jparx Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 1 minute ago, kevbizarre said: Fuck the fuck. how in 24 hours can it go from dreamland to utter despair. any chance the tide can turn again? I need a twist Course, it’ll swing back again I’m sure. And maybe back and forth a couple more times. We’re still a week out from the main days of music. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Euphoricape said: Roll on midnight run. Where will we be this time tomorrow? I'm not around for the late run tonight. I will escape the misery this time. 😐 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeyT Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 I’d much rather be in the position that we are with the reliable timeframe showing good weather to start the festival and unreliable timeframe showing rain than the other way around… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alvoram Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 Just now, worstmanonroad said: BBC will be as good a barometer as any other, in years of following this annual meltdown thread these silly graphs have been about as much use as a custard dildo Where do you think the forecasters like the BBC get their data from? licking their thumb and holding it up to the air? It's realising that these charts are not forecasts that's the important thing... Something it seems many forget in here. 🤷♂️ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, kevbizarre said: Fuck the fuck. how in 24 hours can it go from dreamland to utter despair. any chance the tide can turn again? I need a twist Yes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaledonianGonzo Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 Just now, JoeyT said: I’d much rather be in the position that we are with the reliable timeframe showing good weather to start the festival and unreliable timeframe showing rain than the other way around… Yeah....I guess. But it's cold comfort when ight now we're looking at the same weather as fucking Greenland for the main event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, JoeyT said: I’d much rather be in the position that we are with the reliable timeframe showing good weather to start the festival and unreliable timeframe showing rain than the other way around… An excellent point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stopwn1981 Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 It’s over Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, jparx said: Course, it’ll swing back again I’m sure. And maybe back and forth a couple more times. We’re still a week out from the main days of music. I reckon we'll get another scorchio forecast sometime between sunday and wednesday and then it will go downhill rapidly once we're all in there and unable to get a signal to check so we won't know about it and it will become a disaster zone and we'll have to get rescued by the SAS or something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jparx Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 1 minute ago, JoeyT said: I’d much rather be in the position that we are with the reliable timeframe showing good weather to start the festival and unreliable timeframe showing rain than the other way around… Indeed. We’re sure for a dry a start to the festival, enough sun and heat to dry out any mud this weekend. Not worth worrying about Friday-Sun for another couple days I don’t think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
worstmanonroad Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 Just now, Alvoram said: Where do you think the forecasters like the BBC get their data from? licking their thumb and holding it up to the air? It's realising that these charts are not forecasts that's the important thing... Something it seems many forget in here. 🤷♂️ it’s just all very silly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, Alvoram said: Where do you think the forecasters like the BBC get their data from? licking their thumb and holding it up to the air? It's realising that these charts are not forecasts that's the important thing... Something it seems many forget in here. 🤷♂️ BBC is now with meteogroup and I read that they use a mixture of models but mainly ECM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billy Corgans hair Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, briddj said: I'm not around for the late run tonight. I will escape the misery this time. 😐 Absolutely shocking dedication from you. I expect better 🤔 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuartbert two hats Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Alvoram said: Where do you think the forecasters like the BBC get their data from? licking their thumb and holding it up to the air? It's realising that these charts are not forecasts that's the important thing... Something it seems many forget in here. 🤷♂️ It's not a case of forgetting - we're not meteorological experts. Most people here think of these runs as forecasts and don't appreciate the difference, despite indulging in this shitshow of a thread every year. What is the difference anyway? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexOvd Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 I am the first one who panics here, but this runs are consistent on good weather when gates open and no rain. From there, all to play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PolygonWindow Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 1 minute ago, jparx said: Indeed. We’re sure for a dry a start to the festival, enough sun and heat to dry out any mud this weekend. Not worth worrying about Friday-Sun for another couple days I don’t think. Also worth noting (if I remember rightly) bad rain was forecast for Mon and Tue on the GFS on Tuesday I believe? Now none. Correct me if I’m wrong someone. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 heavy rain heading pilton way... https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FuzzyDunlop Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 Stinker of a run. Too hot Wednesday & Thursday... then the rain. Drop the temps a bit for the first 2 days & the rain doesnt arrive. Constantly 18 and dry... please. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HyperTechnoHorse Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, steviewevie said: heavy rain heading pilton way... https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar Biblical. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said: Also worth noting (if I remember rightly) bad rain was forecast for Mon and Tue on the GFS on Tuesday I believe? Now none. Correct me if I’m wrong someone. I think....rain really hard to forecast....but pressure not so much....but problem we have next week is it's so messy with all these lows and which way they're going...A lot of it is probably dependent on the jetstream which someone mentioned earlier..it's doing a bit of a sine wave over UK at moment with it coming down over us next weekend...if it shifts either way it would make a massive difference. (something like that) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said: Stinker of a run. Too hot Wednesday & Thursday... then the rain. Drop the temps a bit for the first 2 days & the rain doesnt arrive. Constantly 18 and dry... please. yeah, compromise...a soft brexit... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, steviewevie said: I think....rain really hard to forecast....but pressure not so much....but problem we have next week is it's so messy with all these lows and which way they're going...A lot of it is probably dependent on the jetstream which someone mentioned earlier..it's doing a bit of a sine wave over UK at moment with it coming down over us next weekend...if it shifts either way it would make a massive difference. (something like that) no, got that wrong...it's below us next weekend ...netweather has a jetstream model thingy too. https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/jetstream Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaledonianGonzo Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 1 minute ago, steviewevie said: no, got that wrong...it's below us next weekend ...netweather has a jetstream model thingy too. https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/jetstream This chart feels like it should be good news Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alvoram Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 (edited) 11 minutes ago, steviewevie said: BBC is now with meteogroup and I read that they use a mixture of models but mainly ECM. Thanks, but it was a rhetorical question... 🙈😂 OP basically said he trusted BBC but these 'silly graphs' were nonsense. Which is fair enough, because the charts aren't forecasts... But you can't call them nonsense when they're the data source for those forecasts. On another note, I take it back, ensembles are showing a lot of confidence in rain Fri and Saturday 😞 Still time for it to change though 🙂 Edited June 18, 2022 by Alvoram Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Abc1235 Posted June 18, 2022 Report Share Posted June 18, 2022 There are some of you posting 10-20 times in a very short space of time, do you lot not have anything better to do? It's out of our control... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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