Weather thread 2015

[Padgey]

With all what's gone on forgot about the weather.

Great to see The Nal is feeling better again!

[Swine_Glasto2014]

Annoying that is going to be near on perfect this weekend

[hatman]

^{one thing i've learnt is that you really want the week before the festival to be pretty dry and nthere is less chance of the ground getting churned up. most bad years seem to occur when rain falls of already pretty saturated ground}

[chief_scrutter]

Great to see The Nal is feeling better again!

I dunno... his mantra of "we're fucked" was like a comfort blanket. and also, when he tried cheering up early this week, the weather took a nose dive, dave grohl's leg didn't heal quick enough, matt42 started feeling the need to preface his posts with an apology. all bad things.

[jonnyisRFC]

One of my dads customers is a retired Meteorologist and my dad asked about the weather for Glastonbury and he had a quick look and said its going to be dry leading up to the festival, with between 4-8mm of rain falling over the festival with the majority being on the Thursday. He also said that it's going to get warmer as the weekend progresses but remaining cloudy with temperatures dropping to around 12 degrees at night.

Take with a pinch of salt obviously as he's probably reading from the same script as all these other weather websites!

[frostypaw]

Annoying that is going to be near on perfect this weekend

I have the "should have been this weekend" siren at the ready

[stopwn1981]

Is there a jackone update tonight?

[majormajormajor]

This evening's GFS run is line-ball. Suggests it could go either way - rainy and low pressure, or more high pressure from the south.

[doogie]

Not much change on the websites since this morning:

 

 

Isn't this analysis effectively extrapolating the weather over the past few days to make a prediction of what's coming?  I don't think there's any validity in that.

[TheNewUnion]

Metcheck have really low % under %Prec which is described as

 

%Prec: This is the percentage chance of seeing rain/snow falling across your area in the 3hr period

 

Highest they get to across the festival is 30% and the largest volume of precip they have is 1.1mm on the Thursday with a 5% chance. Everything is changing, all still to play for etc.

[Glastonlocal]

Isn't this analysis effectively extrapolating the weather over the past few days to make a prediction of what's coming?  I don't think there's any validity in that.

no its the forecasts for rain, not the actual weather on those dates. 

[Alcatraz]

Isn't this analysis effectively extrapolating the weather over the past few days to make a prediction of what's coming? I don't think there's any validity in that.

It's not the trend of the current or past weather. It's the trend of runs in relation to the dates of the festival

[djcolsen]

Strong avatar given that comment!

Cheers boss

[majormajormajor]

Metcheck have really low % under %Prec which is described as

 

%Prec: This is the percentage chance of seeing rain/snow falling across your area in the 3hr period

 

Highest they get to across the festival is 30% and the largest volume of precip they have is 1.1mm on the Thursday with a 5% chance. Everything is changing, all still to play for etc.

 

cxactly. it's basically conjecture at this point, it's just fun looking at the charts when they come and and thinking 'alright!' or 'we're fucked!'

 

won't have a proper idea until monday.

[SonOfTroyMcClure]

cxactly. it's basically conjecture at this point, it's just fun looking at the charts when they come and and thinking 'alright!' or 'we're fucked!'

 

won't have a proper idea until monday.

 

at the moment all weather outlets/forecasters are saying is "there will be weather of some description". It all changed two days before last years festival, so at the moment fun-poking is allowed. Sunday Countryfile is the big one though.

[frostypaw]

That trend line needs to be based on weighted values, decreasing as you go back through forecasts....

[Wanderlei]

I'm hoping for a total washout. I've never experienced one at Glasto, and it's all about the experience, innit? Bring it on!

[HotChipWillBreakYourLegs]

I'm hoping for a total washout. I've never experienced one at Glasto, and it's all about the experience, innit? Bring it on!

 

I predict some serious down voting in your future.

[stopwn1981]

These charts are all tosh. We've got high pressure at the moment, but there are some real black clouds heading my way now and it looks like pissing it down...

[Clareno7]

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/events.html

Update 3 from this chap.

[Cooter]

I'm hoping for a total washout. I've never experienced one at Glasto, and it's all about the experience, innit? Bring it on!

 

 

Think you need the other thread mate, they're very welcoming, give it a try.

[stopwn1981]

These charts are all tosh. We've got high pressure at the moment, but there are some real black clouds heading my way now and it looks like pissing it down...

Yeah - it's pissing down...

[TheNewUnion]

I'm borderline addicted to this thread now, and the weather reports in general. But when the reports are bad I go on a downward moany spiral and start ranting on about "bloody weather" etc. Is it too much to ask for some dry days in summer?

[Foxy1984]

http://www.farmersweather.co.uk

 

A daily video forecast for you....We watched it every day in the build up to our wedding last year. 

Edited June 17, 2015 by Foxy1984

[TheNewUnion]

http://www.farmersweather.co.uk

 

A daily video forecast for you....We watched it every day in the build up to our wedding last year. 

That looks OK to me so far.