The Weather Thread 2023

[PolygonWindow]

3 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The 6z GFS continues the theme it’s had for a few days now.   Not good at all.  Significant rain every day except perhaps the Sunday.

Wednesday rain:

Thursday rain:

Friday rain:

Saturday rain:

 

It’s giving us much more rain than the ECMWF at this stage.  But who will be right?  More runs needed…
 

 

It's had some good runs too!

[august1]

How do I get these charts for 17th June?

[MEGATRONICMEATWAGON]

1 hour ago, fred quimby said:

Tell that to flood victims 

 

1 hour ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

Or people in a drought

Not sure either of those count as weather 😆

[Justcalledtosay]

Do you delight in our misery Steve?

[CR77]

3 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The 6z GFS continues the theme it’s had for a few days now.   Not good at all.  Significant rain every day except perhaps the Sunday.

Wednesday rain:

Thursday rain:

Friday rain:

Saturday rain:

 

It’s giving us much more rain than the ECMWF at this stage.  But who will be right?  More runs needed…
 

 

Other than possibly Friday, looks more like drizzle (or light rain at worst) in those screengrabs... I'd say similar to 2017 and 2022... so dust dampener but no wellies required.

[Euphoricape]

Feels like the end of days is upon us

[MEGATRONICMEATWAGON]

52 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

Yep let’s drag a suitcase of clothing and thermal layers around all day. No - shorts and T-shirt 24 hours for 5 days is what’s required!

Who is suggesting that? It's not going to be -10, is it.

20 degrees. Hoody on in the evening. Bingo bango, job's a good 'un. 

[Sheffield Steve]

3 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said:

It's had some good runs too!

Some a lot better than others that’s for sure!

[stopwn1981]

Are we in cancellation territory yet?

[churlie100]

just a quick 'break glass in case of panic' image for everyone at this point:

 

[March Hare]

5 hours ago, Bike_Like_A_Mum said:

You've changed, didn't expect this awful opinion from you

‘22 I spent so much time under a fresh and black tarp. Couldn’t handle it 😂

[HyperTechnoHorse]

game over 

[WelshWonderer]

That latest run, all I can say is woof

[CaledonianGonzo]

Nah. The GFS is all in the 0.2mm -> 0.5mm rain zone. No great shakes.

Though amazing news for the Keep The Dust Down oddballs.

[jfaragher]

24 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The 6z GFS continues the theme it’s had for a few days now.   Not good at all.  Significant rain every day except perhaps the Sunday.

Wednesday rain:

Thursday rain:

Friday rain:

Saturday rain:

 

It’s giving us much more rain than the ECMWF at this stage.  But who will be right?  More runs needed…
 

 

I am once again pointing out that ~0.2 to 2mm of rain, over three hours, at some point in the day is NOT A LOT OF RAIN.  It's a single not that heavy shower, or an hour or two of light rain.

[WestCountryGirl]

On 6/10/2022 at 9:40 AM, WestCountryGirl said:

Okay. This is fine 🙃 My expectations have been shot to pieces, and now I can only be pleasantly surprised.

Just going to quote myself, here, from this very Friday last year. 

Even so, we know how that turned out..

[CaledonianGonzo]

1 minute ago, WestCountryGirl said:

Just going to quote myself, here, from this very Friday last year. 

Even so, we know how that turned out..

Last year was good luck rather than a good forecast.

[FuzzyDunlop]

1 hour ago, stopwn1981 said:

Yep let’s drag a suitcase of clothing and thermal layers around all day. No - shorts and T-shirt 24 hours for 5 days is what’s required!

Shorts are on no matter what the weather is. 

Hot - Shorts

Rain - Shorts (You dry faster with shorts & far more comfortable)

[FuzzyDunlop]

This doesnt happen for 18 & dry..

 

[Sheffield Steve]

33 minutes ago, august1 said:

How do I get these charts for 17th June?

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=06&charthour=198&chartname=preciptype&chartregion=na-region&charttag=Precip type

[stopwn1981]

5 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

Shorts are on no matter what the weather is. 

Hot - Shorts

Rain - Shorts (You dry faster with shorts & far more comfortable)

18 degrees + rain = mud = no sitting down for 5 days

[Jacko45]

@Sheffield Steve if that's right it'd be a shocker!!

[Franky]

46 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The 6z GFS continues the theme it’s had for a few days now.   Not good at all.  Significant rain every day except perhaps the Sunday.

Wednesday rain:

Thursday rain:

Friday rain:

Saturday rain:

 

It’s giving us much more rain than the ECMWF at this stage.  But who will be right?  More runs needed…
 

 

This can quite simply f**k right off. 
 

also 25c is only 77f, that’s not hot at all. Gimme 85 and I’ll stick, no cooler than 70 at night. 

[Franky]

49 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

They should move England to Spain.

Make that Cyprus. 

[andymk]

This is the cumulative rainfall picture for the latest GFS operational run