The Weather Thread 2024

[briddj]

WEDNESDAY UPGRADE

[Northtim]

1 minute ago, briddj said:

WEDNESDAY UPGRADE

 

F**ks sake - why can't I just stop looking until next week.

 

Ok - I'm back in again, what we got  

[Respectfatfrog]

2 minutes ago, Northtim said:

 

F**ks sake - why can't I just stop looking until next week.

 

Ok - I'm back in again, what we got  

 

A mix between trench foot and wind burn 

[Euphoricape]

Thursday downgrade..

[The Nal]

Friday morning downgrade and afternoon the same.

[AdrianH]

Nasty looking low towards the weekend. Just showers from it on this run but we dont want that any further south (like the ECM)

[briddj]

Oh sh*t

[briddj]

FIGHTBACK! COME ON!

[Jacko45]

Hopes of a FIGHTBACK like pissing in the wind. 

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Weds and Thurs look a bit grim but not TOO extreme (fairly light if persistent rain), and weekend is fine again. The low to West is deepening though, if that were to come in any further it would be time to build an ark. 

[Jacko45]

How can anyone tell with this LOL

 

 

Within seconds 

[balti-pie]

Wellies (though obvs I prefer hiking boots in 80% of conditions) are fine if you follow a couple of rules - get some decent hiking insoles, wear two pairs of socks, and make the outer sock a pair of footy socks - fold them over the top of the wellie and you won’t have the burny rubbing problem that the thicker calved of us can suffer from. 
(personally I like Dundee United socks for my black wellies, but only cos they’re just the right shade of orange - not for any kind of footballing loyalty, I’m a Clachnacuddin man north of the border) 

 

edit; and take em off whenever you get a chance. Air those tootsies! 

Edited June 21, 2024 by balti-pie

[briddj]

Right then, let's see if ol' Grotbags stays in Greenland.

 

We now know that it's going to be glorious summer until Tuesday, so now we'll go into the festival direct.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

There is still rain around, but the worst of it pushes to the west and through poor Northern Ireland. 17-18.

 

Temps overnight into Thursday of 11-12.

 

 

Showers in the morning, rain then clears in the afternoon (hits further north again) and with temps of 20-21 we'll get some good drying in.

 

 

Very similar pressure picture, maybe marginally better. Latest on the right.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

While Wednesday was an improvement, Thursday is a small downgrade.

 

There's rain showing in the afternoon, though 2mm isn't much. Highs of 18-19 is up on the last run.

 

Temps overnight into Friday of 14.

 

 

Pressure is in a similar position but hmm, Grotbags is getting bigger... Latest on the right.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry with highs of 19-20. Nice!

 

 

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 13-14.

 

Grotbags is growing but ... so far fails to build into the UK. Gulp.

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 18.

 

Temps overnight into Sunday of 13.

 

 

Very different appearance in the latest run, on the right, with Grotbags moving to Greenland but the high pressure just cannot build in.

 

 

 

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Totally dry, rain missing to the north. Highs up to 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Monday of 14.

 

 

Pressure remains static, but as you can see from the rain in the north we're in danger of it pushing down.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

Signs of promise, with a much better picture for Wednesday. Thursday might have some rain, but it's not that bad.

 

Still total uncertainly about what will happen from Friday onwards, as seen by the totally different pressure pictures on Saturday - and where the rain is on Sunday.

 

Remains a bit chilly on this one Fri and Sat though.

 

You wanted hope? You got hope!!

 

 

 

 

 

[devonhammer]

The latest run does have a hint that the Azores might be getting it's eye in and thinking about pointing at us. Just a hint mind.

[AliceR]

Upgrade!

 

we’ll be back at scorching in no time right!? 

[kalifire]

Biggest question for me currently is what the weather’s doing during gate opening. Will it rain on the overnight queue crew? If so, I’ll arrive Wednesday pm when it’ll hopefully be drier. I may well make the call overnight Wednesday morning! Knife. Edge. 

[mulletatron]

The jet is still all over the shop and we lose run to run consistency by Tuesday. In the 00z the jet has split but in the latest run it holds on longer. 
 

Anything after Tuesday morning is pretty unreliable at the moment. 

[Northtim]

5 minutes ago, kalifire said:

Biggest question for me currently is what the weather’s doing during gate opening. Will it rain on the overnight queue crew? If so, I’ll arrive Wednesday pm when it’ll hopefully be drier. I may well make the call overnight Wednesday morning! Knife. Edge. 

 

Makes me feel better about my coach getting on site late afternoon.  I don't wish rain on the queues but it will help my FOMO as I tuck into a full english still hours from the site 

[briddj]

Full update is on the bottom of the previous page again. 🤣

[devonhammer]

From the Netweather forecasters:

 

• 
• Site forecast team
• 
• •  14k

Posted 12 hours ago (edited)

Synoptic Overview

Certainly turning more unsettled around the middle of next week. But a quick look at the ensemble charts show detail a long way off.

ECM ensemble average has lower pressure for the Friday, perhaps getting better over the weekend.

A quick look at the GFS Meteogram and this suggests rain on many days next week but not large amounts.

There are sizeable differences though between runs and still a lot of uncertainty but that is the norm in forecasting Glastonbury festival weather.

[Physical_graffiti]

so the current forecast is good! well done everyone, stand down. See you at the fest.

[jfaragher]

1 hour ago, devonhammer said:

I'd be interested if there's a good source for the UK Met Office high-res data. Best I can find is this out to Wednesday am

 

UKV (The MO high-res) goes out to 54 hours on most runs, and 120 hours on a couple a day.  That's why you can only see information out to Wednesday next week.

[Respectfatfrog]

this thread is an emotional roller-coaster  

[DCIFF23]

So what we saying - still too far out?

 

[RaphPH]

I’d cash out at this #3