Weather thread 2011

[Homer]

So form what you're saying, no one's predicting enough rain for a mudath. The worst we're looking at is 'a bit squishy at times' (as you say, like '08).

Edited June 14, 2011 by Homer

[benm61]

The fact that we now might not be looking at a mudbath and the fact that Glaso is near makes me want to hug lots of people. The people at work wouldn't be too open to that I think so i shall send a hug to everyone here

[devonhammer]

So form what you're saying, no one's predicting enough rain for a mudath. The worst we're looking at is 'a bit squishy at times' (as you say, like '08).

[4AssedMonkey]

From my unbelievably limited understanding of these things (I just tend to blindly rant about what I want and what I think is best for others without knowing my subject, much like a politician) it appears as if the models/themes are starting to converge and this is where the accuracy starts to increase. From the last set of forecasts it looks like rain sometime this weekend, with intermittent sun/showers early next week and the good chance of staying dry thereafter. TBH I think I'd take that.

What's the chances of the high that's building pushing up temperatures a smidge? A bit of additional warmth would really help drying the ground out after the recent deluges.

[benm61]

I would imagine that with a bit of luck the drainage will be fine. I am basing this on blind optimism. I guess our main worry is the mud being created at all the major junctions by the movement of the set up crew. Of course if it is dry they might also compact this a little.

OK it would appear that I don't know what I am talking about but I am glad we are worried about pre festival rain than rain during the weekend!

[psychology]

Any hydrologists out there?

[Bubblepopelectric]

I hope my daily dose of sunshine is working!

[**claire**]

Well I don't want to jinx ourselves, but it looks like things are looking up?!

I feel more optimistic today than I did this time yesterday!

[Aby]

this will do me! http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/Taunton+MA+02780

[Titters]

2008 - I seem to recall the ground being pretty soft for pitching the tent on the wednesday and (looking at my photos), there was scattered cloud all day Weds and Thur.

Early evening the heavans opened for about 4 hours, and was pretty steady rain - I remember sitting at camp in my waterproofs getting really worried about a repeat of 2007...

It was overcast, and rained (very lightly) on and off during the Friday - but stopped Friday evening. By saturday lunch you could happily sit on the ground most places aross the site - as long as you didn't mind a little mud on your shorts.

2009 was almost exactly the same - poured down for a few hours on the Thursday - was dry by Saturday, except where the water had gathered (JP, entrance to Jazz World) - where it was more welly weather.

I sat on the floor watching a rugby match on the Saturday morning, and got a touch of sunburn.

Drainage working pretty well - as long as it gets a break from consistent rain!

[garethslee]

this will do me! http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/Taunton+MA+02780

[devonhammer]

From my unbelievably limited understanding of these things (I just tend to blindly rant about what I want and what I think is best for others without knowing my subject, much like a politician) it appears as if the models/themes are starting to converge and this is where the accuracy starts to increase. From the last set of forecasts it looks like rain sometime this weekend, with intermittent sun/showers early next week and the good chance of staying dry thereafter. TBH I think I'd take that.

What's the chances of the high that's building pushing up temperatures a smidge? A bit of additional warmth would really help drying the ground out after the recent deluges.

[Bexxxxx]

OK - until now, i've mostly stayed out of this thread to preserve my sanity. I have now given in, and will be addicted until I set off for the campervan fields tuesday evening. During this time I will be mostly lurking in here, obsessively checking every weather forecast I can find and generally avoiding doing any work

[t0paz]

Just looking at the OOZ on Netweather Here

Seems to predict constant rain, albeit not overly heavy, through the whole 5 days

[dingbat2]

I always thought it only becomes a mudbath when it rains and then people walk on the water and grass straight after? If it rains this weekend but not after then I would have thought it would be OK, any water would have a good few inches under the surface and hence it would not be muddy under foot.

I also wouldnt worry about the mud churn created by the crew, they mainly go to the places us mere mortals aren't allowed to, and most of the paths they drive down are covered anyway

As long as we dont have a lot of rain during the festival then there will be no mud

I am not a drainage expert by the way so am probalby talking bollocks

[devonhammer]

Couldn't resist the dark side and had a look at MetCheck:

I've shamed myself and I feel dirty. I have no morals and will wear a horsehair shirt for the rest of the day.

[Glastoboy]

There is still plenty of time left for that HIGH to arrive. Don't panic yet.

N.F.R N.F.C

[Glastoboy]

Just looking at the OOZ on Netweather Here

Seems to predict constant rain, albeit not overly heavy, through the whole 5 days

Edited June 14, 2011 by Glastoboy

[eFestivals]

Couldn't resist the dark side and had a look at MetCheck:

it's too early yet for any weather forecast to mean very much. The weather they're predicting is likely to happen, but when it happens is still up in the air - it might happen sooner (the most likely, history tells me), or it might happen later.

It's not like knowing the weather early is much good to anyone anyway - what will happen will happen.

This time next week is the time to be looking .... and here's betting that what Metcheck is saying then turns out to be the nearest of any weather site to what does happen.

[Aragorn]

Just looking at the OOZ on Netweather Here

Seems to predict constant rain, albeit not overly heavy, through the whole 5 days

[Glastoboy]

Now THIS is what I'm talking about - The Weather Channel (Glastonbury)

18 degrees, sun & clouds for Weds & Thurs. It IS gonna happen. Keep the faith.

N.F.R N.F.C

[Roonwilldo]

Just looking at the OOZ on Netweather Here

Seems to predict constant rain, albeit not overly heavy, through the whole 5 days

[Glastoboy]

1) it's too early yet for any weather forecast to mean very much.

2) It's not like knowing the weather early is much good to anyone anyway - what will happen will happen.

3) This time next week is the time to be looking .... and here's betting that what Metcheck is saying then turns out to be the nearest of any weather site to what does happen.

[devonhammer]

Hi Neil,

1) You do realise this thread was started on October 4th don't you.

2) You're not from round here, are you?

3) I am very interested in taking you up on your bet. Do really have that much faith in Metcheck? I wouldn't trust them to predict yesterday's weather. How's about a nice hot cinamon cider as a wager?

[4th time lucky?]

it's too early yet for any weather forecast to mean very much. The weather they're predicting is likely to happen, but when it happens is still up in the air - it might happen sooner (the most likely, history tells me), or it might happen later.

It's not like knowing the weather early is much good to anyone anyway - what will happen will happen.

This time next week is the time to be looking .... and here's betting that what Metcheck is saying then turns out to be the nearest of any weather site to what does happen.