The Weather Thread 2023

[Alvoram]

1 minute ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

Me too, I am praying it's wrong

That Sunday is way too much for almost anybody... Potentially 30c. Good thing is that it would only be Sunday I guess, and isn't likely to happen, it's not being replicated anywhere else as far as I can see. 

[Justcalledtosay]

Twist!

[briddj]

After such a spectacular 18Z, where do we go now?

GATES OPEN

Now there's a small amount of heavy rain on Sunday morning. After this, there is some lighter rain through Sunday, and on Tuesday, but it's insignificant and nothing like we had seen on previous runs. It will cause no issues.

Totally dry for gates open.

Very small amount of rain on Wednesday afternoon. But it's a tiny amount. Highs of 20.

THURSDAY

Totally dry as the high builds in. Highs of 22.

FRIDAY

Some light afternoon rain in this run, but nothing much at all - would be some showers. Highs of 20.

SATURDAY

Totally dry, highs of 24.

SUNDAY

Totally dry, highs of 20.

You'll notice that the high pressure isn't as dominant in this latest run, and that's why the higher temperatures are batted back. Latest run is on the right here, with no finger pushing up.

SUMMARY

Some would argue this run is even better than the last one, as we don't hit the 29 degrees on the Sunday.

But there is still a question of what happens with the finger next weekend, we don't want to lose the power of the finger, and low pressure make a shock victory.

The reduction of the rain for Monday and Tuesday from a catastrophe to light rain, which would do nothing to the ground in temps of 21 before gates open, is a huge upgrade as we get closer to reliability.

Just need to lose that Friday rain!

 

[deepkittycaz]

21 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

Me too, I am praying it's wrong

For me, that Sunday will be bin off all existing plans and hide in the Cabaret tent weather.

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

Love the way this is going! 

I hope Fuzzy comes to the meet. I'll bring them an ice cream to try and help xx

[Justcalledtosay]

Stick!!

[Alcatraz]

We cookin up something nice!

[Avalon_Fields]

Very encouraging for those in the CV fields, hopefully now a trouble free entry on the Tuesday. 

[churlie100]

10 minutes ago, briddj said:

After such a spectacular 18Z, where do we go now?

GATES OPEN

Now there's a small amount of heavy rain on Sunday morning. After this, there is some lighter rain through Sunday, and on Tuesday, but it's insignificant and nothing like we had seen on previous runs. It will cause no issues.

Totally dry for gates open.

Very small amount of rain on Wednesday afternoon. But it's a tiny amount. Highs of 20.

THURSDAY

Totally dry as the high builds in. Highs of 22.

FRIDAY

Some light afternoon rain in this run, but nothing much at all - would be some showers. Highs of 20.

SATURDAY

Totally dry, highs of 24.

SUNDAY

Totally dry, highs of 20.

You'll notice that the high pressure isn't as dominant in this latest run, and that's why the higher temperatures are batted back. Latest run is on the right here, with no finger pushing up.

SUMMARY

Some would argue this run is even better than the last one, as we don't hit the 29 degrees on the Sunday.

But there is still a question of what happens with the finger next weekend, we don't want to lose the power of the finger, and low pressure make a shock victory.

The reduction of the rain for Monday and Tuesday from a catastrophe to light rain, which would do nothing to the ground in temps of 21 before gates open, is a huge upgrade as we get closer to reliability.

Just need to lose that Friday rain!

 

Oh no. It's the actual dream run. It's too early 😫

[BBC7BBCHEAVEN]

36 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

Me too, I am praying it's wrong

I'd probably take this to be honest given the alternative wet festival.

Temperatures are fine until Saturday, which would be a bit of a slog.

Sunday would be a total write off for me at 29°C but it's only one day and the last day, so I could probably just enjoy chilling in a bar/tent somewhere 

[BBC7BBCHEAVEN]

18 minutes ago, briddj said:

After such a spectacular 18Z, where do we go now?

GATES OPEN

Now there's a small amount of heavy rain on Sunday morning. After this, there is some lighter rain through Sunday, and on Tuesday, but it's insignificant and nothing like we had seen on previous runs. It will cause no issues.

Totally dry for gates open.

Very small amount of rain on Wednesday afternoon. But it's a tiny amount. Highs of 20.

THURSDAY

Totally dry as the high builds in. Highs of 22.

FRIDAY

Some light afternoon rain in this run, but nothing much at all - would be some showers. Highs of 20.

SATURDAY

Totally dry, highs of 24.

SUNDAY

Totally dry, highs of 20.

You'll notice that the high pressure isn't as dominant in this latest run, and that's why the higher temperatures are batted back. Latest run is on the right here, with no finger pushing up.

SUMMARY

Some would argue this run is even better than the last one, as we don't hit the 29 degrees on the Sunday.

But there is still a question of what happens with the finger next weekend, we don't want to lose the power of the finger, and low pressure make a shock victory.

The reduction of the rain for Monday and Tuesday from a catastrophe to light rain, which would do nothing to the ground in temps of 21 before gates open, is a huge upgrade as we get closer to reliability.

Just need to lose that Friday rain!

 

 

[fightoffyour]

I don't want Friday afternoon rain especially as I plan a long outdoor (outtent) stint in the Other field for Carly Rae and co., but otherwise that's pretty tasty.

I've been dealt 17, dealer is on 13. I'm thinking about a little twist.

Edited June 14, 2023 by fightoffyour

[Trunks1993]

2 minutes ago, fightoffyour said:

I don't want Friday afternoon rain especially as I plan a long outdoor (outtent) stint in the Other field for Carly Rae and co., but otherwise that's pretty tasty.

I've been dealt 17, dealer is on 13. I'm thinking about a little twist.

Don’t do it 😂

[FuzzyDunlop]

17 minutes ago, BBC7BBCHEAVEN said:

I'd probably take this to be honest given the alternative wet festival.

Temperatures are fine until Saturday, which would be a bit of a slog.

Sunday would be a total write off for me at 29°C but it's only one day and the last day, so I could probably just enjoy chilling in a bar/tent somewhere 

Line up wise sunday is the day I have most to see tbh. So I dont want it hot.

If it has to be hot, Wednesday. So Im just stuck at my tent missing nowt.

[Jacko45]

You're all enjoying this, but I assure you it is TEMPORARY.

 

@Sheffield Steve Will have something nasty up his sleeve. 

[Sheffield Steve]

Lots of days on a KNIFE EDGE on the 0z GFS.  On Sunday and Tuesday next week it brings thundery rain up across England which has the potential to drop a lot of rain on the site. 
it gives us showers for set up Wednesday as a small area of low pressure crosses the north of the country, a dry day Thursday before more showers move in for Friday. 
Another area of low pressure approaches from the west on Saturday, which, although this run keeps the rain slightly further north, could easily bring more rain.  This low the settles to the west of Scotland and battles with the high in the south.  If the high wins, we’ll get a lovely day Sunday with highs only around 21c according to this run of the GFS.

So, all too close to call. As Gav said yesterday, this is a very complicated picture, and the GFS is bringing much more thundery rain up from the south than the other models.  If the GFS is right, there could be a lot of rain over the site before gates open, if it’s wrong, we could get very little.   MORE RUNS NEEDED.
 

 

By way of contrast, this is the Canadian GEM for the Tuesday, some showers around but no sign of the organised thundery rain the GFS wants to bring.  We still need a few more days until we get any sort of clarity.

[Tranquility of Solitude]

37 minutes ago, briddj said:

Very small amount of rain on Wednesday afternoon. But it's a tiny amount. Highs of 20.

 

37 minutes ago, Bike_Like_A_Mum said:

I hope Fuzzy comes to the meet. I'll bring them an ice cream to try and help xx

If this run comes to pass, the meet might be the only time Fuzzy comes out of the shade 😀

[MEGATRONICMEATWAGON]

Okay, so Sunday all afternoon in the Fresh & Black until Elton comes on. 

Or huddling under the dying birch tree. 

[Jacko45]

There you go, Steve's put a dampener on it. 

[Havors]

The day is Wednesday 21st June 2023... and there are still more runs needed.... we have no f**king idea what the weather is going to be like even today... 🤣

[DYRTFT]

24 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

Lots of days on a KNIFE EDGE on the 0z GFS.  On Sunday and Tuesday next week it brings thundery rain up across England which has the potential to drop a lot of rain on the site. 
it gives us showers for set up Wednesday as a small area of low pressure crosses the north of the country, a dry day Thursday before more showers move in for Friday. 
Another area of low pressure approaches from the west on Saturday, which, although this run keeps the rain slightly further north, could easily bring more rain.  This low the settles to the west of Scotland and battles with the high in the south.  If the high wins, we’ll get a lovely day Sunday with highs only around 21c according to this run of the GFS.

So, all too close to call. As Gav said yesterday, this is a very complicated picture, and the GFS is bringing much more thundery rain up from the south than the other models.  If the GFS is right, there could be a lot of rain over the site before gates open, if it’s wrong, we could get very little.   MORE RUNS NEEDED.
 

 

By way of contrast, this is the Canadian GEM for the Tuesday, some showers around but no sign of the organised thundery rain the GFS wants to bring.  We still need a few more days until we get any sort of clarity.

Right on cue 😁

[Avalon_Fields]

I’m so confused, I won’t even know what the weather’s like when I’m there. 

[churlie100]

23 minutes ago, Avalon_Fields said:

I’m so confused, I won’t even know what the weather’s like when I’m there. 

Picturing myself standing in the field during Elton John's encore, furiously refreshing for the next 06z so I know whether to put a coat on or not.

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

2 minutes ago, churlie100 said:

Picturing myself standing in the field during Elton John's encore, furiously refreshing for the next 06z so I know whether to put a coat on or not.

Out of upvotes but laughed out loud at this 🤣 

[Jacko45]

The most annoying thing - Either side of the festival week is showing glorious sunshine.

 

TYPICAL