The Weather Thread 2022

[PolygonWindow]

1 minute ago, Sheffield Steve said:

So, Canadian update.  They now agree with the other models that the low will be there, but they put it slightly out to the NW, which gives only showers over the site on Saturday and a dry Sunday, despite the low being so close.  There will be the possibility of showers, sure, but nothing like the rain the European and GFS models do.

Saturday:

Sunday:

 

Rain on Sunday… none!

Friday?

[Matt42]

Wait so the showers are now moving from friday to Saturday?

Good sign! It’s blowing over!

[Euphoricape]

[Sheffield Steve]

3 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said:

Friday?

On the Friday, the Canadian model has a dry start but frontal rain arriving during the afternoon.  By the looks of it it wouldn’t be that heavy and should move through in a couple of hours.  It’s way too far away for this level of detail but gives a general trend.

[Boomtowner]

34 minutes ago, Crumbleflaps said:

You CAN freeze custard.

Thank you, @Crumbleflaps 🤣

[FuzzyDunlop]

So, is it fried to death or drowning next week then?

 

Or both?

[prestonmike]

2 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

So, is it fried to death or drowning next week then?

 

Or both?

try not to scold yourself on the boiling hot rain

[stopwn1981]

3 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

So, is it fried to death or drowning next week then?

 

Or both?

 

[AlexOvd]

Looks like this weekend would have been horrible weather for the festival. Extremely hot yesterday and now the weather in the farm is miserable. 

Well, there is still time for the next one to improve and not be that bad. It was looking like the rain was going to be not that much but it's actually heavy now (at least looks like this) so you never know! 

[Ed90]

FFS - Current ECMWF is now showing rain throughout Thursday

[Euphoricape]

9 minutes ago, AlexOvd said:

Looks like this weekend would have been horrible weather for the festival. Extremely hot yesterday and now the weather in the farm is miserable. 

Well, there is still time for the next one to improve and not be that bad. It was looking like the rain was going to be not that much but it's actually heavy now (at least looks like this) so you never know! 

We need to be more positive on here, its gonna be fine

[steviewevie]

[MrCooky]

I cant be arsed keeping up with this anymore. It went from sunshine and rainbows to torrential downpours in less than 12 hours. 

 

Wednesday and Thursday seem locked in. I'm gonna dip from the speculation until Tuesday when we've got more data and reliability on our side. 

[steviewevie]

Just now, Euphoricape said:

We need to be more positive on here, its gonna be fine

(it might not be)

[Ed90]

ECMWF unfolding here is an absolute horror show: https://apps.ecmwf.int/webapps/opencharts/products/medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202206181200&interval=6&projection=opencharts_europe&valid_time=202206241800

I'm out.  Gonna stop checking this thread

[CaledonianGonzo]

1 minute ago, Ed90 said:

ECMWF unfolding here is an absolute horror show: https://apps.ecmwf.int/webapps/opencharts/products/medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202206181200&interval=6&projection=opencharts_europe&valid_time=202206241800

I'm out.  Gonna stop checking this thread

 

[AlexOvd]

[PolygonWindow]

Just now, AlexOvd said:

Just goes to show it’s unpredictable. That’s improved massively

[kalifire]

AccuWeather have updated. 

Wednesday: 21/no rain 
Thursday: 23/no rain
Friday: 19/no rain (but very cloudy)
Saturday: 18/1.1mm rain
Sunday: 17/0.8mm rain
Monday: 18/0.7mm rain

[stopwn1981]

So we can all agree that the trend has severely deteriorated.

[Billy Corgans hair]

Met office got rain on Friday now.

Everything seems to be going one way

 

 

[Billy Corgan's Ego]

Yeah, this thread is not enjoyable at all. I think the problem is that the rain in the charts looks really bad to the naked eye. This drives anxiety.

None of the main weather sites have it that bad at all. In fact, they are nearly all fairly positive. I'll panic if they all turn in a few days

[AlexOvd]

1 minute ago, kalifire said:

AccuWeather have updated. 

Wednesday: 21/no rain 
Thursday: 23/no rain
Friday: 19/no rain (but very cloudy)
Saturday: 18/1.1mm rain
Sunday: 17/0.8mm rain
Monday: 18/0.7mm rain

Where you see rain on Saturday?

https://www.accuweather.com/en/gb/pilton/ba4-4/daily-weather-forecast/710458?day=8

[PolygonWindow]

2 minutes ago, kalifire said:

AccuWeather have updated. 

Wednesday: 21/no rain 
Thursday: 23/no rain
Friday: 19/no rain (but very cloudy)
Saturday: 18/1.1mm rain
Sunday: 17/0.8mm rain
Monday: 18/0.7mm rain

I can’t see this update?

[kalifire]

10 minutes ago, MrCooky said:

Wednesday and Thursday seem locked in.

I agree. I think we can be pretty confident about Wed/Thurs at this point, and they’re both looking great. 

It’s been a vintage year for the build.

Edited June 18, 2022 by kalifire