Guy Incognito Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 I can deal with showers. Doesn't look like there's going to be endless days of heavy rain which is the main thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PolygonWindow Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said: As does the latest GFS 😳 I reckon this is unlikely Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jparx Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 1 minute ago, PolygonWindow said: I look at this GFS and it tell me it’s gonna shit down all day Sat and Sun but surely that’s not correct? Does it look a lot worse than what will actually happen? I think we’re looking at showers, but it’s just when they hit and how much we get. Could blow past us or could utterly drench us. We won’t really know until it’s above is Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stopwn1981 Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 (edited) Don’t look like much fun Saturday - anyone who looks at this and see showers - I admire your positivity Edited June 20, 2022 by stopwn1981 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Splatt Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 Well this looks rubbish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fightoffyour Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 Positive from the GFS: the low pressure blob is smaller and moves back out West earlier on Sunday than the previous run. Chance of it fucking off completely in future runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Glasto Weatherwatch Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said: Rain overnight into Saturday, then a total shitshow in the daytime. Dry for McCartney I suppose. Sunday light showers but not much. This run can get in the bin. Realistically pinning hopes on Met Office now, who seem to be an outlier in that they expect rainfall to be very light and in showers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quark Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 This whole thing has changed about 5 times today. It's gonna be changeable. We'll have some weather. It'll be grand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaledonianGonzo Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 Three years we've waited and this is what we get. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Splatt Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 I preferred the olden days with one forecast a day on tv. too much data for me to process now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euphoricape Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 I hope we don't lose the Thursday to rain too.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henrik Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 Literally 3 days earlier and it would have been glorious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stopwn1981 Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Euphoricape said: I hope we don't lose the Thursday to rain too.. 4 out of 5 days with the wet stuff falling on latest runs. I genuinely can’t think of the last time it rained 4 days in a row 😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jparx Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 Just now, stopwn1981 said: 4 out of 5 days with the wet stuff falling on latest runs. I genuinely can’t think of the last time it rained 4 days in a row 😂 Which is why it probably won’t. Rain is so hard to predict, with these forecasts you’ll see a big band of raining moving about but that doesn’t mean it’ll rain constantly. It’s not usual for us to have that weather for such an extended time at this time of year anymore. I think we’ll see this as an outlier and be looking at showers over the weekend again in the next runs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 Right then, let's get this 12Z done. Gulp. WEDNESDAY Dry all day, highs of 24. Similar situation with the pressure. THURSDAY Still dry, temps of 25. Still no real evidence of the rain mentioned in other models, with any precipitation hitting more in southern Wales. So the low coming down seems set in stone. But what will it do? FRIDAY Again, all the rain appears to be hitting southern Wales and Cornwall and missing the site. But it's on the cusp. Highs of 21. Another similar pressure position for Friday, with the low still out to the west. Hold onto your hats. SATURDAY Rain arrives from the earlier morning, then the site is - again - right on the edge of this clusterfuck. Rain clears away early evening. Highs of 14 (!) on this run. 😶 This time the low is struggling to get into the UK, and is only just encroaching on the UK on Saturday. Better! However, this is also the reason for the heavy rain being where it is. Not better! But there's time. 😐 SUNDAY Light rain around during the day, but nothing much. Dry in the evening, Improved highs of 18. Good news! While the low does swing round the bottom half of the UK overnight on Saturday, it does end up positioned over the north. Can we get more of this and have a real shift of the low? There's still time! MONDAY MORNING Have a lie in.... SUMMARY A better all-round run which shows the difference the position of the low is going to make. Most of the worst of the rain is shown not to fall on the site. But... You know... KNIFE. EDGE. There is still time for the low to edge a little further north. COME ON, YOU BASTARD. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaphPH Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 1 minute ago, jparx said: Which is why it probably won’t. Rain is so hard to predict, with these forecasts you’ll see a big band of raining moving about but that doesn’t mean it’ll rain constantly. It’s not usual for us to have that weather for such an extended time at this time of year anymore. I think we’ll see this as an outlier and be looking at showers over the weekend again in the next runs. According to my iPhone weather app yesterday was 80% chance of rain and it’s correct it was. But it was light spitting for half an hour and most of the day was hot and dry and sunny. But it did rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stopwn1981 Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 All eyes on UKMO and ECM in a bit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
panasonic2011 Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, briddj said: Right then, let's get this 12Z done. Gulp. WEDNESDAY Dry all day, highs of 24. Similar situation with the pressure. THURSDAY Still dry, temps of 25. Still no real evidence of the rain mentioned in other models, with any precipitation hitting more in southern Wales. So the low coming down seems set in stone. But what will it do? FRIDAY Again, all the rain appears to be hitting southern Wales and Cornwall and missing the site. But it's on the cusp. Highs of 21. Another similar pressure position for Friday, with the low still out to the west. Hold onto your hats. SATURDAY Rain arrives from the earlier morning, then the site is - again - right on the edge of this clusterfuck. Rain clears away early evening. Highs of 14 (!) on this run. 😶 This time the low is struggling to get into the UK, and is only just encroaching on the UK on Saturday. Better! However, this is also the reason for the heavy rain being where it is. Not better! But there's time. 😐 SUNDAY Light rain around during the day, but nothing much. Dry in the evening, Improved highs of 18. Good news! While the low does swing round the bottom half of the UK overnight on Saturday, it does end up positioned over the north. Can we get more of this and have a real shift of the low? There's still time! MONDAY MORNING Have a lie in.... SUMMARY A better all-round run which shows the difference the position of the low is going to make. Most of the worst of the rain is shown not to fall on the site. But... You know... KNIFE. EDGE. There is still time for the low to edge a little further north. COME ON, YOU BASTARD. Yes come on you Bastard!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jparx Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 Just now, RaphPH said: According to my iPhone weather app yesterday was 80% chance of rain and it’s correct it was. But it was light spitting for half an hour and most of the day was hot and dry and sunny. But it did rain. Exactly - that’s what I think met office are basically saying for next weekend. By the by, their forecast has updated again and still showing dry until Saturday, with showers moving over that and Sunday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PolygonWindow Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, briddj said: Right then, let's get this 12Z done. Gulp. WEDNESDAY Dry all day, highs of 24. Similar situation with the pressure. THURSDAY Still dry, temps of 25. Still no real evidence of the rain mentioned in other models, with any precipitation hitting more in southern Wales. So the low coming down seems set in stone. But what will it do? FRIDAY Again, all the rain appears to be hitting southern Wales and Cornwall and missing the site. But it's on the cusp. Highs of 21. Another similar pressure position for Friday, with the low still out to the west. Hold onto your hats. SATURDAY Rain arrives from the earlier morning, then the site is - again - right on the edge of this clusterfuck. Rain clears away early evening. Highs of 14 (!) on this run. 😶 This time the low is struggling to get into the UK, and is only just encroaching on the UK on Saturday. Better! However, this is also the reason for the heavy rain being where it is. Not better! But there's time. 😐 SUNDAY Light rain around during the day, but nothing much. Dry in the evening, Improved highs of 18. Good news! While the low does swing round the bottom half of the UK overnight on Saturday, it does end up positioned over the north. Can we get more of this and have a real shift of the low? There's still time! MONDAY MORNING Have a lie in.... SUMMARY A better all-round run which shows the difference the position of the low is going to make. Most of the worst of the rain is shown not to fall on the site. But... You know... KNIFE. EDGE. There is still time for the low to edge a little further north. COME ON, YOU BASTARD. Not bad and btw - if a forecast is giving you a high of 14 in Jun you know it’s bollox Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 (edited) 20 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said: As does the latest GFS 😳 The GFS is 12Z for Thursday evening has the low no different to what it's been for a few runs and the rain doesn't hit the site. Edited June 20, 2022 by briddj Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euphoricape Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, briddj said: Right then, let's get this 12Z done. Gulp. WEDNESDAY Dry all day, highs of 24. Similar situation with the pressure. THURSDAY Still dry, temps of 25. Still no real evidence of the rain mentioned in other models, with any precipitation hitting more in southern Wales. So the low coming down seems set in stone. But what will it do? FRIDAY Again, all the rain appears to be hitting southern Wales and Cornwall and missing the site. But it's on the cusp. Highs of 21. Another similar pressure position for Friday, with the low still out to the west. Hold onto your hats. SATURDAY Rain arrives from the earlier morning, then the site is - again - right on the edge of this clusterfuck. Rain clears away early evening. Highs of 14 (!) on this run. 😶 This time the low is struggling to get into the UK, and is only just encroaching on the UK on Saturday. Better! However, this is also the reason for the heavy rain being where it is. Not better! But there's time. 😐 SUNDAY Light rain around during the day, but nothing much. Dry in the evening, Improved highs of 18. Good news! While the low does swing round the bottom half of the UK overnight on Saturday, it does end up positioned over the north. Can we get more of this and have a real shift of the low? There's still time! MONDAY MORNING Have a lie in.... SUMMARY A better all-round run which shows the difference the position of the low is going to make. Most of the worst of the rain is shown not to fall on the site. But... You know... KNIFE. EDGE. There is still time for the low to edge a little further north. COME ON, YOU BASTARD. Good stuff 👏 Fingers crossed for the low to get further away, the bastard. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexOvd Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, briddj said: Right then, let's get this 12Z done. Gulp. WEDNESDAY Dry all day, highs of 24. Similar situation with the pressure. THURSDAY Still dry, temps of 25. Still no real evidence of the rain mentioned in other models, with any precipitation hitting more in southern Wales. So the low coming down seems set in stone. But what will it do? FRIDAY Again, all the rain appears to be hitting southern Wales and Cornwall and missing the site. But it's on the cusp. Highs of 21. Another similar pressure position for Friday, with the low still out to the west. Hold onto your hats. SATURDAY Rain arrives from the earlier morning, then the site is - again - right on the edge of this clusterfuck. Rain clears away early evening. Highs of 14 (!) on this run. 😶 This time the low is struggling to get into the UK, and is only just encroaching on the UK on Saturday. Better! However, this is also the reason for the heavy rain being where it is. Not better! But there's time. 😐 SUNDAY Light rain around during the day, but nothing much. Dry in the evening, Improved highs of 18. Good news! While the low does swing round the bottom half of the UK overnight on Saturday, it does end up positioned over the north. Can we get more of this and have a real shift of the low? There's still time! MONDAY MORNING Have a lie in.... SUMMARY A better all-round run which shows the difference the position of the low is going to make. Most of the worst of the rain is shown not to fall on the site. But... You know... KNIFE. EDGE. There is still time for the low to edge a little further north. COME ON, YOU BASTARD. That buble is getting smaller! Still time until Friday to get this under control. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fightoffyour Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 I reckon this low bollock is gonna dissipate in the next runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 20, 2022 Report Share Posted June 20, 2022 17 minutes ago, fightoffyour said: Positive from the GFS: the low pressure blob is smaller and moves back out West earlier on Sunday than the previous run. Chance of it fucking off completely in future runs. Yes, I don't think this is a terrible run. It is one fraught with danger, but very little of the rain hits the site. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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