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The Weather Thread 2023


tazbang

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20 minutes ago, doogie said:

Here are the latest ensembles, which indicate that even though there is the chance of some rain on any day (particularly today), a problematic deluge between now and Sunday night is off the cards.

image.thumb.png.c60cd76f903ab92caf515e18f44f5bf0.png

 

2 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

FFS - Met Office has just issued a Yellow Warning for Thunderstorms in South West today. Really need our luck to hold. 
 

 

So which is it?! 

A problematic deluge or not?

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Essentially, highly localized, thundery downpours are spreading across South West today. The locations are almost impossible to predict as they 'bubble up' rather than approaching like a front. There is a slim chance that a particularly heavy downpour could hit the site; there's higher chance we'll just get a short period of rain / stay entirely dry. 

It's a crapshoot. In 2022 and 2017 we got very lucky (hence lots of chat about 'forcefields'), in the previous years we've been super unlucky (2015, 2014, 2009). With ground in good nick worst case it should be recoverable, but might make things muddy today.

Let's see! Met Office had thunder warnings in place last two festivals at times and we got nowt. 

Edited by Glasto Weatherwatch
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Here it is then, your final weather run of the 2023 festival! The dirty 06Z!

WEDNESDAY

From the possibility of light rain, there is now a thunderstorm warning for the area from 12-9pm. The site is just on the edge of this. With a bit of luck we'll get none or just a small one. But it would still take a lot to affect the site long-term with the temperatures we will enjoy. Max temps of 20-21.

Overnight temps into Thursday: 13

THURSDAY

Completely dry, highs of 22.

Overnight temps into Friday:  13-14

image.thumb.png.708876b76668b85efca3f724d5b3096c.png

FRIDAY

Completely dry, highs of 21.

Overnight temps into Saturday:  14-15

image.thumb.png.d3fdd254a1df172623600f2c26db8ac1.png
SATURDAY

Completely dry, highs of 23-25.

Overnight temps into Sunday: 14-15

image.thumb.png.44af4bdb6c1ec9effad6389c8cbaea7c.png
SUNDAY

Light rain pushing in for the afternoon - the GFS is continuing to double down on this theme with a warm front pushing across the UK as the low tries to edge us.

The heavy rain continues to track through northern England, but it's too close for comfort 4 days out. KNIFE EDGE.

Highs of 23-24, dropping right down to 18 for Elton.

It also makes it the coolest overnight temps after the front has swept across.

Overnight temps into Monday: 11-13

image.thumb.png.fae0662220bcb4ac1d3f1789901f290e.png

MONDAY MORNING FOR DEPARTURE

Completely dry at 9am, temps of 16-17.

The low is already being repelled. It literally pokes in just for Sunday afternoon/evening! The little bastard.

image.thumb.png.dc14727d340c5c6c2d3d4f929afa7fce.png

SUMMARY!

Similar picture really. All we need is that low to edge away for a few more hours on Sunday, but the GFS is adamant that it's going to have an influence and bring in rain.

Fingers crossed, and see you all on site soon!

 

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