The Weather Thread 2024

[briddj]

5 minutes ago, hboss said:

Hi guys bit of off topic here 

My mate got his ticket on the resale. The tickets were posted on 17th June by royal mail (by the person who received them from Glastonbury) which is meant to be 1-3 days. He called royal mail and they said it's delayed and won't be considered lost until the 29th June. Any ideas what he should do?

 

Did he not post them on Special Delivery so it's tracked?

[behindthebunhouse]

The google deepmind AI graphcast model, which the netweather nerds seem to be quite enamoured of, is still giving us positive signs for the weekend  

[Jacko45]

17 minutes ago, behindthebunhouse said:

The google deepmind AI graphcast model, which the netweather nerds seem to be quite enamoured of, is still giving us positive signs for the weekend  

 

Yassssss

[CaledonianGonzo]

Digging this positive trend

[CantWaitForGlasto22]

2 hours ago, nowyouregideon said:

I've been obsessing over this thread for days. Learned a lot about forecasts, pressure and fingers. I can pretty much say with absolutely confidence how the weather is going to turn out.

 

It's going to be sunny some times but not all of the time. Wind will exist as will some clouds that may or may not be there all day. It's going to probably rain but maybe not. If the rain does come which it maybe might not it probably is going to either be a little or a lot. It's going to be warm for a bit and cold for a bit, sometimes hot potentially too hot but also could be cool at times. You're going to be wet from sweat and wet from rain at the same time, leave the wellies at home but make sure you pack your wellies. Take time to find shade from the clouds too and remember your suncream which you won't need but you might.

 

Hope that helps.

 
Nailed it. But don’t forget about those overnight temperatures which may be too hot to sleep comfortably or too cold so you need an extra blanket. Or both. Or neither. 

[HGlasto]

Met office looking perfect, I’m going with that 😂

[Jacko45]

25 minutes ago, HGlasto said:

Met office looking perfect, I’m going with that 😂

 

Really is looking good isn't it!

 

Surely with it just days away that's somewhere close to what were getting.

[HGlasto]

Only thing that’s worrying me is Gavs weather vids still giving a lot of rain for next weekend..

[CaledonianGonzo]

Just now, Jacko45 said:

 

Really is looking good isn't it!

 

Surely with it just days away that's somewhere close to what were getting.

Confidence in the forecast decreases the further the range.  So for Wednesday/ Thursday there's a decent chance. But for next Sunday / Monday it's still too far away 

[Havors]

Met Office looks awesome... 

 

Caveat..

 

The met office have been awful lately since they been messing with new data. Like total opposites in real time... saying its sunny when I'm sat in the rain

 

Even now it's saying sunny intervals where I am but there's not been a cloud in sight for hours... small difference I know but still wrong haha 

Edited June 23, 2024 by Havors

[SPW]

20 minutes ago, Havors said:

Met Office looks awesome... 

 

Caveat..

 

The met office have been awful lately since they been messing with new data. Like total opposites in real time... saying its sunny when I'm sat in the rain

 

Even now it's saying sunny intervals where I am but there's not been a cloud in sight for hours... small difference I know but still wrong haha 

I swore by MO until recently but it's been a bit inconsistent for me. Said risk of ylight rain was a couple of hrs away yesterday when I was looking out at a biblical deluge. 

 

As appreciative as I am of all the effort folk have gone to monitoring this, I wish I'd never discovered this thread😂. I was preaching que sera, rain or shine it'll be great, no point looking until Tues........now I am looking in every hour and am paranoid about any forecast now😃

[gherkin8r]

2 hours ago, charlierc said:

Maybe the weather can be as weird as I found Manchester on Friday, given we had a double rainbow, drizzle and sunshine at once during Green Day's set.

Aren't rain and sun required for a rainbow?

[The Nal]

Just now, gherkin8r said:

Aren't rain and sun required for a rainbow?

[Crazyfool01]

8 minutes ago, SPW said:

I swore by MO until recently but it's been a bit inconsistent for me. Said risk of ylight rain was a couple of hrs away yesterday when I was looking out at a biblical deluge. 

 

As appreciative as I am of all the effort folk have gone to monitoring this, I wish I'd never discovered this thread😂. I was preaching que sera, rain or shine it'll be great, no point looking until Tues........now I am looking in every hour and am paranoid about any forecast now😃

Soon as you get onsite you’ll forget it and deal with what’s overhead anyway … maybe the odd convo at campsite but nothing too intense 

[Havors]

9 minutes ago, SPW said:

I swore by MO until recently but it's been a bit inconsistent for me. Said risk of ylight rain was a couple of hrs away yesterday when I was looking out at a biblical deluge. 

 

As appreciative as I am of all the effort folk have gone to monitoring this, I wish I'd never discovered this thread😂. I was preaching que sera, rain or shine it'll be great, no point looking until Tues........now I am looking in every hour and am paranoid about any forecast now😃

Yeah it's always been very reliable for until this year it's gone nuts. My mate ran the bob Graham run in the lakes which takes a lot of planning and accurate weather. He used and swore by MO but recently it's all over the place 

[Jacko45]

Surely we're in for a belter?

 

Always forecasts aligning or a sting in the tail?

[gherkin8r]

Bit the bullet there and bought a couple of ponchos along with a load of last minute camping gear that probably won't fit in the car. 

[Leon_Anthony]

f**k it, not even packing wellies. 

[briddj]

Right, sort it out 12Z!

[Jacko45]

27 minutes ago, Leon_Anthony said:

f**k it, not even packing wellies. 

 

Mistake, still chance it'll change for the worst.

[Dusk1983]

7 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

Mistake, still chance it'll change for the worst.

Sorry to say this, but at least that Nal guy is faintly amusing while he’s trying to be contrary, you on the other hand are coming across as a genuine melt 🫣

[HGlasto]

I think it’s pretty clear that Wednesday - Friday will be nice, with weekend cold/rainy to some extent.

[Jacko45]

2 minutes ago, HGlasto said:

I think it’s pretty clear that Wednesday - Friday will be nice, with weekend cold/rainy to some extent.

 

Still showing 20+ for all days.

[briddj]

The GFS is such a little bugger.

[behindthebunhouse]

Sunday now in range on met office trial data - bit cooler but still perfectly acceptable. Game on I say