That weather forecast thread (2022)

[alberto_balsam]

Where are people getting these apocalyptic forecasts for Friday? Met Office has 30% chance of rain

[SighMo]

5 minutes ago, alberto_balsam said:

Where are people getting these apocalyptic forecasts for Friday? Met Office has 30% chance of rain

It’s The Nal; you obviously haven’t been in the Glasto weather thread 🤣

[paulwa]

1 hour ago, alberto_balsam said:

Where are people getting these apocalyptic forecasts for Friday? Met Office has 30% chance of rain

I’m finding the Met Office app to appear optimistic, whereas really it’s slow to catch up with the others. 

[Fat_Buddha]

Someone mentioned weather pro as being the most accurate……it’s predicting 4.4 mm rain on Friday morning. Is that a lot?

Edited August 31, 2022 by Fat_Buddha

[Guy Incognito]

8 minutes ago, Fat_Buddha said:

Someone mentioned weather pro as being the most accurate……it’s predicting 4.4 mm rain on Friday morning. Is that a lot.

nah

[Neville Street]

BBC Weather looks like a very tricky weekend. Not taking wellies, but definitely a waterproof coat and walking boots. A shame, it was all looking so good 10 days ago. Let’s hope whatever comes blows through quickly.

[Nick07]

Looks grim Friday and Sunday 😬

[Guy Incognito]

It won't be as bad as the forecasts are showing. I'm sure of it. 

[zahidf]

From drownedinsound based on the ciurrent maps of pressure

 

This is cumulative rainfall between now and midnight Sunday. What’s over the site isn’t really that much (and is predominantly on Sunday). What’s over Cornwall would be horrendous, so if the forecasts shifts that low pressure slightly east it will be a disaster, but if it shifts slightly west it will be relatively dry.

[robith]

On the plus side, the pegs from our tents will go in the ground

[Trolleyhead]

probably neither here nor there but last year I went to bed on Wed night with BBC predictions of rain for a fair amount of the festival.  Woke up Thursday  - met office had remodelled , forecast moved to dry / sunny , which indeed it was. Seems a bit more ominous this year but as others have said it may not be too bad and the forecasts may be a bit off. That's what I am telling myself anyway. 

 

[Guy Incognito]

Yr.no has know moved all the rain to Sunday. 

 

 

[HastingsBoy]

It'll be what it'll be. My only real concern is getting off site again, hopefully on Monday. Anyone else had big problems before when there's been very heavy rain? 

[Vamagus]

In 2017, when it chucked it down most of Sunday, the car park was fine apart from a bit of mud around the gate which they’d put straw down on. However we left relatively early so it may have got worse later.

[HastingsBoy]

17 minutes ago, Vamagus said:

In 2017, when it chucked it down most of Sunday, the car park was fine apart from a bit of mud around the gate which they’d put straw down on. However we left relatively early so it may have got worse later.

I was there that year and left on the Sunday morning as it was so grim. It was OK then but hadn't had a full day of rain. My family are bringing a campervan this year. Hopefully they will be OK getting out too.

I only ask as I experienced the horror of Glastonbury 2007. Getting out the car park was an absolute nightmare.

[Guy Incognito]

I must be the only person who didn't find the weather on that Sunday in 2017 that bad. 

I just layered up, got pissed and had a great time. 

[eagles69]

I have no problem with rain. I stayed to the end that Sunday. Bought a rough trade t shirt to change into half way through.  The only thing I found irritating was getting into the big top and tipi as most punters were using it for shelter. Most not even interested in who was playing 

Edited August 31, 2022 by eagles69

[Dancers Stand Very Still]

1 hour ago, eagles69 said:

 The only thing I found irritating was getting into the big top and tipi as most punters were using it for shelter. Most not even interested in who was playing 

That's exactly my concern!

I don't think I'll have time to do my usual full forecast for the weekend but on first glance it doesn't look particularly pretty. I'll just stick waterproofs on and get on with it but I do feel I've been particularly unlucky having fairly significant rain each of the three times I've camped this summer when it didn't rain for almost 8 weeks at home 😛.

[Dancers Stand Very Still]

For those who are super-interested though, this is the primary model I'd use for medium term forecasting, with the site pinpointed: https://www.wxcharts.com/?panel=default&model=ecmwf,ecmwf,ecmwf,ecmwf&region=eng&chart=overview,accprecip,wind10mkph,snowdepth&run=12&step=066&plottype=10&lat=50.952&lon=-2.083&skewtstep=0

For short term (next 48 hours), this is one is generally really good: https://www.wxcharts.com/?panel=default&model=arome,arome,arome,arome&region=eng&chart=preciprate,accprecip,wind10mkph,snowdepth&run=12&step=012&plottype=10&lat=50.952&lon=-2.083&skewtstep=0

[Jeel]

3 hours ago, eagles69 said:

I have no problem with rain. I stayed to the end that Sunday. Bought a rough trade t shirt to change into half way through.  The only thing I found irritating was getting into the big top and tipi as most punters were using it for shelter. Most not even interested in who was playing 

 

2 hours ago, JHad said:

That's exactly my concern!

I don't think I'll have time to do my usual full forecast for the weekend but on first glance it doesn't look particularly pretty. I'll just stick waterproofs on and get on with it but I do feel I've been particularly unlucky having fairly significant rain each of the three times I've camped this summer when it didn't rain for almost 8 weeks at home 😛.

I think EOTR is a really bad site when it's raining. There seems to be very limited cover. Which is basically bars or Tipi/Big Top. Frustrating as it's difficult to see bands and there are just people in there eating or sheltering. Or get a drink because you have to fight your way in. 

[The Nal]

Fuck me. Wrap up folks. We're getting absolutely pissed on. 

[Vamagus]

5 hours ago, Guy Incognito said:

I must be the only person who didn't find the weather on that Sunday in 2017 that bad. 

I just layered up, got pissed and had a great time. 

Us neither - it was a bit damp that’s all

[RedRockRick]

Reading the above, first thing I’m doing when I get there is moving the Boat up to the car.

[SweepingTheNation]

11 hours ago, paulwa said:

I’m finding the Met Office app to appear optimistic, whereas really it’s slow to catch up with the others. 

Met Office predicted showers, some heavy, over the weekend of Green Man when there was barely a drop, whereas BBC was more accurate. At the moment the BBC chart is predicting thundery showers for Friday afternoon but the text outlook further down talks about sunny spells and scattered showers.

[Guy Incognito]

Big improvement overnight