Weather

[Splatt]

I'm no forecaster but the overnight 00z gfs charts put a big area of low pressure over the UK for the whole festival, with a lot of rain. Although this is the op run which is a massive outlier in the ensembles.

[Mardy]

Just when I was starting to feel positive. Seriously, I am worried that the period of settled weather everyone has kind of recently been predicting is going to come too early, say Thursday to Mon/Tues next week. As ever nail biting stuff.

[cidermonkey]

Metcheck says cool, dry with a bit of cloud. Ideal for keeping your beer chilled.

It is easier to keep warm when it is cool than to cool down when it is hot. With the cloud cover it should also make the evenings a bit less chilly. Ideal festival weather.

[benc]

Metcheck says cool, dry with a bit of cloud. Ideal for keeping your beer chilled.

It is easier to keep warm when it is cool than to cool down when it is hot. With the cloud cover it should also make the evenings a bit less chilly. Ideal festival weather.

[Dav0s]

Met office forecast updated as well.

UK Outlook for Thursday 20 Jun 2013 to Saturday 29 Jun 2013:

Many parts are likely to start this period with a brief drier and brighter spell in an unsettled prevailing theme, however showers or longer spells of rain are likely to move into the west, with the risk of heavy rain and brisk winds in the northwest, especially by Friday. There is a small chance of very warm, humid conditions and thundery showers in the southeast initially, otherwise near-normal temperatures are expected generally, before becoming rather cool in the west. The changeable theme should continue into the weekend and thereafter, with showers or spells of more persistent rain interspersed with drier, brighter interludes. Southern and eastern areas probably seeing the best of the fine and warmer spells, whilst northwestern areas have periods of more persistent rain, windy conditions and near-normal temperatures.

[Guest]

Metcheck says cool, dry with a bit of cloud. Ideal for keeping your beer chilled.

It is easier to keep warm when it is cool than to cool down when it is hot. With the cloud cover it should also make the evenings a bit less chilly. Ideal festival weather.

[Midnight Man]

Gah! This f*cking country! It's come to something when you find yourself thinking five days of 17 degrees, moderate r*in, and cloud cover to prevent hypothermia at night isn't too bad for festival weather!

[frostypaw]

The english are so good at whinging. Have you seen what's been going on in the continent?

We live in a lush green country because of the rain and sun mix we get. every festival has had some rain and sun, excluding the few extreme ones.

So yes - we can be glad it's reasonable weather and not be mental demanding wall-to-wall sunshine - if you want that do benicassim, you're at the wrong festival.

[ollyrag]

From Jackone

Next full blog will appear tomorrow night, as there is so much volatility in the models at the moment.

GFS 00Hz is a bit of a nightmare run, from next weekend onwards there appears a Low Pressure magnet towards Southern UK, if right it would send the wetness/mud bath ratings off the roof.

ECM is not exactly settled but at least builds pressure from the South West, and keeps the worst of any rainfall away from Glastonbury.

[Splatt]

From Jackone

Next full blog will appear tomorrow night, as there is so much volatility in the models at the moment.

GFS 00Hz is a bit of a nightmare run, from next weekend onwards there appears a Low Pressure magnet towards Southern UK, if right it would send the wetness/mud bath ratings off the roof.

ECM is not exactly settled but at least builds pressure from the South West, and keeps the worst of any rainfall away from Glastonbury.

Edited June 16, 2013 by Splatt

[ollyrag]

'Off the roof...' Nooooooo! It's all still to play for. Isn't it.... Please say yes!!

[brettredmayne]

From Jackone

Next full blog will appear tomorrow night, as there is so much volatility in the models at the moment.

GFS 00Hz is a bit of a nightmare run, from next weekend onwards there appears a Low Pressure magnet towards Southern UK, if right it would send the wetness/mud bath ratings off the roof.

ECM is not exactly settled but at least builds pressure from the South West, and keeps the worst of any rainfall away from Glastonbury.

[ICGenie]

17-18C feels a lot warmer when you're out in fields- something to do with the humidity or reflection of the grass or something (yes I carried out some scientific tests earlier this month to get an idea of what would be the optimum temperature for glastonbury!), so don't worry about those kinds of temperatures. Plus those kinds of temperatures mean there's cloud, which means there won't be a huge temperature drop off at night time either.

[harriet]

Wasn't 2004 the year when it had been so hot that when it did rain the ground was so dry it didn't sink in just flooded everywhere it then stopped raining and the sun came out again but everywhere was muddy for the weekend?

[Splatt]

This all depends o these low pressure systems. I've been watching jet stream forecasts for a while now and sadly it looks like a low right over UK for much of that time. I'm almost tempted to chant now. Almost

[Mr.Tease]

Gah! This f*cking country! It's come to something when you find yourself thinking five days of 17 degrees, moderate r*in, and cloud cover to prevent hypothermia at night isn't too bad for festival weather!

[harriet]

Think we will have to wait for country file forecast next Sunday.... Whatever it is we cannot change it just be good to know what clothes to pack ...

Edited June 16, 2013 by harriet

[Trebor]

Wasn't 2004 the year when it had been so hot that when it did rain the ground was so dry it didn't sink in just flooded everywhere it then stopped raining and the sun came out again but everywhere was muddy for the weekend?

[howlin_pete]

Waaaahhhhh

[brettredmayne]

Think we will have to wait for country file forecast next Sunday.... Whatever it is we cannot change it just be good to know what clothes to pack ...

[caroldecker]

Nooooooo!!

Stay positive! Must stay positive!!!

Please weather! If it can change so dramatically to bad, it can change back to good just as quickly!

[Matt42]

This is like a fecking roller coaster!

It's good, then bad, then awful.

I might just wait until the festival and get what I'm given, without worrying myself.

[sickbird_uk]

I've been trying to remember the weather in each of my years at Glasto. This is what I came up with -

2002 - Decent. Mostly dry with some showers later on Sunday

2003 - A good year. Possibly my favourite year in terms of weather.

2004 - Mixed bag. Dry up to Saturday then on/off rain for Saturday and Sunday.

2005 - Hot, Hot, Hot until Friday early hours then the 'Mother-of-all-storms' caused rivers and lakes to form. After the storm, it stayed dry and was decent.

2007 - Horrible from start to finish. Grey, wet and miserable.

2008 - Mostly good. Only minor showers.

2009 - Similar to 2008 but there was a storm on the Thursday night that soon cleared up by Friday afternoon I think.

2010 - Hot, Hot, Hot. Glorious but draining.

2011 - Bleak Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. Mud was a pain until a blistering hot Sunday.

Feel free to correct me. Personally I'd very much like a repeat of 2003 please. Although I wouldn't complain if 2010 happened again.

Edited June 16, 2013 by sickbird_uk

[Ed209]

Forecasts certainly seem to be on a downward trend. Not good

[mail1234]

Forecasts arent looking great but theres still 10 days to go so hopefully they'll come good again. Not putting faith into anything until at least a week from now