The Weather Thread 2024

[CaledonianGonzo]

Just now, nikkic said:

I’d have nightmares about watching Gerry Cinnamon too 

 

Aye. My entire crew went but Carrie Underwood was the top shagger's choice.

[nikkic]

6 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

 

Aye. My entire crew went but Carrie Underwood was the top shagger's choice.

We were on the Carl Cox soul train. 
 

If I’m perspiring heavily, I’m doing it in the shade listening to Marvin Gaye. 

[CaledonianGonzo]

Not this year you're not. We're all stuck with Paloma Faith and endless reams of talky post punk.

[Ayrshire Chris]

19 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

 

Aye. My entire crew went but Carrie Underwood was the top shagger's choice.

That wasn’t the crew wearing Hibs tops was it? 😊

[CaledonianGonzo]

Just now, Ayrshire Chris said:

That wasn’t the crew wearing Hibs tops was it? 😊

 

It wasn't, but we saw them. Huge migration path of Scots heading from The Proclaimers on El Pointo to the JPT.

[Aragorn]

16 hours ago, briddj said:

Massive fingering on this GFS run. 

 

25-26 on Wednesday afternoon and 28 on Thursday afternoon...

 

 

 

worth noting GFS is well known to over egg temps by a couple of degrees, so expect 2-3 degrees lower than that 

[Aragorn]

The operational run is also out on its own in terms of temps looking at the ensembles, virtually no other runs think it will be that hot 

 

[Aragorn]

the T850 temps also an outlier.  

 

[Skip997]

Some rain overnight, standing water in places. Currently not raining, overcast slightly windy 

[devonhammer]

Met Office looking good. Love it when multiple models are positive

[CaledonianGonzo]

14 minutes ago, Skip997 said:

standing water in places.

 

Get out there with a bucket and a mop imho

[The Nal]

YR have updated. Holy f**k

 

[Aragorn]

1 minute ago, The Nal said:

YR have updated. Holy f**k

 

 

Do not ever change Nal 🙂

[Jacko45]

12 minutes ago, Skip997 said:

Some rain overnight, standing water in places. Currently not raining, overcast slightly windy 

 

Thursday/Friday were always looking like danger days tbf.

 

Crucial drying time next week.

 

Looks decent / nice for you next week Skip - thanks again for the updates, keep em coming.

 

[Lycra]

When the forecast issued for today here at 7am is totally busted by reality by 10:30am I refuse to believe any others!

[gherkin8r]

1 hour ago, rlandy95 said:

 

I've gotta disagree, we've had awful weather for so long so its a reasonably good sign that things seem to be changing from next week - even if it does settle into a pattern of warmth, longer periods of sunshine and scattered showers. 

 

It's also positive that for some time (most) models have been in basic agreement that things are trending somewhat drier and warmer toward the end of the month (It's still too soon but consistency is our friend). Can't explain it, but, I feel more positive for the weather for this years festival than I did the last two. 

 

Exactly this. The forecast at this stage for the specific days of the festival has been irrelevant all along. The general trend has always been however toward higher pressure, less rain and higher temps. The build up to the festival looked worrying a week ago whereas now looking better and the trend towards good weather for the festival has gotten even stronger as we move towards having more confidence. In my estimation what this means is that poor ground conditions are now much less likely on arrival (although not impossible). In addition there's a pretty good chance of scorchio at the festival itself. Nothing is certain but at the minute things are trending in the right direction 

[devonhammer]

ECM in agreement with other models

[gherkin8r]

Just now, devonhammer said:

ECM in agreement with other models

And now things are, in fact , certain

[devonhammer]

1 minute ago, gherkin8r said:

And now things are, in fact , certain

I'm not going beyond more likely than not. Don't annoy the weather gods and book a holiday to the Azores (we owe them)

[Jacko45]

4 minutes ago, gherkin8r said:

And now things are, in fact , certain

 

This is dangerous and villainous

[Ayrshire Chris]

40 minutes ago, Skip997 said:

Some rain overnight, standing water in places. Currently not raining, overcast slightly windy 

Bit of warm wind needed to dry the puddles quicker 

[AdrianH]

General trends seem to be low pressure approaching towards the end of next week with some rain (hopefully not too much) and then warmer/drier weather following it for the festival week.

 

[Drew3232]

So fingers crossed that we are going to get fingered at the festival?

[irnkrtn]

1 hour ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

 

Aye. My entire crew went but Carrie Underwood was the top shagger's choice.

Extremely correct.

[devonhammer]

53 minutes ago, AdrianH said:

General trends seem to be low pressure approaching towards the end of next week with some rain (hopefully not too much) and then warmer/drier weather following it for the festival week.

 

Met Office have pressure of 1019 for the end of the week and no rain. I'll take that.