The Weather Thread 2024

[Euphoricape]

3 minutes ago, JohnnyUtah24 said:

McFly are on sky arts here from it, cursing 😡

 

I hope you're a safe distance from it 

My wife's insisting we watch it, bloody awful 😖  

[JohnnyUtah24]

On a Sunday too. Disgraceful rock and roll scenes 

[Euphoricape]

1 minute ago, JohnnyUtah24 said:

On a Sunday too. Disgraceful rock and roll scenes 

Cbeebies AC/DC lol

[Trunks1993]

Yeah ECM ops run complete. Bone dry, nice temps. Bloody lovely stuff

[Jacko45]

Just now, Trunks1993 said:

Yeah ECM ops run complete. Bone dry, nice temps. Bloody lovely stuff

 

f**king scenes.

[nikkic]

Not been here all day, what’s the latest, lads? 

[CaledonianGonzo]

Pack your suncream 

[Td1988]

Any chance someone could explain (like your talking to a 5 yo) what the different weather models mean? 

[TiZuff]

1 minute ago, Td1988 said:

Any chance someone could explain (like your talking to a 5 yo) what the different weather models mean? 

 

im not an expert at all but i think different models but in different possible variables and predict what happens. the closer to the date we get the less possible variables therefore the more accurate we get? 

thats my take on it anyway 😄

Edited June 23, 2024 by TiZuff

[Drew3232]

3 minutes ago, Td1988 said:

Any chance someone could explain (like your talking to a 5 yo) what the different weather models mean? 

One model says one thing and another model says another.

[4AssedMonkey]

1 minute ago, Td1988 said:

Any chance someone could explain (like your talking to a 5 yo) what the different weather models mean? 

 

High pressure = good (usually red or orange)

 

Low pressure = bad (blue/green).

 

ECM - Europe

YR -Norway

UKMO - UK

GFS - Global forecasting system (I think)

 

I'm out.  Someone take over.

[Morris48]

1 minute ago, 4AssedMonkey said:

 

High pressure = good (usually red or orange)

 

Low pressure = bad (blue/green).

 

ECM - Europe

YR -Norway

UKMO - UK

GFS - Global forecasting system (I think)

 

I'm out.  Someone take over.

Correct for the GFS - it’s the American model.

ECM - European Centre of Medium Range (independent organisation with input from most of the European nations)

 

in the simplest terms each model takes observations and previous data to predict the future. They are all set up differently so when small changes to the the atmosphere could have a big impact they will give different forecasts like we have seen over the last few days. 

 

They have their own strengths and weaknesses. ECMWF is considered the most accurate in the medium range (3 days plus) and MO up there especially in the short range ( up to 3 days)

[Phoenix Girl]

Well this is really educational isn’t it. So glad I dropped by 

[Ayrshire Chris]

1 hour ago, nikkic said:

Not been here all day, what’s the latest, lads? 

All looking good at the moment. Don’t want to tempt fate but the closer we get the more confidence I have in the met office.

[Crazyfool01]

1 hour ago, nikkic said:

Not been here all day, what’s the latest, lads? 

bring the kayak  but leave it in the car 

[Drew3232]

33 minutes ago, Phoenix Girl said:

Well this is really educational isn’t it. So glad I dropped by 

That's nothing wait till you get the lowdown on the cheeky finger that's making us all hot.

[Aragorn]

On site now. Well done you weather geeks. See you in a field 

[Jacko45]

1 minute ago, Aragorn said:

On site now. Well done you weather geeks. See you in a field 

 

How's she looking?

[briddj]

Come on GFS. This time.

[Aragorn]

24 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

How's she looking?

Perfect 

[CaledonianGonzo]

19 minutes ago, briddj said:

Come on GFS. This time.

 

 

 

[Joey Peeps]

I feel, at this stage, every little thing gonna be alright, yeah?

[Superscally]

Just now, Joey Peeps said:

I feel, at this stage, every little thing gonna be alright, yeah?

Five little models, upon my doorstep...

[briddj]

Temps on Thurs still 20. GFS just isn't interested.

Edited June 23, 2024 by briddj

[briddj]

Oh hang on. This looks like a definite upgrade Thursday going into Friday. 

 

Oooooooh.

Edited June 23, 2024 by briddj