Weather thread 2015

[bucko]

https://forum.netweather.tv/blog/189/entry-4896-glastonbury-festival-2015-24-to-28-june-forecast-no-10/

 

the latest from j10 looks good.

[briddj]

https://forum.netweather.tv/blog/189/entry-4896-glastonbury-festival-2015-24-to-28-june-forecast-no-10/

 

the latest from j10 looks good.

 

I think 5.0 is very pessimistic on the latest runs.

[ThomThomDrum]

He said just the right side of 5 which to me is 4.sonething

[Cooter]

I think 5 is fair enough, he's forecasting sun, mainly cloudy and rain, not a lot but there will be mud at some point. A dustbowl is 1 so 5's about right at this stage.

[SteveTLizard]

Fucking ell, 5 down votes for pointing out the bleeding obvious. I stand corrected on my timing, a subsequent poster pointed out that it was not an hour before the 2005 storms that they were predicted, but 2 days. Let's take this as fact, this means that as of Wednesday it was looking glorious for the weekend. So the forecasts that you are basing your euphoria/despair on for this year will right now, in all likelyhood turn out to be complete and utter bollox.

Down vote the fuck out of that bitches.

STL.

Come on, you lot can do better that.

[Cooter]

Steve, I gave you an up vote, I haven't the foggiest what it means but I think it means I liked your post which I did.

[briddj]

I am now full obsessed with the GFS charts. Roll on 11pm....

[lisa93]

Sounding rather good at the mo, looks as though with the latest charts, the low is being kept away and high pressure building. Too much suspense, I guess it could go back the other way again, but for now, looks good to me

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/83255-model-output-discussion-1st-june-2015-12z/?p=3217431

[lisa93]

This must have something to do with the fact I just bought 6 new pairs of wellie socks on the basis of that horrendous run the other day!

[briddj]

I bought some gaiters today. Leaving the tags on so I can return them for a refund. Will have to be proper rain for me to bother using them.

[CaledonianGonzo]

Too early to get complacent, I fear.

Taps halfway oaf.

[CaledonianGonzo]

Or halfway oan.

Who can tell woooooooooo-ooooh.

[Spindles]

Taps are definitely hovering in a not quite sure if oan or oaf predicament.

[lisa93]

That's the thing, it could all change tomorrow. Think I need to get over this weather worry! Never used to bother me!

[Guest]

Taps aff! If there's no pasty chests for Mr Sun to beam on, why would he make the effort to come out?

[SwedgeAntilles]

Taps aff, wellies oan. The ultimate combo.

[CaledonianGonzo]

Time to abandon Jackone and turn to a different sort of weather forecast:

http://www.taps-aff.co.uk

[Starchild771]

Ughh toooo excited.. all I can do is refresh the weather thread hoping it may suck me into a time vortex, fastforwarding me to Wednesday.

[stopwn1981]

Just had a pissing down thunderstorm here that wasn't forecast this morning. Gobshite forecasters. Is there anyone here who goes out and about without a waterproof close to hand once they're on the farm??

[mandolin]

Me. 2013. Wasn't pretty. Won't be happening again.

[Spindles]

I've always gone for the poundland pacamac option, cheap, compact and keeps you dry, although you smell like a johnny factory.

[stopwn1981]

I've always gone for the poundland pacamac option, cheap, compact and keeps you dry, although you smell like a johnny factory.

I don't like taking a bag, so last year I had all sorts of shit hanging off my belt - jumper, poncho, water proof trousers - I was like a Primark Batman. Gotta get a better solution this year!

[SteveTLizard]

Fucking ell, 5 down votes for pointing out the bleeding obvious. I stand corrected on my timing, a subsequent poster pointed out that it was not an hour before the 2005 storms that they were predicted, but 2 days. Let's take this as fact, this means that as of Wednesday it was looking glorious for the weekend. So the forecasts that you are basing your euphoria/despair on for this year will right now, in all likelyhood turn out to be complete and utter bollox.

Down vote the fuck out of that bitches.

STL.

-10, piss fucking poor effort.

Oh, by the way, I've just finished a cup of tea, in the leaves I just made out a rain drop, oh shit, we're all doomed, it's rain and damnation for us now......

...... All ways look on the bright side of life, ta da, ta da ta da ta da, etc etc

Edited June 20, 2015 by SteveTLizard

[Titters2]

I went out on Saturday last year without a waterproof, by accident. Saw the rain coming, dived into my bag, nothing there. Thought I could get back to the tent before the rain.

5mins short.

Drenched.

Sulked.

[DeanoL]

Fucking ell, 5 down votes for pointing out the bleeding obvious. I stand corrected on my timing, a subsequent poster pointed out that it was not an hour before the 2005 storms that they were predicted, but 2 days. Let's take this as fact, this means that as of Wednesday it was looking glorious for the weekend. So the forecasts that you are basing your euphoria/despair on for this year will right now, in all likelyhood turn out to be complete and utter bollox.

 

No, in all "likelyhood" they'll be right - it's very mixed at the moment, so the confidence level is going to be low, but whatever they forecast, it's more likely it'll be that than something else. That doesn't guarantee it'll be right, there's probably a 20% chance the forecasts will be totally wrong.

 

But for "all likelyhood" you'd need a 50% chance + of them being wrong. Which just isn't the case. Apologies for using words.