The Weather Thread 2022

[CaledonianGonzo]

2 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The Germans throw us a little curveball in the midday run of the ICON model.  It puts the low to our NE unlike the other models. So we’d have showers but it would be decidedly chilly.

Saturday

 

by the Sunday it moves the low away, so would be mostly dry…

What the hell?

[steviewevie]

7 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The Germans throw us a little curveball in the midday run of the ICON model.  It puts the low to our NE unlike the other models. So we’d have showers but it would be decidedly chilly.

Saturday

 

by the Sunday it moves the low away, so would be mostly dry…

[steviewevie]

Netweather latest forecast...bit less rain...(and these are feel like temps)

[AlexOvd]

1 minute ago, steviewevie said:

Netweather latest forecast...bit less rain...(and these are feel like temps)

29 degrees and 28 degrees Thursday and Friday. Boh. 

[Wherethewildthingsare]

3 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

Netweather latest forecast...bit less rain...(and these are feel like temps)

Monday! 😱

[pehaw]

3 minutes ago, AlexOvd said:

29 degrees and 28 degrees Thursday and Friday. Boh. 

Snow risk still 0 too. 👌

[briddj]

WEDNESDAY MORNING - GATES OPEN

As we now know, it's going to be a dry and warm few days. 20 at 9am!

Pressure

Yep, still total agreement on the high being in place. Latest on the left.

 

 

[scaryclaireyfairy]

Netweather can get in the sea with that. Not a bit of it acceptable.

[wilko8]

How many days ago was it that the forecast for today was biblical rain? 

[AlexOvd]

The Nal's favourite, YR, is pushing slowly the rain back with no rain until Saturday afternoon (and just under 2 mm). Hopefully this will be the trend. The more far the rain is, the better chances we have to "fix" it.

Edited June 19, 2022 by AlexOvd

[stuartbert two hats]

7 minutes ago, Wherethewildthingsare said:

Monday! 😱

Monday is ages off. And we might be gone by then.

 

1 minute ago, AlexOvd said:

The Nal's favourite, YR, is pushing slowly the rain back with no rain until Saturday afternoon (and just under 2 mm). Hopefully this will be the trend. The more far the rain is, the better chances we have to "fix" it.

Or even better, miss it entirely 😁

[briddj]

The first two days of the festival.

WEDNESDAY

Totally dry, highs of 24.

Still a very similar pressure picture.

THURSDAY

Totally dry, high of 25.

By Thursday, the pressure picture remains similar - but perhaps a little more in favour of the low.

It's what happens next that's key.

[steviewevie]

4 minutes ago, AlexOvd said:

The Nal's favourite, YR, is pushing slowly the rain back with no rain until Saturday afternoon (and just under 2 mm). Hopefully this will be the trend. The more far the rain is, the better chances we have to "fix" it.

[AlexOvd]

Just now, stuartbert two hats said:

Monday is ages off. And we might be gone by then.

 

Or even better, miss it entirely 😁

Yeah, just by looking at the weather for Glastonbury instead of Pilton the value drop to 5mm on that day.

 

[stopwn1981]

Spoiler alert - the low is coming sooner in this run.

 

[The Nal]

8 minutes ago, AlexOvd said:

The Nal's favourite, YR, is pushing slowly the rain back with no rain until Saturday afternoon (and just under 2 mm). Hopefully this will be the trend. The more far the rain is, the better chances we have to "fix" it.

Hopefully you can fix it for us

[briddj]

Onto the music days.

FRIDAY

Chance of light rain in the evening, but still dry for most of the day. Highs of 20.

The situation with the low pressure continues to change from run to run - though it is consistently coming down.

And this one isn't a good one - more pronounced and closer to the UK.

[steviewevie]

6 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

Spoiler alert - the low is coming sooner in this run.

 

yeah, friday looks a bit wetter.

[Euphoricape]

We have lost the battle

[stopwn1981]

Do we know yet if this is the biggest june blob of low pressure since records began - I recall someone in here saying they had a contact at the met office archives who could confirm?

[Euphoricape]

Saturday and Sunday are obviously gonna be way worse than earlier. Still.time to change?

[CaledonianGonzo]

Really need the high to take its gloves off and start swinging.

[AlexOvd]

4 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Hopefully you can fix it for us

I don't think so. 

[briddj]

SATURDAY

So, how is the influence of the low starting to affect us?

Highs of 19. There is rain around, which doesn't arrive until 3pm and is present in showers through the evening - but nothing to be afraid of.

The low pressure is moving right on top of the UK again in this run.

 

[steviewevie]

saturday doesn't look a total washout...but does look a bit wet.