The Weather Thread 2024

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

This run is a bit of a downgrade 

[CaledonianGonzo]

Only the GFS though.

 

Actually, forecast for tomorrow has had a bit of a wobble on the UKMO - but still nothing serious.

[AdrianH]

Just when it looked like we finally had some clarity for the Wednesday, a spanner in the works from the GFS!

 

UKMO disagrees, has the low much further south. GFS op might be off on one again

[Sheffield Steve]

Yes, the GFS coming out now is at odds with all the other models.   This is the French Arpege model for Wednesday  and has no sign of rain….

 

 

 

Edited June 22, 2024 by Sheffield Steve

[Euphoricape]

2 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

Yes, the GFS coming out now is at odds with all the other models.   This is the French Arpege model for Wednesday  and has no sign of rain….

 

 

 

French Arpege model for me please

Edited June 22, 2024 by Euphoricape

[Sheffield Steve]

The Germans are having none of it either… this is the ICON 12z and no sign of rain for Wednesday…. Low pressure far to the south and southeast…

 

[CaledonianGonzo]

7 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

Yes, the GFS coming out now is at odds with all the other models.   This is the French Arpege model for Wednesday  and has no sign of rain….

 

 

 

Don't like look the like of what's about to hit County Mayo however

[CaledonianGonzo]

1 minute ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The Germans are having none of it either… this is the ICON 12z and no sign of rain for Wednesday…. Low pressure far to the south and southeast…

 

In short the GFS can GTF

[ibilly99]

You should fiddle the charts nobody would know ....

 

 

[briddj]

What a day we've had. What. A. Day. Can it really continue?

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry, and it's scorching again at 20-21 at 9am!

 

 

There is some rain back here on the 12Z, but not the heavy stuff out to sea. Highs of 23-24.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 16-17.

 

 

Pressure picture not as good here with that pocket off the coast of France causing the rain. Latest on the right.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Definitely not as good, as the rain you see moving north here has hit the site on Friday morning. Could be heavy. But it is then dry through the rest of the day. Highs of 19-20, significantly down on the last run.

 

Overnight temps into Friday of 14.

 

 

And definitely a downgrade in the pressure picture, latest on the right, with that low pocket still off the coast of France.

 

But hang on! It is reducing in size!!

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Risk of some afternoon showers, but nothing of note. Highs of 21-22. Slightly up on the last run. 

 

Overnight temps into Saturday of 13-14.

 

 

 

Pressure picture on the right is slightly weaker, but nothing of note.

 

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Same story as Friday. Chance of very, very light showers. Highs of 20-21. Slight upgrade on the last run there.

 

Overnight temps into Sunday of 12.

 

 

Certainly a weaker picture for pressure, but nothing to worry about on this run.

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Ignore the rain in this image. It's so small you wouldn't notice it. But highs of just 18. A downgrade. 

 

Overnight temps into Monday of 12.

 

 

 

High pressure is starting make a comeback, but later than the last run. Latest on the right.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A slight downgrade due to the rain around on Thursday, and the high pressure not making the same inroads.

 

But still, this is another big win considering the charts 24 hours ago.

 

Plenty of time for things to improve yet further!

 

 

 

[Euphoricape]

2 minutes ago, briddj said:

What a day we've had. What. A. Day. Can it really continue?

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry, and it's scorching again at 20-21 at 9am!

 

 

There is some rain back here on the 12Z, but not the heavy stuff out to sea. Highs of 23-24.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 16-17.

 

 

Pressure picture not as good here with that pocket off the coast of France causing the rain. Latest on the right.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Definitely not as good, as the rain you see moving north here has hit the site on Friday morning. Could be heavy. But it is then dry through the rest of the day. Highs of 19-20, significantly down on the last run.

 

Overnight temps into Friday of 14.

 

 

And definitely a downgrade in the pressure picture, latest on the right, with that low pocket still off the coast of France.

 

But hang on! It is reducing in size!!

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Risk of some afternoon showers, but nothing of note. Highs of 21-22. Slightly up on the last run. 

 

Overnight temps into Saturday of 13-14.

 

 

 

Pressure picture on the right is slightly weaker, but nothing of note.

 

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Same story as Friday. Chance of very, very light showers. Highs of 20-21. Slight upgrade on the last run there.

 

Overnight temps into Sunday of 12.

 

 

Certainly a weaker picture for pressure, but nothing to worry about on this run.

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Ignore the rain in this image. It's so small you wouldn't notice it. But highs of just 18. A downgrade. 

 

Overnight temps into Monday of 12.

 

 

 

High pressure is starting make a comeback, but later than the last run. Latest on the right.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A slight downgrade due to the rain around on Thursday, and the high pressure not making the same inroads.

 

But still, this is another big win considering the charts 24 hours ago.

 

Plenty of time for things to improve yet further!

 

 

 

Top of the page!

[briddj]

VERY FIRST POST ON THE PAGE. BLOODY HELL.

[Jacko45]

It was so obvious this morning was too good to be true.

[ibilly99]

The world's largest woodchip pile near to Woodsies all ready and raring to go.

[briddj]

5 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

It was so obvious this morning was too good to be true.

 

This run is absolutely nothing to worry about.

[behindthebunhouse]

5 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

It was so obvious this morning was too good to be true.

mate you’re having a shocker here 

[The other Bellboy]

Its perfect down here at the moment, absolutely perfect.

 

[Jacko45]

1 minute ago, behindthebunhouse said:

mate you’re having a shocker here 

 

Hahah im beign a tad dramatic but i saw Weds and Thurs rain and panicked.

[steviewevie]

That run is better, not silly temperatures. Might go now.

[Euphoricape]

Will be even better picture tomorrow, bit of an outlier run by all accounts 

[rlandy95]

16 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

It was so obvious this morning was too good to be true.

 

Deep breaths... lets not be overdramatic 

[Jinglebells]

The GEM 12z continues to show a dry glasto the whole time! 

[goldfishboy]

10 hours ago, mrfunk said:

I love your optimism. I’m still packing wellies 😉

always pack wellies

[The Nal]

3 minutes ago, goldfishboy said:

always pack wellies

 

Havent brought wellies since 2011

[Sheffield Steve]

Yep I’d say the GFS will come round to our way of thinking soon….meanwhile this is the latest UKMO prediction for Wednesday… a dry day and temperatures widely up to 30-31c.     Don’t forget your suncream!