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The Weather Thread 2024


airwaves

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Met Office (still not in range for local forecast)

 

UK long range weather forecast

Sunday 23 Jun - Tuesday 2 Jul

Predominantly fine and settled through the period and for much of the country turning much warmer than we have seen in recent weeks. At first some thicker cloud could bring some outbreaks of mostly light rain, this mainly affecting western, especially northwestern areas. However for most it will be dry throughout, and likely to turn increasingly warm as we move into next week. There is a chance that this could persist for much of the rest of the period, turning increasingly hot, however by mid-next week we see a large range of outcomes. some of which allow for a return of much cooler conditions and northerly winds for the latter part of next week. However the trend toward much warmer conditions is preferred for now.

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4 minutes ago, devonhammer said:

On the pressure ensembles, the operational is a total outlier

GEFS Ensembles Chart

It's even funny how on the 1st Jul it has a complete drop in pressure, I'm not putting much stock in this op run (at least until 10:30 😬

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2 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

Feel like if this one is bad also + The Met Office getting jittery it's firmly in the worrying territory. 

Why would this be the case considering averages / ensembles suggest otherwise? Surely this is an outlier?

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12 minutes ago, DCIFF23 said:

Why would this be the case considering averages / ensembles suggest otherwise? Surely this is an outlier?

 

If anything its actually showing that low pressure will be in less dominating this coming weekend 🎉

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5 minutes ago, rlandy95 said:

 

If anything its actually showing that low pressure will be in less dominating this coming weekend 🎉

Well yeah that's why i'm confused as to everyone's panic. the report this morning seems a complete anomaly compared to the other reports. 

 

1st year at Glasto and admit this the first time i've ever looked at weather reports in this much detail, so please anyone tell me if i am reading the graphs wrong!!

 

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2 hours ago, briddj said:

 

The apps won't have factored in the latest information at this point.

 

The "last updated" time keeps ticking along nicely, and still looks sunny. I don't know exactly what "last updated" means mind

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4 minutes ago, briddj said:

This massive green low is our enemy. 

 

KNIFE EDGE

 

 

h500slp (2).png

 

f**k the green low. The BBC knows what it's on about. I'm not even going to re-check it later 😂

Edited by CanWeRest
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