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Weather thread 2015


Swine_Glasto2014

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How accurate is this Jack1 guy?

As accurate as the models let him be - it's unfair to blame the guy for supercomputers not being able to solve it, yet some expect him to get his slide rule out and do some magic...

Just learn to filter the bitter folk who get upset when each forecast isn't a Milliband-esque stonecarved guarantee - actually they're probably a lot like that, it's only ever what will happen if the models got it right.

Vote NFRNFC basically

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There does seem to be a growing consensus that there'll be a warm front moving in from Wednesday onwards, peaking Saturday. As everyone says, until this time next week there's no certainty at all really, but that's definitely the trend.

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It is still looking like the high pressure may win the day and hold things back until at least Saturday or so, but you know how things can change.

 

Personally I'm predicting 2010 style weather as some sort of anti-Nal stance.

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2014 would rate a 6/7 IMO

I wouldn't rate it anywhere near as bad as that. Yes we got the massive thunderstorm but the ground was dry as a bone leading up to the festival. The result was mostly a bit of surface slush. Even at its worst you could still clearly see the metal tracks beneath, compared to the years where they're buried under 4 inches of mud!

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I only rated it that badly because most of my time was spent around the JP and silver heyes and the ground was well and truly fu**ed round that part of town. I understand this area generally gets the worst underfoot conditions and I didn't venture further up towards the green fields.

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I only rated it that badly because most of my time was spent around the JP and silver heyes and the ground was well and truly fu**ed round that part of town. I understand this area generally gets the worst underfoot conditions and I didn't venture further up towards the green fields.

Weirdly enough I was thinking of the Silver Hayes trackway when I posted about the mud, because it can get so bad around there. The ground certainly was muddy but not enough to bury the tracking.

Remember that Jackone rates the mud rather than the weather, and down rated his figures a couple of years ago after it was pointed out to him how quickly the ground drys out - he's never been to Glasto..

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As accurate as the models let him be - it's unfair to blame the guy for supercomputers not being able to solve it, yet some expect him to get his slide rule out and do some magic...

Just learn to filter the bitter folk who get upset when each forecast isn't a Milliband-esque stonecarved guarantee - actually they're probably a lot like that, it's only ever what will happen if the models got it right.

Vote NFRNFC basically

 

If that's a bit of a pop at me, you're wrong. I don't expect any forecast from anyone to be correct this far out. But some people (not necessarily you) sometimes appear to be crediting this guy with skills he just doesn't have. He has access to the same information as everyone else and makes his predictions which are generally no more accurate than any other source. He certainly didn't correctly forecast the amount of rain hitting the site at the start of the festival last year even a day or so beforehand.

Edited by Ommadawn
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