U.S. Presidential Election

[Lizzim]

Just now, danbailey80 said:

I saw that. I'm not convinced. PA is Trump's sadly. We'd have to get about 80% of votes left. Ok I guessing now. 

Could be doable in Philly

[Guest]

Just now, Zoo Music Girl said:

Ha they are massive nerds to be fair.

Definitely can't pull another allnighter... bloody timezones.

You didn't even pull one last night, light weight  

[Sawdusty surfer]

1 minute ago, Ozanne said:

What does that mean?

It means that if you bet money on trump to win you'll get four times your stake back if Trump wins. If you bet money on Biden to win you'll get a quarter of your stake back as profit if he wins. 

The bookies are non partisan and generate odds on date so that they always make a profit.

In a nutshell it means that Trumps chances of winning are getting slimmer.

 

[parsonjack]

If Michigan gets called then we're 6 short....Nevada would seal it but what's the forecast there?

[Zoo Music Girl]

1 minute ago, Ozanne said:

You didn't even pull one last night, light weight  

Neither did you!

[stuartbert two hats]

12 minutes ago, Lizzim said:

Back to my Roman republic comparison.  The reason Ceaser threw the dice and crossed the Rubicon was because he was boxed in and facing a lot worse than jail.

Yeah, it's a great comparison. Trump's back is against the wall like no president in living memory. He can't just fuck off to his ranch and paint, when Trump is out of power, he's in deep, deep shit.

[Guest]

Just now, Zoo Music Girl said:

Neither did you!

If it counts I barely slept, only had 2 hours. so nerrr

2 minutes ago, Sawdusty Surfer said:

It means that if you bet money on trump to win you'll get four times your stake back if Trump wins. If you bet money on Biden to win you'll get a quarter of your stake back as profit if he wins. 

The bookies are non partisan and generate odds on date so that they always make a profit.

In a nutshell it means that Trumps chances of winning are getting slimmer.

 

Cheers mate!

[jparx]

5 minutes ago, danbailey80 said:

I saw that. I'm not convinced. PA is Trump's sadly. We'd have to get about 80% of votes left. Ok I guessing now. 

I dunno man, lots of votes to go and it’s consistently moving to Biden the more that are counted.

[ModernMan]

2 minutes ago, parsonjack said:

If Michigan gets called then we're 6 short....Nevada would seal it but what's the forecast there?

Looks like Biden will win but they aren’t counting until tomorrow 

[Kurosagi]

Just now, stuartbert two hats said:

Yeah, it's a great comparison. Trump's back is against the wall like no president in living memory. He can't just fuck off to his ranch and paint, when Trump is out of power, he's in deep, deep shit.

Someone on the 'shit...' thread came up with a really good wheeze: Trump resigns, Pence becomes acting president and makes sure he pardons Trump before January.

Or he just emigrates to Moscow.

[squirrelarmy]

6 minutes ago, danbailey80 said:

I saw that. I'm not convinced. PA is Trump's sadly. We'd have to get about 80% of votes left. Ok I guessing now. 

17% of the vote to come in. Mainly from postal votes in the large cities which are highly democratic votes. 
 

It’s probably irrelevant anyway but will be the difference between at worst a 270-268 Biden result or the more likely 290-248 Trump result. This is Trumps best possible result. I still have the strong feeling that Biden will end up with 310

[Ryan1984]

10 minutes ago, Zoo Music Girl said:

Did Wisconsin definitely get called then? BBC more cautious and haven't called it. I'm guessing because of the requested recount?

Doesn’t the BBC have a rule in their political reporting where they won’t publish things unless like results from votes until fully verified?

[Spindles]

7 minutes ago, danbailey80 said:

I saw that. I'm not convinced. PA is Trump's sadly. We'd have to get about 80% of votes left. Ok I guessing now. 

 

5 minutes ago, Lizzim said:

Could be doable in Philly

550k votes in, about 275k still to come in, Biden currently polling 4 votes to Trump's 1, so perhaps that's around 200k more votes for Biden in the state in that county alone, never mind other urban and suburban areas.  I think it's doable just based on the Philly numbers.  Biden has to make up about 250-300k to take the state.

[Lizzim]

6 minutes ago, Spindles said:

 

550k votes in, about 275k still to come in, Biden currently polling 4 votes to Trump's 1, so perhaps that's around 200k more votes for Biden in the state in that county alone, never mind other urban and suburban areas.  I think it's doable just based on the Philly numbers.  Biden has to make up about 250-300k to take the state.

Dont spoil my dreams..... lets hope PA isnt needed

 

I think you are agreeing - but it has been a long day and i am a whole bottle of redi wine down so i might not be following the numbers....

Edited November 4, 2020 by Lizzim

[jparx]

Put it this way - Biden has a lot of intel in PA and he’s confident he’s done it. And I don’t think that’s bravado, I think he genuinely thinks that. 

[Sawdusty surfer]

1 minute ago, Ozanne said:

 

Cheers mate!

You're welcome. I'm not into betting but like looking at odds in situations like this as I'm quite keen on maths 🤔

And the good news is that Oddschecher has changed again...in the right direction...

Biden 9/2  Trump 2/9

[Spindles]

Just now, Sawdusty Surfer said:

You're welcome. I'm not into betting but like looking at odds in situations like this as I'm quite keen on maths 🤔

And the good news is that Oddschecher has changed again...in the right direction...

Biden 9/2  Trump 2/9

I don't gamble at all, but it really has been interesting to read reports of how the odds have swung over the last 24 hours.

[jparx]

And we’re not far off cutting the Trump lead to under 300K from 650K earlier today.

[Zoo Music Girl]

6 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

If it counts I barely slept, only had 2 hours. so nerrr

I had three so not much in it!

[squirrelarmy]

1 minute ago, Sawdusty Surfer said:

You're welcome. I'm not into betting but like looking at odds in situations like this as I'm quite keen on maths 🤔

And the good news is that Oddschecher has changed again...in the right direction...

Biden 9/2  Trump 2/9

Are those the right way around?

[Guest]

Keep an eye on the Biden vote share for PA, currently at 46.5% on CNN.

[stuartbert two hats]

4 minutes ago, Kurosagi said:

Someone on the 'shit...' thread came up with a really good wheeze: Trump resigns, Pence becomes acting president and makes sure he pardons Trump before January.

Or he just emigrates to Moscow.

You can't pardon someone who hasn't been convicted yet.

[Zoo Music Girl]

4 minutes ago, Ryan1984 said:

Doesn’t the BBC have a rule in their political reporting where they won’t publish things unless like results from votes until fully verified?

They've called it now. Think they are just more cautious.

[Gacheezbo]

The Trump machine going into overdrive simultaneously claiming he has WON PA and that there's mass voter fraud there. Seriously fuck these c**ts

[shoptildrop]

Looks like its getting hairy at the Detroit vote counting centre with loads of people trying to heckle and intimdate the counters there!!

Apparently 100s of "vote checkers" hovering over people and shouting at them

This is video of people trying to get in