The Weather Thread 2024

[Colorblindjames]

24 minutes ago, briddj said:

🤣

 

 

You are posting pretty pictures but is that good or bad? 

[AndyL16]

8 minutes ago, briddj said:

 

No rain for the festival but it barely gets above 18 degrees. 

 

Would bite your hand off for this. Would rather be dry in shangri la at 04:00 am shivering in 4 layers sat on a dry floor than stood there in one welly, I lost the other en route in the mud, in a waterproof coat and pants contemplating that walk back to the tent when I inevitably lose the other welly 

[RaphPH]

I’d cash out at this …

[wozwebs]

Dry is all that counts for me, as someone whose face got sunburned in cloudy 16 degree conditions at a football tournament at the weekend, I’m all for high teens / low 20’s. Extra layer at night, stick. 

Edited June 20, 2024 by wozwebs

[Guest]

I’d be happy with dry and chilly but aren’t these also showing a big chance of at the very least showers? They look pretty close if not quite on site, so they’re bound to hit at some point as it can’t be that accurate this far out. 

[Alvoram]

52 minutes ago, Chip Batch said:

I’d be happy with dry and chilly but aren’t these also showing a big chance of at the very least showers? They look pretty close if not quite on site, so they’re bound to hit at some point as it can’t be that accurate this far out. 

Yep

This is total accumulation between now and camper vans arriving...

 

 

This is total accumulation between now and the Monday morning back to reality day.

 

It's not a lot though... Around 1cm between now and the end of the festival, spread out across different days / showers... So if true, it'll barely be noticable. 

(The heavier stuff is alarmingly close though!!!)

Edited June 21, 2024 by Alvoram

[Jacko45]

MetOffice still sticking to their guns.

 

Weds - 24c Sunny, Dry.

Thurs - 22c Sunny Dry.

[mrfunk]

1 minute ago, Jacko45 said:

MetOffice still sticking to their guns.

 

Weds - 24c Sunny, Dry.

Thurs - 22c Sunny Dry.

This giving me hope.. I’m still trying to score a set of zip off hiking trousers.. as feel at the moment it’s going to be freezing 

[AdrianH]

Not a horrendous GFS run. A shallow low pressure system makes inroads again on Wednesday with some rain about but after that largely dry if not a little chilly at times. Mid/High teens but pleasant in the sun if it we get some clear spells.

[albinolove]

After a soaking on Weds the 00z looks pretty dry but still cool.
 

Definite chance of a fingering coming too I reckon.

[AdrianH]

UKMO agrees - low pressure makes inroads on Wednesday/Thursday - warmer run though.

 

I think we are getting some consistency now in that the low pressure is going to be there on the Wednesday but improvements from the nightmare charts and depending on the position of the low, we might miss out of the worse of the rain.

[Jacko45]

Missing out on major rain is the key but 16c in the shade is going to feel properly cold when your stood/sat.

 

Going to take a proper coat which I never imagined I'd need to at Glastonbury. 

[Ayrshire Chris]

20 minutes ago, mrfunk said:

This giving me hope.. I’m still trying to score a set of zip off hiking trousers.. as feel at the moment it’s going to be freezing 

I’ve got a pair of them but as I’ve got skinny legs when I unzip them to shorts mode I look like something out of Carry on up the jungle.😉😊

[a.shep]

I’d be more than happy with dry and high teens, BBQ weather up norf that! 

[Jacko45]

There still a chance this warmer weather continues or we thinking with the last 24 hours of runs, that 16/18c bracket is our fortune?

[AdrianH]

3 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

There still a chance this warmer weather continues or we thinking with the last 24 hours of runs, that 16/18c bracket is our fortune?

 

I think there's a chance of warmer temperatures still if the low pressure is orientated more favourably. I think the scorchio ship has sailed though now

Edited June 21, 2024 by AdrianH

[Jacko45]

1 minute ago, AdrianH said:

 

I think there's a chance of warmer temperatures still if the low pressure is orientated more favourably. I think the scorchio ship has sailed though now

 

Yep the last scorchio/full dry run was Wednesday night.

[Sheffield Steve]

Midnight run of U.K. Met Office is pretty apocalyptic…. Brings a thundery low up from France for Wednesday and Thursday, with showers on Wednesday and heavy rain arriving later on Wednesday night.  This would leave the site very soggy… We’ve just gotta hope this changes in the coming days (which it will).

 

[Pinhead]

Happy Solstice!

[Sheffield Steve]

So that’s the UKMO and GFS wanting to bring the thundery low up from France on Wednesday/thursday.   This would be a very poor setup day… will be interesting to see if the ECM wants to agree in an hour or so…

 

[briddj]

Let's see if there's any good news this morning! The 00Z has rolled...

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

Small amount of rain in the early hours and then dry until Wednesday. Good news!

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry when gates op, temps of 19-20, but the rain is going to move up.

 

 

Torrential rain through Wednesday, highs of 20-22. Awful.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 15-16.

 

 

The low is pressure picture is worse, but can it fight back? Latest on the right.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Dry, rain misses, highs of just 17. Useless for drying Wednesday's rain.

 

Overnight into Friday, 13-14.

 

 

Similar pressure picture to the 18Z. Latest on the right.

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry, temps recover to 20-21.

 

Overnight into Saturday, 13-14.

 

 

Definitely a better pressure picture on Friday, allowing the heat to build 3 degrees in better. Latest on the right.

 

 

SATURDAY

 

 

Completely dry, highs of 19-20.

 

Overnight into Sunday, 12-13.

 

 

A little better, but we need MORE. Latest on the right.

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 18.

 

Overnight into Monday, 9-10.

 

 

Not quite as good by Sunday, hence the drop back in the temperatures. Latest on the right.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

The rain on the Wednesday would be horrible and would definitely lead to a big churn up of the site, and it would be hard work for a couple of days until the temperatures recover.

 

The rest of the run is another improvement, with high pressure fighting back -- which shows it's all still to play for.

 

Can we lose that Wednesday rain and see the high show its strength in the 06Z? See you soon...

 

Edited June 21, 2024 by briddj

[AdrianH]

ECM has a similar scenario earlier on but then much worse after. It has another deeper low making inroads by Friday

[Jacko45]

Clear picture emerging, were in for a wet and cool one.

 

Gutting as the weather was gorgeous for the last week. 

[majormajormajor]

Seeing the forecasts are selfishly making me feel a bit better about having to give up our tickets this year. Still hoping for a dry one for y'all!

[Jacko45]

Just now, majormajormajor said:

Seeing the forecasts are selfishly making me feel a bit better about having to give up our tickets this year. Still hoping for a dry one for y'all!

 

It's not going to be dry by any means, but doesn't look a 'washout'