The Weather Thread 2023

[Euphoricape]

[The Nal]

 

Edited May 29, 2023 by The Nal

[Thunderstruck]

18 hours ago, Helsbels said:

Ive had a few extremes of weather at Glasto. 

2016 - took us 10 hours to get from Manc on the coach. 2 people in our group who were Glasto virgins (and had bad backs) brought more stuff with them than anyone ever despite being told of the long walk. This resulted in a walk through thick mud to the furthest corners with extra baggage to find a campsite and groin strain...totally ruined that Glasto for me but was my other half's first and to see how much he loved it made up for it (almost).

Respect to a fellow Manchester coach survivor. That journey was traumatic 🤣. 

Had a browse of the weather model output today - the main change this morning seems to be the fact high pressure remains more in control over the UK in the next 10 days. So pretty much a continuation of what we have now - Max temps at the Glastonbury site in the low 20s and continued dry weather.

The signal for more unsettled conditions increases a bit by week 2 of June...however the long range output covering Glastonbury hint at increasingly warm weather. Whether this brings unbearable heat or a more unsettled/stormy outlook is uncertain.

I'm quite happy with the output so far!

[Euphoricape]

49 minutes ago, The Nal said:

 

🤣🤣🤣

[___DGH___]

2 hours ago, Thunderstruck said:

Respect to a fellow Manchester coach survivor. That journey was traumatic 🤣. 

Had a browse of the weather model output today - the main change this morning seems to be the fact high pressure remains more in control over the UK in the next 10 days. So pretty much a continuation of what we have now - Max temps at the Glastonbury site in the low 20s and continued dry weather.

The signal for more unsettled conditions increases a bit by week 2 of June...however the long range output covering Glastonbury hint at increasingly warm weather. Whether this brings unbearable heat or a more unsettled/stormy outlook is uncertain.

I'm quite happy with the output so far!

You would hope that with the spell of dry weather we have had that the ground should be in good shape to handle any rain that comes during mid to late June. 

[Crazyfool01]

So far so good 

 

[Sheffield Steve]

Hot off the press, the ECMWF Monday evening run is out.   For the 5th run in a row, it goes for a warmer than average festival week. So we can safely say it’s fairly confident in that forecast now.   This ties in with the CFSv2 above, showing high pressure over and to the north of the U.K.:

 

It backs off a little with its ‘wet’ theme and goes for an average week in terms of rainfall.  Which means some rain (green is wetter than average, no colour means average rainfall):

 

So to summarise, a warm week predicted but with some showers or a spell of rain somewhere along the way. This also ties in with the CFSv2 from Gav as above, because the high pressure is to our north, it could allow heavy/thundery showers to encroach from the south.    All to play for….

[THEBOILERMAN]

it`s gonna be ok, I've  ordered the same weather as weve just had at BT

[The Nal]

Met office have updated. 21 days out.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/long-range-forecast

showers and stronger winds are likely to become more prevalent in the south.

 

So windy and rainy then.

 

[Alvoram]

2 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Met office have updated. 21 days out.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/long-range-forecast

showers and stronger winds are likely to become more prevalent in the south.

 

So windy and rainy then.

 

Oh Nal, I've missed you... 

Not quite the whole picture there...

 

Tuesday 13 Jun - Tuesday 27 Jun

By the end of June, northern areas are most likely to see a continuation of mostly dry conditions and light winds, while showers and stronger winds are likely to become more prevalent in the south. In general, temperatures are likely to be above average but eastern coastal areas may continue to feel slightly cooler in the presence of onshore winds.

[The Nal]

3 minutes ago, Alvoram said:

Not quite the whole picture there...

"showers and stronger winds are likely to become more prevalent in the south"

Thats where the festival is.

[PolygonWindow]

don't read the Netweather monthly forecast btw unless you're the nal

[kalifire]

We're firmly in The Nal talking sh*t season and we wouldn't have it any other way.

[PolygonWindow]

Just now, kalifire said:

We're firmly in The Nal talking sh*t season and we wouldn't have it any other way.

he's going to have an absolute field day on this..

[kalifire]

5 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said:

don't read the Netweather monthly forecast btw unless you're the nal

"most likely ... with potential ... probably ... a lot of uncertainty ... can't be determined at this range ... again there is some uncertainty over this"

Looking foward to Nal's version.

[The Nal]

Oh sweet Jesus

https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/uk/long-range/monthly

This period looks most likely to be unsettled but warm, with potential for frequent thunderstorms in England and Wales, with a low pressure anomaly to the south-west of Britain resulting in southerly and easterly winds blowing more frequently than usual

many areas of the UK will probably be wetter than average during this period

persistent rain at times. 

 

[PolygonWindow]

Just now, The Nal said:

Oh sweet Jesus

https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/uk/long-range/monthly

This period looks most likely to be unsettled but warm, with potential for frequent thunderstorms in England and Wales, with a low pressure anomaly to the south-west of Britain resulting in southerly and easterly winds blowing more frequently than usual

many areas of the UK will probably be wetter than average during this period

persistent rain at times. 

 

Gold

[The Nal]

f**k

[Alvoram]

1 hour ago, The Nal said:

"showers and stronger winds are likely to become more prevalent in the south"

Thats where the festival is.

The south covers half the country... It'll be fine 🙂 

Don't worry, the BBC has our backs... Although it does agree regarding coastal winds with Met Office
 

Monday 12 June to – Sunday 25 June

Turning wetter, especially in the south

By mid-June there are indications of the high pressure to the north drifting away north-westwards for a while. That could open the door to some showery rain and thunderstorms developing as low pressure edges a little closer to us from the near-Continent. Southern and perhaps western areas of the UK are more likely to see these but they could spread farther north and east at times.

Later in June there are hints of high pressure becoming more dominant, so it could become generally drier again. However, confidence is very low for this period, and showers cannot be ruled out. A warmer air mass should settle over the UK after mid-month, although windward coasts will still be cool

[Crazyfool01]

6 minutes ago, The Nal said:

f**k

you ok ? have you seen the amazing forecast for June ?

[The Nal]

5 minutes ago, Alvoram said:

Later in June 

Later in June, after the festival? 

[Skip997]

I've only gone and sent conflicting messages to the weather gods.

Yesterday I (hopefully) fixed the leak in my van roof, thus guaranteeing no rain.

I also ordered two new pairs of sunglasses, thus guaranteeing no sun.

[Crazyfool01]

2 minutes ago, Skip997 said:

I've only gone and sent conflicting messages to the weather gods.

Yesterday I (hopefully) fixed the leak in my van roof, thus guaranteeing no rain.

I also ordered two new pairs of sunglasses, thus guaranteeing no sun.

couple of days back you were feeling it in your bones it was gonna be a wet one ...... you are now split 🙂 

[March Hare]

If it’s going to rain I’ll take my big tent with a big porch to sit in. If it’s sunny this one is fine.  Which tent do I take?

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

10 minutes ago, March Hare said:

If it’s going to rain I’ll take my big tent with a big porch to sit in. If it’s sunny this one is fine.  Which tent do I take?

It's going to be sunnnnnnyyyyyyyyy 🌞🌞