Weather thread 2015

[bennyhana22]

So when's Countryfile on tomorrow?

 

Ben

[SteveTLizard]

No, in all "likelyhood" they'll be right - it's very mixed at the moment, so the confidence level is going to be low, but whatever they forecast, it's more likely it'll be that than something else. That doesn't guarantee it'll be right, there's probably a 20% chance the forecasts will be totally wrong.

 

But for "all likelyhood" you'd need a 50% chance + of them being wrong. Which just isn't the case. Apologies for using words.

I'm a massive fan of this post, I think it sums up the weather thread perfectly, good work.

if I hadn't run out of up votes one would be winging it your way.

[poison69]

So when's Countryfile on tomorrow?

 

Ben

 

about 6 or 7 ish

 

EDIT: 7   I looked on the internets

Edited June 20, 2015 by poison69

[briddj]

There is a pretty high confidence through to Thursday at the moment, so it seems very likely we'll be in good conditions for arrival and the pre-festival festivities. Just need things to hold firm for the weekend. Tonight's run could be quite important, as if it backs things up we'll have had this general trend for the past 24-36 hours after a week of things being all over the place.

 

I'm getting quietly confident it's going to be a good one. We won't avoid rain altogether but I'm thinking we might now avoid anything that will affect the ground for anything but a short period.

 

Now watch the runs in just over an hour show the rain having sunk south and engulfed the site Friday through to Sunday....

[briddj]

So when's Countryfile on tomorrow?

 

Ben

 

In 2013 they didn't even mention Glastonbury and barely touched on Friday-Sunday. Fuming!

[majormajormajor]

Seriously, who cares about Countryfile? The BBC website's weather page will be more up to date when it is being broadcast.

 

Then again, I suppose it's just the excitement of it all becoming REAL!

Edited June 20, 2015 by majormajormajor

[Untz]

I'm a massive fan of this post, I think it sums up the weather thread perfectly, good work.

if I hadn't run out of up votes one would be winging it your way.

 

I'm sorry that you don't understand science, modelling and statistics. It must be hard to be presented with all this data that makes no sense. Luckily, you don't need a PhD in meteorology to enjoy the festival.

[Jugtanion]

Hi - as a total new person on this forum (which I've in fact followed for the last 2 festivals for info etc...) I'd just like to say thanks to pedmills and Devonanchor for the insight. Science + drama, what better a combo!?! Keep up the good work folks - and know that everything will be alright in the end!

[poison69]

Hi - as a total new person on this forum (which I've in fact followed for the last 2 festivals for info etc...) I'd just like to say thanks to pedmills and Devonanchor for the insight. Science + drama, what better a combo!?! Keep up the good work folks - and know that everything will be alright in the end!

 Hello

[briddj]

18Z runs just starting....

[majormajormajor]

The ECM 12Z runs this evening are making for beautiful reading.

 

There's potential that it'll be warm and no rain.

 

Let's see how the GFS performs in 5 mins.

Edited June 20, 2015 by majormajormajor

[danwood]

when will we know the results of the 18z? 5 mins?

[Koroviev]

[Pink_Tequila]

Seriously, who cares about Countryfile? The BBC website's weather page will be more up to date when it is being broadcast.

Because the country file forecast has human input is and one of the most reliable forecasts there is. The bbc weather site is always out of date and has little human input and is based purely on the numerical models.

Edited June 20, 2015 by Pink_Tequila

[stopwn1981]

Hello[/quote

is it me you're looking for?

[ltfckimbo]

In 2013 they didn't even mention Glastonbury and barely touched on Friday-Sunday. Fuming!

I don't think its ever really mentioned Glastonbury, its just that its generally the first TV forecast that covers (part of) the festival.

[wweerr208]

thanks,

 

I normally ignore all weather reports untill T -3days and even then its down to how stable the weather is, which in late june  in the uk - seems to be not great.

 

what's the best web site to look at?? (not checked since last year and can't remember!)

There is a pretty high confidence through to Thursday at the moment, so it seems very likely we'll be in good conditions for arrival and the pre-festival festivities. Just need things to hold firm for the weekend. Tonight's run could be quite important, as if it backs things up we'll have had this general trend for the past 24-36 hours after a week of things being all over the place.

 

I'm getting quietly confident it's going to be a good one. We won't avoid rain altogether but I'm thinking we might now avoid anything that will affect the ground for anything but a short period.

 

Now watch the runs in just over an hour show the rain having sunk south and engulfed the site Friday through to Sunday....

[briddj]

That high is ridging in like a fucking beauty!

[danwood]

That high is ridging in like a fucking beauty!

can you post some pics at all?

[briddj]

thanks,

 

I normally ignore all weather reports untill T -3days and even then its down to how stable the weather is, which in late june  in the uk - seems to be not great.

 

what's the best web site to look at?? (not checked since last year and can't remember!)

 

To be honest I think it's a bit of a lottery which one you actually look at until the timeframe you've noted - mainly because one icon for a whole day really can't tell the story.

[briddj]

can you post some pics at all?

 

3pm Thursday.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Tigerdragon]

[guypjfreak]

http://www.accuweather.com/en/gb/pilton/ba4-4/june-weather/710458

[jeffie]

I think you're all great. And I've spent nearly a whole year praising the weather gods in the thread next door. Let's be honest we all pretty much want the same thing.

Praise us all.

[danwood]

Cheers briddj! Looking good atm