The Weather Thread 2022

[kalifire]

Getting the scorching weekend out of the way first suits me just fine. My ideal Glasto temperature is a degree or two either side of 20. Low teens overnight. Shorts all weekend. 

[SighMo]

22 minutes ago, danmarks said:

Thats my last 3 too. Be thankful it's green man and end of the road that will be wet this year 

Wait a minute… we’re at those too. 

[Toilet Duck]

22 minutes ago, danmarks said:

Thats my last 3 too. Be thankful it's green man and end of the road that will be wet this year 

If only ye had done ‘05 instead of ‘07, it’d be the Coldplay/Mudfest hat trick!

[waynewdk]

In the flooding year and the really muddy years. Was it plain to see in the run up it was going to be bad

[Brad2434]

1 minute ago, waynewdk said:

In the flooding year and the really muddy years. Was it plain to see in the run up it was going to be bad

2016 it rained for the few weeks leading up to the festival, then the forecast the week before looked like it was gonna clear up, then by the Tuesday night it just rained and didnt stop all wednesday. By that point the ground had absolutely no chance. 

[Tranquility of Solitude]

1 hour ago, ghandi said:

If its Scorcio its a bandana and hat for baldie old me. Soak bandana head at water points and put hat on.

Exactly what I do. Although I’ve still go hair.... but less than I used to have.

[briddj]

The new GFS run is well under way. Not in the festival timeframe yet.

But these charts for Wednesday 15th are a good indicator of how much more certainty there is within a 5-day window.

Left is the second-last run, right is the latest run.

Edited June 11, 2022 by briddj

[PolygonWindow]

Have Met office updated their long forecast? Is this good or bad?

[MoonBuggy]

26 minutes ago, waynewdk said:

In the flooding year and the really muddy years. Was it plain to see in the run up it was going to be bad

It’d already been raining for a week or so at this point and wasn’t letting up, so it was pretty clear the ground was going to be a swamp. We’d need pretty apocalyptic rain for it to get that bad on a bone dry site.

Even the worst gfs runs only looked like a few cm if I’m reading them right? Ground should be totally fine. 

[AlexOvd]

AccuWeather adding an extra day on rain on the festival, if I am not wrong before they were giving two. 

 

Edited June 11, 2022 by AlexOvd

[PolygonWindow]

1 minute ago, AlexOvd said:

AccuWeather adding an extra day on rain on the festival, if I am not wrong before they were giving two. 

 

Gonna storm innit 

[Skier68]

5 hours ago, crazyfool1 said:

The coop and some ice is your friend and having a hat you can soak in water 

A hat you can soak in water @crazyfool1??? You will electrocute yourself won’t you??

[HyperTechnoHorse]

This has 2005 written all over it. Game over. 

[Crazyfool01]

Just now, Skier68 said:

A hat you can soak in water @crazyfool1??? You will electrocute yourself won’t you??

If it’s really hot the pyramid will go in the lockups … I’ve a reserve hat for this 

[kalifire]

5 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said:

Gonna storm innit 

Tuesday: 0.0mm (day) / 0.3mm (night)
Wednesday: 0.3mm (day) / 0.0mm (night)
Thursday: 1.1mm (day) / 0.3mm (night)
Friday: 0.7mm (day) / 0.2mm (night)
Saturday: 4.7mm (day) / 0.0mm (night)
Sunday: 2.7mm (day) / 9.0mm (night)

Aside from Sunday night, that’s not too bad. Saturday morning equates to 2 hours of rain. 

[swordfishtrombone]

15 minutes ago, AlexOvd said:

AccuWeather adding an extra day on rain on the festival, if I am not wrong before they were giving two. 

 

Yes they are, but if you look at what they are referring to as rain there, it's very low amounts. 0.7mm on Thursday, 0.8 on friday, 2.8 on Saturday. Only the Saturday one is of any consequence. 

[stuartbert two hats]

I'd be really curious how the site today would cope with 2005 like conditions. Remember those pictures of a lake full of tents? That's now a massive ditch that will drain the water away rapidly. Now it's not as if everything would be fine, but it would be much, much better.

[Crazyfool01]

1 minute ago, stuartbert two hats said:

I'd be really curious how the site today would cope with 2005 like conditions. Remember those pictures of a lake full of tents? That's now a massive ditch that will drain the water away rapidly. Now it's not as if everything would be fine, but it would be much, much better.

And the other stage field / lake also has new drainage 

[briddj]

Still dry and warm for gates open. Shaping up for a warm Wednesday still but not as warm as the last run... a lovely day...

[steviewevie]

so far so good...

[briddj]

It's a very good run... Too good too soon?!

Edited June 11, 2022 by briddj

[PolygonWindow]

Just now, briddj said:

It's a very good run...

What does this actually mean vs metoffice tho mate? Surely metoffice more accurate long term no?

[briddj]

1 minute ago, PolygonWindow said:

What does this actually mean vs metoffice tho mate? Surely metoffice more accurate long term no?

This is just one modelling method. There are several.

[briddj]

Sunday's rain has now gone. Latest on the right.

 

And Sunday now Scorchio. Latest on the right. Way, way too early for Sunday for those worried about the heat.

 

 

 

 

 

[The Nal]

11 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said:

What does this actually mean vs metoffice tho mate? 

It's all a load of bollocks