Weather thread 2015

[windy_miller]

Basically, even at this late stage, no one knows what the fuck is going to happen!

[richy24]

Latest GFS for those interested / still reading (bearing in mind this is less accurate now):

 

Thursday as was

Friday rain starting about 1pm, clear by 7-8pm. Couple of mms at worst. 20 degrees.

Sat dry, 21/22.

Sun light rain, heavier rain skirting to North through Wales. Still minor amounts. 20/21/22 degrees.

 

BBC / Met Office still showing mix of light rain and heavy showers through Friday.

 

So basically disagreement as to how much the rain breaks up when the front sweeps across on Friday.

 

Cheers!

 

The 12z Run is definitely looking better than the previous run

 

Lets hope the Met Office forecast falls in line with it!

[CaledonianGonzo]

Gonna borrow a Viking helmet from a moshing metaller and sign up to Team yr.no

[richy24]

Anyone left here? The weather in Bath has taken a bit of a turn and looks like it could chuck it down any minute! Hope the situation is different at the festival. 

 

The Accuweather Minutecast is showing no rain - but no idea how accurate it is!

 

http://www.accuweather.com/en/gb/glastonbury/ba6-9/minute-weather-forecast/330614

[jparx]

The Accuweather Minutecast is showing no rain - but no idea how accurate it is!

 

http://www.accuweather.com/en/gb/glastonbury/ba6-9/minute-weather-forecast/330614

 

I hope so because it literally looks like the heavens are about to open in Bath!

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

I hope so because it literally looks like the heavens are about to open in Bath!

 

MetOffice rainfall radar shows very isolated spots round Somerset at the moment, all clearing in next hour. 

[jparx]

MetOffice rainfall radar shows very isolated spots round Somerset at the moment, all clearing in next hour. 

 

Hopefully all the rain just hones in on Bath and avoids the festival  It can chuck it down here for all I care!

[richy24]

Looking ok on the webcam!

[danbailey80]

Jackone had a mini update looking very very positive saying:

No blog from me today. But one small snippet.

Total rainfall for Glastonbury

1-3mm cumulative rainfall, not bad at all.

.....

So that's the equivalent of a shower all weekend

[jimmyt]

That's the first post that's really given me hope for some reason. Damn you for that.

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

For anyone still reading or logging on from festival...

18z run excellent - very light rain Friday, almost nothing on Sunday.

Ditto the Norwegians.

Met office have improved Sunday but still show heavy showers Friday.

BBC have three hours of heavy rain (not showers).

So still disagreement on how much falls.

This looks like 2003 to me...

[ThomThomDrum]

For anyone still reading or logging on from festival...

18z run excellent - very light rain Friday, almost nothing on Sunday.

Ditto the Norwegians.

Met office have improved Sunday but still show heavy showers Friday.

BBC have three hours of heavy rain (not showers).

So still disagreement on how much falls.

This looks like 2003 to me...

 

Woo Hoo!!!!!!!

[SwedgeAntilles]

For anyone still reading or logging on from festival...

18z run excellent - very light rain Friday, almost nothing on Sunday.

Ditto the Norwegians.

Met office have improved Sunday but still show heavy showers Friday.

BBC have three hours of heavy rain (not showers).

So still disagreement on how much falls.

This looks like 2003 to me...

Looked like I picked the wrong weekend to pack waterproofs

[Swine_Glasto2014]

Loads of rain

[Peroni]

For anyone still reading or logging on from festival...

18z run excellent - very light rain Friday, almost nothing on Sunday.

Ditto the Norwegians.

Met office have improved Sunday but still show heavy showers Friday.

BBC have three hours of heavy rain (not showers).

So still disagreement on how much falls.

This looks like 2003 to me...

Thank you xx

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Quick morning update.

While most sites still reckon very little rain (Norwegians have improved even further), Met Office has got worse overnight - consistent heavy rain through Friday morning, rain pm, chance of showers Sat.

BBC, who take their data from Met Office, have similar for Friday but show full on Sun for Sat and a dry Sunday.

So if you haven't left yet, make sure you're prepared - it's the Met Office (who now seem convinced of lots of rain) v everyone else (not much rain), so still a chance things could get nasty if Met Office are right.

Edited June 25, 2015 by Glasto Weatherwatch

[PollyPeach]

I hope the Norwegians are right!

[SwedgeAntilles]

Damn met office. Everything was looking so good as well. Fingers crossed they've done got it wrong...

[jezzer]

Blimey!

 

If the Festival was a week later, Friday may have been a tad too warm for some

 

[jezzer]

Just watched Carol K on Breakfast, (she'll be using Met Office data)

 

Tomorrow's rain now likely but looks like pushing through with the afternoon brightening up. Saturday set to be dry but Sunday seems to have taken a turn for the worse I'm afraid. It certainly didn't look like that earlier this morning

 

Whatever happens I hope you all have a cracking time, missing out this year due to new bambino!

 

EDIT: Carol may have gone rogue with extent of Sunday's rain, @BBCWeather have just tweeted

 

#Glasto2015 forecast

FRI: Rain AM. Brighter PM

SAT: Sunny intervals

SUN: Dry AM, light rain PM

 

Edited June 25, 2015 by jezzer

[danbailey80]

I would be very positive about the weather.

 

All sights/ charts apart from metoffice are showing virtually no rain. BBC takes data from metoofice so same thing.

 

Enjoy and trust me

[PollyPeach]

I LOVE YOU DANBAILEY80

[jezzer]

I would be very positive about the weather.

 

All sights/ charts apart from metoffice are showing virtually no rain. BBC takes data from metoofice so same thing.

 

Enjoy and trust me

 

Yep, and this ain't too shabby!

 

[Rose-Colored Boy]

Too hot for me, gone to my head

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Afternoon update, mainly for me, as it's only me left:

 

Most sites stil saying very little rain Friday.

 

Most agreed it will start first thing in the am, peak round lunch then die out early PM, with the evening being nice and sunny.

 

Met Office still predicting heavy rain, but change the location to Glastonbury (6 miles from site) and they say light rain. 

 

There's now a BBC Glastonbury specific video forecast, and, although it warns of potentially heavy downpours, it also mentions that the rain will be quite light for the most part and will pass quickly.

 

(As an aside - someone on Netweather forums noted that some heavy downpours were skirting close to Somerset on their latest models, so not just Met Office warning of this).

 

So essentially - patchy, light rain tomorrow am and most of pm, with potential for heavy periods if we're unlucky.

 

Sunday looks like either patchy light rain or none at all, depending on how the front comes in. Disgareement at moment, but neither scenario that bad TBH.

Edited June 25, 2015 by Glasto Weatherwatch