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The Weather Thread 2024


airwaves

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2 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

Yes, the GFS coming out now is at odds with all the other models.   This is the French Arpege model for Wednesday  and has no sign of rain….

 

IMG_1957.jpeg.e0d0d60905799a3751fabc25f7e21b36.jpeg
 

 

French Arpege model for me please

Edited by Euphoricape
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What a day we've had. What. A. Day. Can it really continue?

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry, and it's scorching again at 20-21 at 9am!

 

image.thumb.png.b831b2fa7e71f688e5cc43d0cb76e0a9.png

 

There is some rain back here on the 12Z, but not the heavy stuff out to sea. Highs of 23-24.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 16-17.

 

image.thumb.png.c8a15d63227dede55141d3bad429ff83.png

 

Pressure picture not as good here with that pocket off the coast of France causing the rain. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.ca49d7120ef8a04ed5c3753d9e22be14.png

 

THURSDAY

 

Definitely not as good, as the rain you see moving north here has hit the site on Friday morning. Could be heavy. But it is then dry through the rest of the day. Highs of 19-20, significantly down on the last run.

 

Overnight temps into Friday of 14.

 

image.thumb.png.e6d625b406a66eea0a1977bfd290c71d.png

 

And definitely a downgrade in the pressure picture, latest on the right, with that low pocket still off the coast of France.

 

But hang on! It is reducing in size!!

 

image.thumb.png.6ff203a21f1a22de47cf0144f4a56e1c.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Risk of some afternoon showers, but nothing of note. Highs of 21-22. Slightly up on the last run. 

 

Overnight temps into Saturday of 13-14.

 

image.thumb.png.6f262293ca080248da81b852c637d5e6.png

 

 

Pressure picture on the right is slightly weaker, but nothing of note.

 

image.thumb.png.df069909c081d71cab2a352b4f8f6ff1.png

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Same story as Friday. Chance of very, very light showers. Highs of 20-21. Slight upgrade on the last run there.

 

Overnight temps into Sunday of 12.

 

image.thumb.png.8ccede87f1fca7e8fb68da2bdb58a002.png

 

Certainly a weaker picture for pressure, but nothing to worry about on this run.

 

image.thumb.png.d194c2b865e6edd2d6b80e4bf52c2248.png

 

SUNDAY

 

Ignore the rain in this image. It's so small you wouldn't notice it. But highs of just 18. A downgrade. 

 

Overnight temps into Monday of 12.

 

 

image.thumb.png.32c5621ee8c26c346af409a1c8e09a7a.png

 

High pressure is starting make a comeback, but later than the last run. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.14c73a3fb1342b43ef914af36a1bbf3a.png

 

SUMMARY

 

A slight downgrade due to the rain around on Thursday, and the high pressure not making the same inroads.

 

But still, this is another big win considering the charts 24 hours ago.

 

Plenty of time for things to improve yet further!

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, briddj said:

What a day we've had. What. A. Day. Can it really continue?

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry, and it's scorching again at 20-21 at 9am!

 

image.thumb.png.b831b2fa7e71f688e5cc43d0cb76e0a9.png

 

There is some rain back here on the 12Z, but not the heavy stuff out to sea. Highs of 23-24.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of 16-17.

 

image.thumb.png.c8a15d63227dede55141d3bad429ff83.png

 

Pressure picture not as good here with that pocket off the coast of France causing the rain. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.ca49d7120ef8a04ed5c3753d9e22be14.png

 

THURSDAY

 

Definitely not as good, as the rain you see moving north here has hit the site on Friday morning. Could be heavy. But it is then dry through the rest of the day. Highs of 19-20, significantly down on the last run.

 

Overnight temps into Friday of 14.

 

image.thumb.png.e6d625b406a66eea0a1977bfd290c71d.png

 

And definitely a downgrade in the pressure picture, latest on the right, with that low pocket still off the coast of France.

 

But hang on! It is reducing in size!!

 

image.thumb.png.6ff203a21f1a22de47cf0144f4a56e1c.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Risk of some afternoon showers, but nothing of note. Highs of 21-22. Slightly up on the last run. 

 

Overnight temps into Saturday of 13-14.

 

image.thumb.png.6f262293ca080248da81b852c637d5e6.png

 

 

Pressure picture on the right is slightly weaker, but nothing of note.

 

image.thumb.png.df069909c081d71cab2a352b4f8f6ff1.png

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Same story as Friday. Chance of very, very light showers. Highs of 20-21. Slight upgrade on the last run there.

 

Overnight temps into Sunday of 12.

 

image.thumb.png.8ccede87f1fca7e8fb68da2bdb58a002.png

 

Certainly a weaker picture for pressure, but nothing to worry about on this run.

 

image.thumb.png.d194c2b865e6edd2d6b80e4bf52c2248.png

 

SUNDAY

 

Ignore the rain in this image. It's so small you wouldn't notice it. But highs of just 18. A downgrade. 

 

Overnight temps into Monday of 12.

 

 

image.thumb.png.32c5621ee8c26c346af409a1c8e09a7a.png

 

High pressure is starting make a comeback, but later than the last run. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.14c73a3fb1342b43ef914af36a1bbf3a.png

 

SUMMARY

 

A slight downgrade due to the rain around on Thursday, and the high pressure not making the same inroads.

 

But still, this is another big win considering the charts 24 hours ago.

 

Plenty of time for things to improve yet further!

 

 

 

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