ensembles, apart some possible moderate rain on Wednesday, it may well stay mostly dry for the rest of the festival.

[stuartbert two hats]

Just to give you an idea of what rainfall amounts actually are in practical terms:

-last year the rain that fell on the Thursday/Friday, was estimated to be a total of 10mm.

-I think in the infamous storm of 2005, it was over 100mm of rain in 4 hours!

Any idea how much fell in 2007?

[Abster]

Any idea how much fell in 2007?

A shed load!

I was looking through friends photos on FB the other day of 2007... It was their first year and they all look cold and miserable..... Needless to say they did return...

So glad I missed that year...

[stuartbert two hats]

A shed load!

I was looking through friends photos on FB the other day of 2007... It was their first year and they all look cold and miserable..... Needless to say they did return...

So glad I missed that year...

I remember that much! Made my wife not return until we can afford a campervan. She also went in 97+98. You'll be glad to hear we don't have that campervan yet.

[Homer]

A shed load!

I was looking through friends photos on FB the other day of 2007... It was their first year and they all look cold and miserable..... Needless to say they did return...

So glad I missed that year...

The only stat I do know was that in 2005 the average rainfall for the whole of June fell in one morning! And then it stopped and we had a right laugh.

[Mr.Tease]

Any idea how much fell in 2007?

Nope- unfortunately JackONE's blogs for that year have been deleted. All I know is that the weather forecast looked like it was going to be a stinker, pretty early on, and yet somehow it got even worse! (don't think the Sunday night final-kick-in-the-teeth deluge was predicted initially!)

[stuartbert two hats]

Nope- unfortunately JackONE's blogs for that year have been deleted. All I know is that the weather forecast looked like it was going to be a stinker, pretty early on, and yet somehow it got even worse! (don't think the Sunday night final-kick-in-the-teeth deluge was predicted initially!)

Yeah, that's how I remember it.

[JayBalls]

I'm on edge waiting for the update this eve

[FuzzyDunlop]

A week on sunday is THE update. The countryfile one.

[A Guy Called Matt]

A week on sunday is THE update. The countryfile one.

but that only goes up to Friday....................

Will someone please think of the weekend?

[Mr.Tease]

A week on sunday is THE update. The countryfile one.

That has been discredited in years gone by- they once got it bang on many years ago, but they have been hit or miss for as long as I can remember!

[howlin_pete]

Surely they use the exact same data as the BBC website? Which is consistently inaccurate?

[Abster]

That has been discredited in years gone by- they once got it bang on many years ago, but they have been hit or miss for as long as I can remember!

This week they said we was getting showers, so far we had a down pour on Monday afternoon and it's been sunny since!

[TaBoosh]

Think it's down to interpretation/experience though

[bucko]

a nice little tune for you while we wait for j10.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1xA7YRsL21g&list=PL2eo03ScXsnqLXZ4nqZ0_ezhYXwGe4jnm&index=4

Edited June 11, 2014 by bucko