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Corona Virus - Should we be worried?

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3 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

I would say calculating death rate by calculating deaths against total number of cases (which is where they get the 2.2% rate from) is meaningless, as we dont know the outcome for the vast majority of those cases. That’s meaningless.

Yeah that's why most experts reckon it's more likely to be about 1% as lots of cases will go totally unreported.

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If you were planning I'd agree with you. But you're not really, you're taking the absolute worst case position and presenting it as what is going to happen. And then conflating that worst case in China, with worse air quality, higher smoking rates and a greater incidence of lung and respiratory issues, with the UK. Describing it as uncontainable. 

That's not planning, it's panic.

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6 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

Plan for the worst

so you've stocked up with 3 months of food and bog roll...? :P 

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3 minutes ago, eFestivals said:

so you've stocked up with 3 months of food and bog roll...? :P 

6 weeks. True story.

 

5 minutes ago, Quark said:

If you were planning I'd agree with you. But you're not really, you're taking the absolute worst case position and presenting it as what is going to happen. And then conflating that worst case in China, with worse air quality, higher smoking rates and a greater incidence of lung and respiratory issues, with the UK. Describing it as uncontainable. 

That's not planning, it's panic.

That’s my hope too. Doesn’t help the Chinese though.

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8 minutes ago, Quark said:

If you were planning I'd agree with you. But you're not really, you're taking the absolute worst case position and presenting it as what is going to happen. And then conflating that worst case in China, with worse air quality, higher smoking rates and a greater incidence of lung and respiratory issues, with the UK. Describing it as uncontainable. 

That's not planning, it's panic.

It's not even the worst case scenario in China its a misunderstanding of the numbers to create a number many times higher than worst case estimates of the position in China.

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5 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

You’re right. It’ll be ok. It’s just the flu. You’ve convinced me.

That's not what we're saying though is it? There is stuff between the extremes of "nothing to worry about" and "fucking armageddon out of here"

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7 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

You’re right. It’ll be ok. It’s just the flu. You’ve convinced me.

It isn't "just" the flu but currently it's done less than the H1N1 "swine" flu pandemic in 2009 that I assume you similarly stock piled for?

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4 minutes ago, fatyeti24 said:

Got the date wrong, dude.

Don't encourage him

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8 minutes ago, fatyeti24 said:

Got the date wrong, dude.

I've been struggling this week. Until this morning I thought yesterday was Thursday.

So disappointing.

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1 hour ago, eFestivals said:

so you've stocked up with 3 months of food and bog roll...? :P 

didn't we all for Brexit?

 

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it's looking like it's not under control at all:

 

84052325_111325853777402_152753956446011

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6 minutes ago, 5co77ie said:

there was a place closed just up the road from me yesterday too.

I think there's probably a bit of general panic from people getting a cold. ;) 

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5 minutes ago, eFestivals said:

there was a place closed just up the road from me yesterday too.

I think there's probably a bit of general panic from people getting a cold. ;) 

I have a runny nose and a sore throat - I'm already convinced I have it

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Just now, Barney McGrew said:

Oh dear, bit near to home that.

Where are you ? I’m 15 mins walk from it ? Just checking the exclusion zone now 

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