The Weather Thread 2023

[Mark Greensmith]

Can we stop using models that show rain during the festival

Edited June 16, 2023 by Mark Greensmith

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

I'm speechless... Bridjj goes out for one night and this happens

Amateurs, Bridjj will be back tomorrow with the sunshine I'm sure 🌞

[Alvoram]

14 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

Stop using the GFS it’s a c**t. Use UKMO

I use them all... Build a picture in my head from all of them looking for agreement and patterns... I like the ECMWF the most though, it seems to be less prone to throwing random hissy fits every few runs. 

Edited June 16, 2023 by Alvoram

[HyperTechnoHorse]

10 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

Stop using the GFS it’s a c**t. Use UKMO

"All the models I don't like are wrong"

[MEGATRONICMEATWAGON]

33 minutes ago, Harry3 said:

No finger, some rain to keep the dust down, temps in the early 20s? 
 

stick 

 

[stopwn1981]

12z UKMO still slips in a finger

[squirrelarmy]

A little bit of rain on Tuesday to soften the ground for tent pegs is no bad thing. 

[Euphoricape]

20 minutes ago, Alvoram said:

The ECMWF is still on the 00z run... 6z is outputting now, should be ready soon, hope it stays the same 🤞

What's the damage..?

[Justcalledtosay]

I don’t trust anyone else but @briddj now I’m afraid. Who said he/she was allowed to go out?

[MgH97]

For anyone worrying about the weather… this was posted in the net weather forum 2 hours ago 

[Alvoram]

3 minutes ago, Euphoricape said:

What's the damage..?

Less rain up until Tuesday on the 6z... 🙂 Doesn't go past Tuesday. 12z will soon enough 🙂 

[Sheffield Steve]

7 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

12z UKMO still slips in a finger

It certainly does.  Big enough to be a thumb even.  Looks promising for a fine weekend from UKMO…..

[CaledonianGonzo]

Oh baby. Look at that 😍 

[Euphoricape]

4 minutes ago, Alvoram said:

Less rain up until Tuesday on the 6z... 🙂 Doesn't go past Tuesday. 12z will soon enough 🙂 

Cheers, bit more promising!

[Alvoram]

6 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

It certainly does.  Big enough to be a thumb even.  Looks promising for a fine weekend from UKMO…..

💖

That is exactly what we needed today!!

[CaledonianGonzo]

That's not even a thumb. Its a goddamn fist.

[celticvillan]

I’m leaving Yorkshire on Monday, at this rate I’m just taking all my clothes & footwear, and hoping something from that selection will work! 

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

1 hour ago, Alvoram said:

Not sure what made you think those days were dry in this run but they're not...

This is not a better run, it's the worst yet, that amount of rain, falling for that long, on the day before gates open is genuinely concerning. 😕 
 

The lightest blue on GFS isn’t really rain. It’s low cloud. It would be the same as feeling a few spots of rain and then it stopping. That’s a dry day.

It was a better run in terms of rainfall. The overall picture (position of low etc) was probably less good - which is what I said in the summary.

But as others have mentioned ECM and UKMO are in range now and better systems so not overly concerning. 

Edited June 16, 2023 by Glasto Weatherwatch

[CaledonianGonzo]

30 minutes ago, celticvillan said:

I’m leaving Yorkshire on Monday, at this rate I’m just taking all my clothes & footwear, and hoping something from that selection will work! 

This is the way

[DYRTFT]

1 minute ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

The lightest blue on GFS isn’t really rain. It’s low cloud. It would be the same as feeling a few spots of rain and then it stopping. That’s a dry day.

It was a better run in terms of rainfall. The overall picture (position of low etc) was probably less good - which is what I said in the summary.

But as others have mentioned ECM and UKMO are in range now and better systems do not overly concerning. 

But Alvoram’s an expert. 

[MEGATRONICMEATWAGON]

Stick.

Stick on anything right now, as long as it's not a mud bath. I don't care anymore, I just want to be there 😅

[Havors]

I'll go with this for now. 

[T-Mouse]

The Azores Chode coming in hot

[Superscally]

7 hours ago, T-Mouse said:

I mean this rollercoaster stuff really is all a bit silly. The forecasts broadly have been saying the same thing all week. Monday-Friday risk of showers but decent temps with chance it all missed us. Weekend could see possible return to stability but too far to have any real certainty. 

Be sensible. Bring walking boots and maybe have wellies in the car. Also being your suncream and trainers. Anything could happen. But always remember the forcefield. It's real 

Wellies are never sensible.

[Superscally]

Can someone tell me if the finger is a good or a bad thing here? In fact, list me scenarios where the finger is good, where it is bad and where it is both. That'll be good for two more pages.