Weather

[glastofever]

I'm officially starting to panic now. Those hot days seem along time ago

Edited June 16, 2013 by glastofever

[howlin_pete]

Rationally, there's no need to panic. Im away next weekend too and have barely bothered checking the weather yet as i know theres no point, so why would i even worry about the glastonbury forecast?

However, Im not rational. Waaaaahhhhh

[Midnight Man]

Ha! True, but the absence of a proper summer for 7 years has led me down this dark path...

[Robsvik]

I think i need therepy! I have become completly obsessed with every long range forecast for the last 4 weeks even though i keep telling myself 2 not bother looking until country file forecast next sunday! But give it a few hours and i'll b looking again.

Yesterday morning the forecast for where i live in bristol was heavy rain today, last night it changed 2 no rain at all and guess what.......IT'S RAINING!!!!

I give up.....for a few hours at least

[ollyrag]

AWD more positive, although still grasping a straws today

"Ian Fergusson, the local forecaster for the West Country including Glastonbury is now doing snippet forecasts for the run up to the festival. His first thoughts are below;

#GLASTONBURY early indications suggestive of showery/cool/breezy start to festival week; hints of more settled for weekend but uncertain... "

[elbongo]

It's evil this weather watching. Over the years it has become an obsession of the most torturing endeavours... The thing is it WILL change from good to bad about 3 or 4 times before this time next week and then even with a few days to go it won't be nailed on either way. I've had 10 years of this trust me... therefore I will keep the faith that surely, surely this is our time once again...

[pedmills]

Here are some non-Jackone weather sources for comparison...

Metcheck are forecasting 1.3mm on the monday, 1.1mm on the tuesday, 0.6mm on the wednesday, 1.3mm on the thursday, 1mm on the friday, 0.3mm on the saturday, 1.2mm on the sunday.

Which would mean light showers throughout, with a couple of dry days. So maybe something like 2008.

Accuweather are forecasting 2mm on the monday, 11mm on the tuesday, 0mm on the wednesday, 1mm on the thursday, 5mm on the friday, 2mm on the saturday, 0mm on the sunday.

This would mean dry days and wet days. So I guess more like 2011/2004.

Netweather say there will be rain on monday, rain on tuesday, rain on wednesday, rain on thursday, rain on friday, rain on saturday, rain on sunday.

Because they don't predict how much rain, there's no indication whether this means 2007-like or 2008-like.

The BBC still have no idea by the sounds of it.

The Met Office say drier and wetter spells.

The Weather Channel say that there is a 10% chain of rain on monday, 10% on tuesday - no forecasts after that yet.

Weather Online say there will be light showers.

Conclusion: At this stage looking mixed - at best like 2008, at worst 2011.

I'll keep doing these summaries every day to save everyone from scrawling around different sites.

Edited June 16, 2013 by pedmills

[howlin_pete]

2008 was fine for me, and I coped well with 2011. Huzzah!

[Dav0s]

06z GFS runs look better than the mudbath 00z runs, but still very unsettled. But again, the operational run is a huge outlier in terms of rainfall, with some of the other runs looking very nice indeed!

As Jackone said, models seem to be next to useless at the moment!

[jimmillen]

With this much uncertainty on the models really, anything could turn up. My gut feel is it's unlikely to be wall to wall sun, but unlikely to be mud central either... We'll see.

All that being said, I can't stop looking at forecasts either.

[BlackHole2006]

As long as it doesn't bloody rain on the Wednesday whilst I'm trying to set up my tent, I'll be happy with that.

[scmusic]

My sixth Glasto this year and though every year I say I will hold off looking at the weather till the week of the fest, every year I fail, abjectly.

[Sketchead]

As long as it doesn't bloody rain on the Wednesday whilst I'm trying to set up my tent, I'll be happy with that.

[caroldecker]

Here are some non-Jackone weather sources for comparison...

Metcheck are forecasting 1.3mm on the monday, 1.1mm on the tuesday, 0.6mm on the wednesday, 1.3mm on the thursday, 1mm on the friday, 0.3mm on the saturday, 1.2mm on the sunday.

Which would mean light showers throughout, with a couple of dry days. So maybe something like 2008.

Accuweather are forecasting 2mm on the monday, 11mm on the tuesday, 0mm on the wednesday, 1mm on the thursday, 5mm on the friday, 2mm on the saturday, 0mm on the sunday.

This would mean dry days and wet days. So I guess more like 2011/2004.

Netweather say there will be rain on monday, rain on tuesday, rain on wednesday, rain on thursday, rain on friday, rain on saturday, rain on sunday.

Because they don't predict how much rain, there's no indication whether this means 2007-like or 2008-like.

The BBC still have no idea by the sounds of it.

The Met Office say drier and wetter spells.

The Weather Channel say that there is a 10% chain of rain on monday, 10% on tuesday - no forecasts after that yet.

Conclusion: At this stage looking mixed - at best like 2008, at worst 2011.

I'll keep doing these summaries every day to save everyone from scrawling around different sites.

[Henrik]

So 2007 was horrific and 2010 was fantastic (think that's right). Did you guys know beforehand what you were in for or did it just kind of happen?

[Taikonaut]

Can't help but get a bit depressed about this.

It's not so much me, I can enjoy Glasto in any weather. Just worried about my GF at her first Glasto. I'm not sure how she'll cope.

[ollyrag]

2007. Mmm. Sat with Greenfairy, Paul and a few others on Wed afternoon. It was very sunny and warm and let to my imbibing GF's legendary absinthe. If I recall some pics were taken of the lovely blue sky and little fluffy white clouds. Perhaps someone from that time still has them. Comments of "Rain at glastonbury? don't be silly, here's the photographic proof."

After stumbling away from what I thought was a highly productive meeting at the cider bus, I slipped in my flip flops into the only muddy puddle in an otherwise dusty track and got very muddy. I thought that this was somewhere near the underground piano bar, but have since decided that that place is actually a state of mind.

I wasn't the last to get mudded.

The rain must have arrived sometime on Thursday morning early. By 8am the place was a swamp. Also memorable - I do not recall seeing much in the way of sun the whole weekend.

The forecast was simply for rain.

[pedmills]

So 2007 was horrific and 2010 was fantastic (think that's right). Did you guys know beforehand what you were in for or did it just kind of happen?

[ukdaasfan]

2007 it rained, rained, rained and then rained some more. 1/2 my lot bailed on friday, some more saturday. I refused to go home. But it was bloody mindedness. I was in Kidney Mead and I have to dig my tent out cause the mud coming down the hill had accumulated up the side. I remember waking up the path by the side and it was 1/2 a inch deep river of water monday. Truly terrible.

[Taikonaut]

Right that's it. I can't come in this thread again

*runs away screaming with fingers in ears*

[Big Vern]

Its so effin annoying,weeks of fairly dry periods beforehand, then by the looks of things effin rain of some degree throughout the festival. No doubt it'll be dry and hot as fook from the Monday after the festival

[frostypaw]

Can't help but get a bit depressed about this.

It's not so much me, I can enjoy Glasto in any weather. Just worried about my GF at her first Glasto. I'm not sure how she'll cope.

Edited June 16, 2013 by frostypaw

[brain yolk!]

It's going to be fine! We've had on and off rain here over the last few days but the ground is still completely bone dry.

Last year we had weeks of steady rain and damp before the festival, remember how wet and muddy it looked on those worthy FM videos?

Even if we get the odd bit of rain over the festival, it's almost definitely not going to be a mudbath/repeat of 2011 going by the general consensus of forecasts. Still a while before we can be moderately sure of any forecast anyway.

[Trebor]

Yep, people need to calm down! We know nothing yet! I've been moaning for weeks it was going to be bad, but from all the info we have (or lack of it), I feel weirdly optimistic. It won't be another 2007, and that's the main thing.

[Mr.Tease]

Knew beforehand. We knew a while before 2010 that it would be hot, but only a few days before that it probably wouldn't rain at all. I can't remember 2007 very well but I think a mudbath was predicted at least a couple of weeks beforehand.

Edited June 16, 2013 by Mr.Tease