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The Weather Thread 2024


airwaves

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20 minutes ago, briddj said:

Right then. After a chink of light in the 06Z, how will the 12Z treat us?

 

Let's dive in!

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

This weekend is now completely dry, no rain of any note all the way through to gates open.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry for gates open with very pleasant temperatures of 17-18.

 

Completely dry during the day with highs of 21-22.

 

Overnight temps into Thurs, 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.d7c97f737de51c594f3d7435d24ef0d7.png

 

THURSDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 24.

 

Overnight temps into Fri, 15.

 

image.thumb.png.c2c6907387c905d03dab1b03d746858d.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

 

Overnight temps into Sat, 17.

 

image.thumb.png.c559a3801435ceb55bbadeee9d78f750.png

 

SATURDAY

 

Ignore the bit of blue (nod to Peter Kay) that's so miniscule it wouldn't even be noticed. It's dry, with highs of 25-26 again.

 

Overnight temps into Sun, 14.

 

image.thumb.png.0f67cd1e1534f8103de2f1b002ddb3ef.png

 

High pressure watch? Yes! More dominant with the low pushed back out over Greenland by the high pressure.

 

image.thumb.png.2277aba2689f162cda355e0126b5b29f.png

SUNDAY

 

Pressure drops slightly, so temperatures down to a high of 20. But completely dry.

 

Overnight temps into Mon, 10.

 

image.thumb.png.0c4fff01218fe4029b8c6afac7dd502a.png

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A fantastic run, with no rain but perhaps too warm for Friday and Saturday?

 

But never mind that, there's nothing to be scared of in this run.... Will it continue in the morning?

 

 

 

Screaming into my pillow 

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1 hour ago, gherkin8r said:

Can we get off science and back to wild speculation, pointlessly agonizing over each individual run and overreacting to any change.

Yeah, but you are forgetting if C equals IZ combined with a slow overall pattern of yellow and x2. Oh, and don't forget the possibility of measure 2 overriding a slow downturn on episcopal fronts. All in all we could be looking at fair to middling? (I jest. I love the science weather people. Just don't understand it. Love to all. I mean it) 

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Bit if a change from the ECM in the 12z run.  Rather than build high pressure to the east, it builds a significant high to the west of the country and then starts to drift it across the U.K.    This sequence starts on Monday through to Thursday.   Dry and warm(ish) all the way, and if that high goes where it looks like it will, the dry weather will last at least into the weekend… we shall see in the morning..

 

IMG_4386.thumb.gif.2a5c428c81715c54d6b5f7fad78b92dc.gif

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1 hour ago, briddj said:

Right then. After a chink of light in the 06Z, how will the 12Z treat us?

 

Let's dive in!

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

This weekend is now completely dry, no rain of any note all the way through to gates open.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry for gates open with very pleasant temperatures of 17-18.

 

Completely dry during the day with highs of 21-22.

 

Overnight temps into Thurs, 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.d7c97f737de51c594f3d7435d24ef0d7.png

 

THURSDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 24.

 

Overnight temps into Fri, 15.

 

image.thumb.png.c2c6907387c905d03dab1b03d746858d.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

 

Overnight temps into Sat, 17.

 

image.thumb.png.c559a3801435ceb55bbadeee9d78f750.png

 

SATURDAY

 

Ignore the bit of blue (nod to Peter Kay) that's so miniscule it wouldn't even be noticed. It's dry, with highs of 25-26 again.

 

Overnight temps into Sun, 14.

 

image.thumb.png.0f67cd1e1534f8103de2f1b002ddb3ef.png

 

High pressure watch? Yes! More dominant with the low pushed back out over Greenland by the high pressure.

 

image.thumb.png.2277aba2689f162cda355e0126b5b29f.png

SUNDAY

 

Pressure drops slightly, so temperatures down to a high of 20. But completely dry.

 

Overnight temps into Mon, 10.

 

image.thumb.png.0c4fff01218fe4029b8c6afac7dd502a.png

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A fantastic run, with no rain but perhaps too warm for Friday and Saturday?

 

But never mind that, there's nothing to be scared of in this run.... Will it continue in the morning?

 

 

 

 

IMG_6039.jpeg

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5 hours ago, briddj said:

Right then. After a chink of light in the 06Z, how will the 12Z treat us?

 

Let's dive in!

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

This weekend is now completely dry, no rain of any note all the way through to gates open.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry for gates open with very pleasant temperatures of 17-18.

 

Completely dry during the day with highs of 21-22.

 

Overnight temps into Thurs, 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.d7c97f737de51c594f3d7435d24ef0d7.png

 

THURSDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 24.

 

Overnight temps into Fri, 15.

 

image.thumb.png.c2c6907387c905d03dab1b03d746858d.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

 

Overnight temps into Sat, 17.

 

image.thumb.png.c559a3801435ceb55bbadeee9d78f750.png

 

SATURDAY

 

Ignore the bit of blue (nod to Peter Kay) that's so miniscule it wouldn't even be noticed. It's dry, with highs of 25-26 again.

 

Overnight temps into Sun, 14.

 

image.thumb.png.0f67cd1e1534f8103de2f1b002ddb3ef.png

 

High pressure watch? Yes! More dominant with the low pushed back out over Greenland by the high pressure.

 

image.thumb.png.2277aba2689f162cda355e0126b5b29f.png

SUNDAY

 

Pressure drops slightly, so temperatures down to a high of 20. But completely dry.

 

Overnight temps into Mon, 10.

 

image.thumb.png.0c4fff01218fe4029b8c6afac7dd502a.png

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A fantastic run, with no rain but perhaps too warm for Friday and Saturday?

 

But never mind that, there's nothing to be scared of in this run.... Will it continue in the morning?

 

 

 

Nailed it !!! 
 

Although tweak the temp just a little. Then it’s perfect. 

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6 minutes ago, Aragorn said:

The 18z ensembles are not particularly pleasant viewing so will await the 00z ones

Seems like the midnight and 6am runs always go with an alternative outcome to the daytime charts. No doubt we will be back in business come midday.

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